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Strategist Says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here - Franknez.com

 

Strategist Says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here

Strategist Says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here Market News: Strategist says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here.
 

Interactive Brokers Chief Strategist Steve Sosnick says there’s big demand to short AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) stock.

He says the biggest reason aside from the company’s fundamentals is its new merge with its equity (NYSE:APE).

“It’s very hard to keep the momentum in these things because economic reality does take hold.

Bed Bath & Beyond, at one point was the best performing stock on the board until reality set in and they began defaulting, averted bankruptcy, but using a deal that is so dilutive that it’s unavoidable.”

Sosnick says AMC is in a very special situation because of the proposal to merge APE with AMC common shares.

“Right now we’re seeing such a demand to short AMC partly because of its difficulties but partly because of the special situation.

This really is what they were looking for in some ways as the mother of all short squeezes.

 

The borrow rate, it costs you 700% to borrow the shares overnight — if you can find them,” said the Interactive Brokers Chief Strategist on Yahoo Finance.

Is AMC Entertainment stock about to squeeze this year?

Here are 5 big signs that point to a mother of all short squeezes.

#1. AMC’s Short Interest is Really High

AMC Stock: Mother of all short squeezes AMC Stock: Mother of all short squeezes
 

A short squeeze requires a company to be heavily shorted, which AMC is.

AMC has a high short interest of 25%.

Did you know that before AMC’s share price surged from $14 per share to its all-time high of $72 per share it only had a short interest of 22%?

AMC’s short interest dropped from 22% to 14% as short sellers began to close their positions.

Well, I’m sorry to break it to skeptics, but AMC’s high short interest means there are shorts to squeeze.

 

I’d love to hear the rebuttal on this one; I don’t get the counterargument.

#2. There Are Millions of Shares on Loan

This ties back to AMC’s short interest data.

There are currently 197.10 million shares on loan, per Ortex.

These are shares that have been borrowed and not yet returned to the lender.

Hedge funds borrow these shares to short AMC stock.

At some point, these shares eventually have to be returned whether short sellers simply return them without necessarily selling them in the market, or through a ‘buy-back’ when closing their short positions.

Small spikes in AMC’s share price in correspondence with a drop in short interest suggests some short closing.

We’ve seen this on very high-volume trading days.

Now imagine all of these shares getting returned to the lender from shorts closing positions.

That’s a lot of buying power getting injected into the stock, forcing shares to spike.

 

Also known as a short squeeze.

#3. The Cost to Borrow AMC is Higher Than Ever

Percent-Interest.jpg?resize=142%2C142&ss

The cost to borrow is the annual fee hedge funds are paying to borrow shares to short the company stock.

AMC’s current CTB is a whopping 260%.

Hedge funds are currently paying more than $30 million monthly in fees alone.

This lucrative fee alone could incentivize short sellers to ditch this play and close their positions.

#4. AMC Entertainment Has the Community to Trigger Big Buying Pressure

AMC stock: mother of all short squeezes AMC Stock: Mother of all short squeezes.
 

This is one of the biggest catalysts for an AMC short squeeze.

Why?

Because volume is what drove share prices up during the Wall Street Bets movement in GameStop, AMC, and other heavily shorted stocks at the time.

DFV knew that buying pressure is what would trigger spikes in GameStop, causing short sellers to run for the hills.

 

AMC shareholders replicated it in 2021, sending shares from $6 per share to $72 per share by literally buying every dip.

Yeah, it was wild -but it worked.

And shareholders haven’t left, they are still holding in 2023.

#5. The Company Isn’t Going Bankrupt

Market News: Strategist says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here (MOASS). Market News: Strategist says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here (MOASS).
 

The short thesis made sense during the height of the pandemic when movie theatres were forced to close their doors to the public.

CEO Adam Aron said AMC Entertainment went from one day making millions per day to income suddenly halting due to the lockdowns.

But AMC Entertainment is no longer going bankrupt.

The company has improved and restructured its debt every quarter since 2021 and has beat earnings expectations ever since.

While the company does carry debt, Adam Aron has proved to be a master at raising cash from thin air.

 

Some of his efforts have included branded merchandise, the introduction of its equity APE, and through partnerships in the entertainment industry which Disney and Netflix.

The company is expected to launch a new credit card this year and put AMC branded popcorn in retail stores.

You can read more about AMC’s development’s here.

An AMC short squeeze isn’t as far-fetched as some might think

As you can see, there are no conspiracy theories or “what if’s”.

I’ve been documenting AMC’s short squeeze since 2021, shortly after shares rose to $22 per share and came back down in late January.

I witnessed months of momentum build until shares jumped to $72 per share.

And yes, it can be replicated.

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All good stuff to read Keylime. Thanks for sharing.  Im not got to sell and continue to wait. All of it makes sense and I surely want it to happen but the crooks will just permanently halt it like my mltp still is or like the dwac halt too. Nothing is ever done to the criminals who do those things so it’s probably where anything with amc and ape is heading unfortunately. 

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1 hour ago, cws said:

All good stuff to read Keylime. Thanks for sharing.  Im not got to sell and continue to wait. All of it makes sense and I surely want it to happen but the crooks will just permanently halt it like my mltp still is or like the dwac halt too. Nothing is ever done to the criminals who do those things so it’s probably where anything with amc and ape is heading unfortunately. 

Thus far, it is true nothing is done to the criminals that cheat the wall street system, or should I say, control the wall street system, but a revolution has to start somewhere. Maybe it will start with AMC.

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https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/amc/why-amc-is-among-the-most-expensive-stocks-to-short-in-the-market

  •  

Why AMC Is Among the Most Expensive Stocks to Short in the Market

To bet against AMC stock, short sellers must pay some of the highest fees in the market.
 
 

 

  • The fees brokerages charge to borrow stocks for short trades vary, depending mainly on factors of supply and demand.
  • With borrow fee rates as high as 142%, AMC is one of the most expensive stocks to borrow right now.
  • Analysts estimate that short sellers may already have lost as much as $430 million on their AMC positions this year.

What Makes Some Stocks More Expensive to Short?

In order to short a stock — i.e., betting that its value will go down — traders must first "borrow" the stock from their broker to sell in the open market.

Brokerages charge a fee for borrowing these assets. The fee varies and depends mainly on supply-and-demand factors.

If there is more demand for a stock, there will be fewer shares available, leading the brokerage to charge higher fees.

As a benchmark, borrow fees for common stock range from 0.3% to 3%. However, when there is a lot of short interest in a troubled company, it's not uncommon to see borrow fees for its stock shoot up above 20%.

Therefore, a stock that seems like an obvious winner for short sellers can end up becoming a trap due to very high borrow fees.

When the price of a heavily shorted stock unexpectedly and suddenly increases, skyrocketing borrow fees can pressure short sellers to exit the trade and reduce their losses. This is called a "short squeeze."

Why AMC Is One of the Priciest Stocks to Borrow

According to S3 Partners, as of March 7, AMC Entertainment (AMC) was the most expensive stock in the market to bet against.

Currently, there is about $875.7 million worth of short interest in AMC — with about 25% of its total stock float being shorted.

At the time S3's research was published, borrow fees for AMC were as high as 142%.

 

 

 

It's also worth noting that the borrow fee data that brokerages provide concerns what is called the "fair rate." This is the rate targeting institutional investors.

In general, rates can be larger for retail investors because the stock loan sizes are much smaller. Sometimes, this causes brokerages to charge an additional, sizable premium along with the standard fees.

At the beginning of February, AMC's borrow fees hit an eye-popping 730%-plus. This preceded a rally in AMC of about 50% during the month.

Some potential catalysts for the rally are:

  • The announcement of the proposed shareholder vote to convert AMC Preferred Equity (APE) units into AMC common shares and to conduct a reverse stock split.
  • A large volume of arbitrage trades taking advantage of the price discrepancy between AMC and APE by shorting AMC and "going long" APE.
  • The strong participation of retail investors — who own the majority of AMC's float. According to VandaTrack, retail investors added an average of $1.5 billion each day into U.S. stocks during the first two months of this year. This was a record-breaking level of inflow.

Why AMC Is a Risky Short Trade

Taking a look at AMC's business fundamentals, there are a lot of reasons why traders would want to short its stock.

Last year, AMC shares plummeted 85%, and short sellers pocketed about $1.73 billion in profits from their positions.

However, this year, the scenario is different.

AMC shares were up about 93% at the end of February. Currently, AMC shares are up 48% year-to-date, and it is estimated that short sellers have already lost about $430 million in mark-to-market losses.

Now, one must consider that the performance of AMC stock is not traded solely on its fundamentals, but rather on speculation and the enthusiasm of retail investors.

Therefore, shorting AMC is currently a very risky strategy. AMC has wide support from "meme stock" investors, and it's ultra-expensive to borrow. 

(Disclaimers: this is not investment advice. The author may be long one or more stocks mentioned in this report. Also, the article may contain affiliate links. These partnerships do not influence editorial content. Thanks for supporting Wall Street Memes.

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Great Article MLD, thxs for posting. If it keeps up hedge funds may be forced to cover, sooner rather then later. 

 

pp

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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I know this price action is frustrating but it is what this battle against the crime that is Wallstreet is. Our weapons are buy and hodl. Their weapons are money, money, and more money that they are burning through by the billions. AMC is not going to go bankrupt. As the largest theater chain in the world the trillion dollar film industry cannot afford to lose their number one vehicle. Streaming will never be enough to support the film industry. Thus, all of this crime is an illusion and house of cards that will come crashing down. This post that I am copy and pasting from Reddit puts where we and the Market and financial industries are in a nutshell.

 

Subreddit Icon
Posted by 6 hours ago
 
Class ActTo The StarsheheheheVibingTake My EnergyAll-Seeing Upvote

We are Winning!

renderTimingPixel.png

The week APE was issued, it had more FTDs then the NYSE had ever seen. I believe it's issuing had experienced 9 records on the US exchange. All of them related to foul play.

Speaking of foul play! AMC has more FTDs then the entire FAANG index put together. These are increasing despite a price value decreasing. This shows they are kicking the can and trying to get the price lower. Why? So people sell! BUT no one is selling and OBV shows that.

Speaking of no one selling! What do you do if no one is sellinv? Well, borrowing shares has costed as much as 1010%, and funds are paying it. Why would you pay 10× more to borrow something than to buy it? It immediately tells me 1) That their algos value it at more than 10× cost and 2) That it is cheaper to pay that interest than to even attempt to pay the current price being 10× lower.

Speaking of lending! Banks and brokers are advertising lending to get a guaranteed 107% (Fidelity post). Tells one the value is worth a bank guarantee 103% more than a US treasury bond 'guarantee'. BUT watch out. They have no obligation to fulfill this guarantee as "A guarantee is only as good as the person making it to you". They have in terms and conditions that they can **** you. You've been warned. Turn off share lending.

Speaking of share-lending! Brokers and banks have turned it back 'on' for some people. "Whoopsies! Musta been that update. We'll get that fixed for you" is what they say. They do this to get 1000%+ interest that they give you a 10% cut on. They need the money.

Speaking of money and its backing! Precious metals are the safety shield of the world. We own a gold mine. Hycroft. Their shares hit 100% utilization in the 'one day bank crash' and while gold soared, hycroft delayed launch. Because it was attacked. So why attack a stock when everything is bleeding? It's because it's a domino to AMC. Allow Hycroft to run, AMC runs. In order to attack AMC, they have to attack everything it owns. These attacks only happened to Hycroft. And they have only been happening since AMC bought it.

Speaking of those attacks! Small hedge funds that failed passed on their debt to bigger hedge funds. Those funds failed and passed on their debt to Credit Suisse. A bank that said we were worth 95 cents and begged people to sell. Well, they are in the hospital bed and donating organs to them is the Swiss National Bank, that posted a loss of 132.5 billion last quarter. The SNB cannot possibly have a balance sheet that is better than a negative net of 150 billion. All their assets are bleeding and they just lent out tens of billions!?

Speaking of bleeding to help each other? The big banks are colluding to save the small banks! Geeze I have only seen this after 1987, 2000, 2008. Where do most of these banks get money? Investments in securities and mortgages. All securities are bleeding and the go-to is treasuries. No one wants to buy right now becuase they know all stocks are being funded by printing money and foul play with other funding. 95+% of mortgages issued are at rates lower than current, which means that no one is signing new mortgages. They switched the stats from "Mortgages issued" to "Houses Developing", because that number doesn't look as bad due to developers being obligated to build from contracts made over a year, opposed to "Mortgages Issued". The housing costs and rates are unsustainable and unable to fund the markets at this time.

Speaking of funding markets! Printing money reduces its value! It creates inflation! To beat that, they raise interest rates, to slow down spending. But uh oh! They need to fund markets so they don't crash! So they give it to banks. Their stock goes up for a day or so, people exit knowing it's synthetic and the banks stock drops again. The death spiral. Once people lose their jobs in droves, they won't have enough tax payers to fund their hierarchy allegiance to the banks.

Speaking of jobs! Over 1 Million Women have not returned to full 40 hour work weeks since the pandemic. Millenials and Gen Zs are working more jobs, BUT getting less total money. Boomers are spending less for a soft landing in retirement, which as the biggest holder of wealth affects business and adversely affects jobs from decreased spending. Boomers are a large part of the population and once they retire, those large amount of withdrawals are going to cripple smaller plans, resulting in job losses. There's also AI, which is going to take away jobs! This pain isn't going to be short for the job market!

Speaking of Short! The FED, banks, and other people in power are going to get a massive dose of the abuse we have incurred from AMC short sellers. They protected the short sellers when markets were Ok and they were trying to pick on a 'meme stock', but now short sellers are salivating at the banks. They have had a clear-go until now. They have all the infrastructure to crush the banks with ruthless shorting. They know FED plans before they happen. It is so much easier to destroy than to create. They have a financial incentive to destroy. Short selling is going to brutalize the banking world.

AMC investors are the battle-hardened investors that make Wallstreet panic. We post fake news to laugh at, we post bank failures that drug our name in the dirt, we find their fake accounts, we do our due dillegence on everything, and we don't sell. We are 4+ million strong. That's more investors than the populations of more than 100 countries! We have a high margin popcorn product in Walmart, a Gold/Silver mine, an advertising company, and we are owners of the largest theater chain in the USA. The sun always shines on AMC shareholders because we stretch across the planet. We don't care if people are different here! We are not just financially smart! AMC owners are welders, doctors, electricians, accountants, truckers, crew workers, nurses, office administrators, writers, teachers, students, etc. Etc. Etc. We have different goals, but only one way to get there - collect the money that is rightfully ours!

Love you Apes!

 

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10 hours ago, keylime said:

I know this price action is frustrating but it is what this battle against the crime that is Wallstreet is. Our weapons are buy and hodl. Their weapons are money, money, and more money that they are burning through by the billions. AMC is not going to go bankrupt. As the largest theater chain in the world the trillion dollar film industry cannot afford to lose their number one vehicle. Streaming will never be enough to support system" rel="">support the film industry. Thus, all of this crime is an illusion and house of cards that will come crashing down. This post that I am copy and pasting from Reddit puts where we and the Market and financial industries are in a nutshell.

 

Subreddit Icon
Posted by 6 hours ago
 
Class ActTo The StarsheheheheVibingTake My EnergyAll-Seeing Upvote

We are Winning!

renderTimingPixel.png

The week APE was issued, it had more FTDs then the NYSE had ever seen. I believe it's issuing had experienced 9 records on the US exchange. All of them related to foul play.

Speaking of foul play! AMC has more FTDs then the entire FAANG index put together. These are increasing despite a price value decreasing. This shows they are kicking the can and trying to get the price lower. Why? So people sell! BUT no one is selling and OBV shows that.

Speaking of no one selling! What do you do if no one is sellinv? Well, borrowing shares has costed as much as 1010%, and funds are paying it. Why would you pay 10× more to borrow something than to buy it? It immediately tells me 1) That their algos value it at more than 10× cost and 2) That it is cheaper to pay that interest than to even attempt to pay the current price being 10× lower.

Speaking of lending! Banks and brokers are advertising lending to get a guaranteed 107% (Fidelity post). Tells one the value is worth a bank guarantee 103% more than a US treasury bond 'guarantee'. BUT watch out. They have no obligation to fulfill this guarantee as "A guarantee is only as good as the person making it to you". They have in terms and conditions that they can **** you. You've been warned. Turn off share lending.

Speaking of share-lending! Brokers and banks have turned it back 'on' for some people. "Whoopsies! Musta been that update. We'll get that fixed for you" is what they say. They do this to get 1000%+ interest that they give you a 10% cut on. They need the money.

Speaking of money and its backing! Precious metals are the safety shield of the world. We own a gold mine. Hycroft. Their shares hit 100% utilization in the 'one day bank crash' and while gold soared, hycroft delayed launch. Because it was attacked. So why attack a stock when everything is bleeding? It's because it's a domino to AMC. Allow Hycroft to run, AMC runs. In order to attack AMC, they have to attack everything it owns. These attacks only happened to Hycroft. And they have only been happening since AMC bought it.

Speaking of those attacks! Small hedge funds that failed passed on their debt to bigger hedge funds. Those funds failed and passed on their debt to Credit Suisse. A bank that said we were worth 95 cents and begged people to sell. Well, they are in the hospital bed and donating organs to them is the Swiss National Bank, that posted a loss of 132.5 billion last quarter. The SNB cannot possibly have a balance sheet that is better than a negative net of 150 billion. All their assets are bleeding and they just lent out tens of billions!?

Speaking of bleeding to help each other? The big banks are colluding to save the small banks! Geeze I have only seen this after 1987, 2000, 2008. Where do most of these banks get money? Investments in securities and mortgages. All securities are bleeding and the go-to is treasuries. No one wants to buy right now becuase they know all stocks are being funded by printing money and foul play with other funding. 95+% of mortgages issued are at rates lower than current, which means that no one is signing new mortgages. They switched the stats from "Mortgages issued" to "Houses Developing", because that number doesn't look as bad due to developers being obligated to build from contracts made over a year, opposed to "Mortgages Issued". The housing costs and rates are unsustainable and unable to fund the markets at this time.

Speaking of funding markets! Printing money reduces its value! It creates inflation! To beat that, they raise interest rates, to slow down spending. But uh oh! They need to fund markets so they don't crash! So they give it to banks. Their stock goes up for a day or so, people exit knowing it's synthetic and the banks stock drops again. The death spiral. Once people lose their jobs in droves, they won't have enough tax payers to fund their hierarchy allegiance to the banks.

Speaking of jobs! Over 1 Million Women have not returned to full 40 hour work weeks since the pandemic. Millenials and Gen Zs are working more jobs, BUT getting less total money. Boomers are spending less for a soft landing in retirement, which as the biggest holder of wealth affects business and adversely affects jobs from decreased spending. Boomers are a large part of the population and once they retire, those large amount of withdrawals are going to cripple smaller plans, resulting in job losses. There's also AI, which is going to take away jobs! This pain isn't going to be short for the job market!

Speaking of Short! The FED, banks, and other people in power are going to get a massive dose of the abuse we have incurred from AMC short sellers. They protected the short sellers when markets were Ok and they were trying to pick on a 'meme stock', but now short sellers are salivating at the banks. They have had a clear-go until now. They have all the infrastructure to crush the banks with ruthless shorting. They know FED plans before they happen. It is so much easier to destroy than to create. They have a financial incentive to destroy. Short selling is going to brutalize the banking world.

AMC investors are the battle-hardened investors that make Wallstreet panic. We post fake news to laugh at, we post bank failures that drug our name in the dirt, we find their fake accounts, we do our due dillegence on everything, and we don't sell. We are 4+ million strong. That's more investors than the populations of more than 100 countries! We have a high margin popcorn product in Walmart, a Gold/Silver mine, an advertising company, and we are owners of the largest theater chain in the USA. The sun always shines on AMC shareholders because we stretch across the planet. We don't care if people are different here! We are not just financially smart! AMC owners are welders, doctors, electricians, accountants, truckers, crew workers, nurses, office administrators, writers, teachers, students, etc. Etc. Etc. We have different goals, but only one way to get there - collect the money that is rightfully ours!

Love you Apes!

 


 What do you think of this keylime? If ape shares have this many outstanding just think what AMC has. Can you let me know what you think? Besides they are screwed.

Ape stock – 94 billion shares outstanding. This guy posted it  today from market watch website.

 

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21 hours ago, jg1 said:


 What do you think of this keylime? If ape shares have this many outstanding just think what AMC has. Can you let me know what you think? Besides they are screwed.

Ape stock – 94 billion shares outstanding. This guy posted it  today from market watch website.

 

I think they are trying to prop up the banks with money they don't have and eventually they won't be able to sustain the monster they have created and when the cracks in the damn become too big and too many to plug it, it will implode and AMC will explode. And APE if it happens before the conversion will explode with it.

I think we couldn't be in a better position and the WS criminals couldn't be in a worse position as far as what lies ahead for them.

The number of shares shorted that have become Failure to delivers and the number of naked shorts are unfathomable.  AMC and APE are the most shorted, naked and legit than any stock out there and they are galaxies away from the next closest. This bubble is going to pop. The pressure is building daily. But no one can tell me they don't have the money to pay us especially if it hits 100,000 plus per share because they can magically print trillions to save these failed institutions without batting an eye.

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The problem I see is if all this gloom and doom happens ie. banks fail, WS fails and the financial institutions world wide go down, the fed CAN'T print their way out and the US currency will be worthless, I don't see what good the price of AMC mooning does us any good. MAybe someone here can explain.

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1 hour ago, pokerplayer said:

Bought 60 more APE shares today. I've decided to keep going for it if nothing else my share average should drop . 

Go APE, Go AMC

 

pp

 

Next week I plan on picking up some more APE and every week until it merges.

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On 3/18/2023 at 7:47 PM, md11fr8dawg said:

The problem I see is if all this gloom and doom happens ie. banks fail, WS fails and the financial institutions world wide go down, the fed CAN'T print their way out and the US currency will be worthless, I don't see what good the price of AMC mooning does us any good. MAybe someone here can explain.

Um...first of all there are insurance policies in place to pay us. Secondly, if I thought like that I might as well quit working and go live under the first bus bench I can find so I can stake my claim since the whole world is going to implode and everyone is going to be broke and homeless. In the words of the worst President the US has ever had,

"C'mon man"

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35 minutes ago, md11fr8dawg said:

When will it merge key? Do you think when it does the surviving security will rise?

What's going to happen around April 27th APE becomes AMC. When that happens AMC shares will do a reverse split by 10 and will get a new CUSIP number. So the price per share will be 10 times what AMC is at the time of merger with APE.

Some believe that new CUSIP number will force all naked shares and failure to delivers to close which could cause the MOASS. Others think they will find a way to kick the can some more. I am buying up as many APE as I can so when it becomes AMC I will profit per share from the price increase. Then at the same time it will reverse split. So if I have 1000 shares of AMC at that point after the merger, I will have 100 shares of the new AMC at ten times the share price. From that point, people believe Adam Aaron can sell more shares and pay off all debt and kill the short thesis. Thus forcing them to close out their shorts and causing a massive squeeze and possibly the MOASS.

 

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  • 2 weeks later...
2 hours ago, pokerplayer said:

 

 

 

Does this mean we are fubared ?

 

  pp

 

OBV says no one has closed. When we see them close we will MOASS. Nothing will stop it otherwise huge institutions who have been loaning shares at ridiculously high CTB would lose millions if not billions. They won't let that happen. Marge will call. 

The MOASS is Inevitable no matter how much they kick the can. 

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45 minutes ago, pokerplayer said:

 

Actually the stocks to borrow aren't that many compared to the normal amount. The CTB is high and hit an all time high the other day. Volume is up, over 100 million the latest trading day. So this guy has good points but also some errors in his analysis.

To be honest I couldn't even guess, nor could anyone else I have realized, can guess what is going to happen this week or thereafter because this is so far outside normal trading charts and educated predictions.

 

Therefore, I buy and hold until we MOASS. 

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