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Strategic Expert: The Value Of The Iraqi Dinar Will Decrease In Relation To The US Dollar As Oil Falls !

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Experts and specialists on the collapse of oil prices: Iraq may "austerity" at best and unable to pay salaries at worst 

 

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Economy 03/20/2020 15:55 2146 Editor: ha    


Baghdad today - private

 

On Monday (09 March 2020), Iraq and the world woke up to a real catastrophe, which threatens to threaten the economies of the world, especially those that depend on selling oil, in their annual budgets, and the financial affairs of governments, after the sharp drop in oil prices this morning, when the price of a barrel One, 33 - 35 dollars.

Iraq relies for several years, totally dependent on oil to run the general budget of the country and the resulting salaries of employees and government spending and establish projects and job grades, where the local industry and agriculture have been absent for nearly 15 years. 

According to specialists and economists who spoke to (Baghdad today), "the drop in oil prices threatens the government's inability to pay employee salaries, lack of control over the prices of goods and goods, and the black market outbreak."

Reasons for the decline in global oil prices

The economic expert, Abdul Rahman Al-Mashhadani, revealed in an interview with (Baghdad Today), the reasons for the drop in oil prices to $ 30, and the impact of Iraq, employee salaries and the large percentage of deficits that will affect the budget.

The expert said, "The drop in oil prices is part of the oil war between the producing countries, especially after Russia's refusal to reduce prices and their exit from the (OPEC) agreement, as this led to a sharp decline in oil prices," noting that "the thing that deepened the crisis, is the announcement of Saudi Arabia." And other countries are working to increase production in order to make up the difference. "

Iraq was affected by the sharp decline in oil prices and the high deficit

The economic expert, Abd al-Rahman al-Mashhadani, indicated that "Iraq will sell oil up to $ 29 or less, while this year will be heavy for the Iraqi economy, as the drop in oil by one dollar will lead to the loss of Iraq by one billion and a quarter of a billion dollars annually."He pointed out that "Iraq is currently selling a barrel of oil at the price of 23 dollars, while it was approved in the budget at the price of 56 dollars, which shows a difference of up to 30 dollars."

Al-Mashhadani, stressed that "the foregoing will lead to the loss of Iraq approximately 55 trillion dollars, except for the basic deficit included in the budget that has not been approved so far, and whose deficit is estimated at 50 trillion dollars, where the final deficit will become up to 100 trillion."

The economist continued, "The government must rebuild a new austerity budget, within the available resources and capabilities possessed by Iraq, and work with expectations in the continuation of the oil war pursued by some countries, amid the collapse of the global economy, which is going through a major crisis, due to the spread of Corona virus, in More than 90 countries. "

And, "The Iraqi government will face major problems in providing the deficit requirements, due to the lack of the ability to internal borrow, due to the inability of the central bank, to break the law again, in lending to the government," asking, "The central bank has the ability to provide loans To the government and commercial banks, as previous governments have loans of 15 trillion dinars, "noting that" external borrowing will be difficult for Iraq, after Parliament issued a decision to prevent the government from borrowing, in addition to the fact that many countries will try to borrow abroad. " . 

Are oil imports sufficient to meet Iraq's financial needs in the event of a continued decline in oil?

An economist and professor at the University of Basra, who spoke to (Baghdad today), about the sharp decline that hit international oil prices, stressing that oil imports are not enough to meet the need for employee salaries. 

The expert Nabil Al-Mousawi said that "Iraq's financial revenues from oil will decrease from 78 billion to 40 million dollars and it will not be sufficient to cover salaries", noting that "what is happening is a financial stalemate due to the economic policies practiced by successive governments to administer Iraq."

A financial and economic catastrophe awaits Iraq

Member of Parliamentary Finance, Jamal Kujer, told (Baghdad Today), that Iraq is on the brink of a financial and economic catastrophe, in the event of continued decline in oil prices, which today recorded a sharp drop in its prices.

He stated that "the citizens of Iraq and the Kurdistan region will pay the price of this catastrophe, because the government relies heavily on oil, and it needs a public meeting to reassure people after panic and fear spread among them."

He added, "The drop of one dollar in the price of a barrel of oil means that Iraq lost about one and a half billion dinars," noting that "the only hope that we will not have a severe economic crisis greater than what we went through in 2016 is the disappearance of the Coruna virus and the return of oil prices to normal." 

He stressed, "The government has to take a set of steps, the most important of which is to reduce expenditures in ministries and local governments, and to strike the corrupt with an iron hand, and this is a historic opportunity because the people will stand with it and also tell the people the truth, because in these circumstances it is not possible to ratify appointments and increase salaries and others, as well as Expedite the formation of the new government or reassign the resigned prime minister, Adel Abdul Mahdi. 

The oil prices witnessed a sharp drop, on Monday (March 09 2020), which exceeded 20% of the liquid prices yesterday, after Saudi Arabia decided to reduce the price, after the failure of its talks to cut production with Russia.

The sharp fall in oil futures prices reached more than 20 percent, to the lowest level since 2016, on Sunday, after Saudi Arabia lowered the official price for selling its crude oil, indicating the start of a price war, after the failure of OPEC talks with Russia to reach an agreement About reducing production.

On Friday, Russia rejected OPEC's proposal to make significant production cuts in order to stabilize prices damaged by the economic consequences of the Corona virus. 

OPEC responded by removing restrictions on its oil production.

Brent crude futures fell $ 9.57, or 21.1 percent, to $ 35.70 a barrel by 2216 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude fell $ 8.62, or 20.9 percent, to $ 32.66.

In one of the most dramatic sales operations ever, Brent crude futures fell by 31 percent in a matter of seconds at the opening of trading in Asia on Monday, after oil prices have already suffered from the largest losses since the global financial crisis at the end of last week, according to what it reported US Bloomberg Agency. 

And Saudi Arabia had reduced, at late evening, Saturday evening, the official selling price of April shipments from all its raw materials to various destinations. 

Riyadh plans to increase its production in the same month to more than ten million barrels per day for the first time since May 2019.

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In numbers, experts are thinking about the fiscal deficit: Iraq needs $ 70 billion .. What is the solution?


2020-03-09
 
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Follow-up Yassin Iraq:



Iraq entered its rentier economy, on the line of the crisis between the oil giants Russia and Saudi Arabia, after the latter's insistence to flood the market with oil, contrary to the agreement of the Organization of Petroleum Exporters "OPEC".

Economists agree that the collapse of oil prices in urgent contracts, today, Monday, will place Baghdad in front of very difficult options, and perhaps resort to strategic cash reserves.

 

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🇮🇶MOHAMED ALSADY@Mohamadalsadiy
 
 

العجز المالي الذي يمر به #العراق لـعـام 2020💰
ربما يكون سبباً في إنهيار ما تبقى من إقتصاد !
وشل قدرة عمل دوائر الدولة بكافة مرافقها الحيوية
إذا لم يتم إدارة الموازنة الغير متكافئة
بطريقة تعتمد التوازن في التوزيع وتقليص الإلتزامات
مع مراعاة الديون الخارجية الهائلة !
_
محمد السعدي

Iraq’s fiscal deficit for 2020 may have caused the rest of the economy to collapse! And paralyze the ability of state departments to operate with all their vital facilities if the unequal budget is not managed in a manner that depends on the balance in distribution and the reduction of obligations, taking into account the enormous external debt! Mohammed Al-Saadi


The sources indicate that Iraq needs to cover the "payable" expenses for this year 2020, estimated at $ 40 billion in salaries, in addition to $ 12 billion to pay the loans.

Economic conditions are increasing complicated for Baghdad, with the necessity of paying $ 11 billion for oil licensing rounds with $ 2 billion to cover the costs of the ration card and another $ 5 billion to facilitate the work of the government.

 

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حول العالم@newsst01
 
 

اكد المستشار المالي لرئيس الوزراء العراقي مظهر محمد صالح، الاحد، أن الانفاق زاد 40 ترليون دينار مقارنة بالعام الماضي، فيما اشار الى ان الاقتراض الخارجي لسد فجوة العجز مرفوض. 

المصدر: السومرية نيوز

Around the world @ newsst01 The financial advisor to the Iraqi Prime Minister, Mazhar Muhammad Salih, confirmed on Sunday that spending increased 40 trillion dinars compared to last year, while he indicated that external borrowing to bridge the deficit gap is rejected. Source: Alsumaria News:

التفاصيل: TWITTER LINK 

View image on Twitter

 

The government expenditures record indicates that the sum of "financial and monetary duties" is equal to 70 billion dollars, while revenues at the current price of oil may not exceed more than 50 billion dollars.

The headache of the capital in Iraq comes at a time when the resigned government remains in its business responsibilities.

 

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Haitham Mazel@haitham_mazel
 
 

تأخير الموازنة يحمل العراق أعباء مالية، فوق العجز المالي الذي تجاوز ٥٠ ترليون دينار عراقي، بسبب الشروط الجزائية على تأخير انجاز العقود، ولا مانع من أن يتم استثناء حكومة تصريف الأعمال والسماح لها باقتراح قانون الموازنة على البرلمان، بعد إجراء التعديلات وتقليل العجز المالي

 Delaying the budget Iraq carries financial burdens, above the financial deficit that exceeded 50 trillion Iraqi dinars, due to the penal conditions for delaying completion of contracts, and there is no objection to the caretaker government being excluded and allowing it to propose the budget law to Parliament, after making amendments and reducing Financial deficit

View image on Twitter
 

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Low oil prices and this virus means there will be enormous pressure to change the status quo. It may be a tiny virus that initiates huge political and economic change in Iraq. What a strange world. :bananacamel:🙏

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US Treasury yields are falling to the lowest level in their history


2020-03-09
 
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Yassin Iraq: Baghdad

 

US 10-year Treasury yields fell 0.4 percent, for the first time ever, as investors rushed to hold government debt.

Market sentiment was dealt a heavy blow due to fears of the continued outbreak of corona that occupied nearly half of the world, in addition to the growing concern from the start of the oil price war between OPEC and Russia.

Investors are flocking to the possession of government bonds as a safe haven, which has pushed the return on those debts down, given the inverse relationship between prices and yield.

The rapid spread of corona has kept investors on the brink for weeks, given the potential impact on disrupting global supply chains and pushing the economy into a global recession.

By 11:36 am GMT, the yield on the US government’s 10-year debt fell to 0.417 percent after hitting 0.38 percent, a new record low.

The yield on the 30-year US Treasury note fell to 0.849 percent, after reaching 0.692 percent earlier, the lowest level in its history.

The yield on the US government bonds, which are due after two years, is down to 0.279 percent, after it recorded 0.251 percent earlier in trading, the lowest level in its history.

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The House of Representatives denies infection of 10 parliamentarians with the Corona virus

 

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19:02 - 09/03/2020
 
 

The Media Department of the House of Representatives denied on Monday that 10 parliamentarians were infected with the Corona virus.

And the department said, in a statement received / information / that "some local and international media dealt with today, Monday 9/3/2020 news that (10) members of the Iraqi parliament were infected with the emerging Crohna virus."

And she added, "In turn, we categorically deny the news that is circulated and which are not baseless," calling on all media to "be careful and objective in reporting the news from its official sources."

Earlier, the Ministry of Health announced the death of 76 people due to corona and the registration of 55 HIV infections so far in all of Iraq

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Yo Snap - Is SandFly The Fifth Candidate ? :o 

 

:D  :D  :D 
 

 

LINK

Deputy: Within two days, one of these five will be chosen
to head the next government

 

O9btffdGnZzkbjChyzCXEypIDDFugJjpMONhP0ga

 

9th March, 2020


A member of the House of Representatives, Hussein Arab, revealed on Monday, the decision to choose a candidate to head the interim government within two days.

Arab told Mawazine News that "the next two or three days will witness the identification of the candidate for the presidency of the next government," stressing that "one of the following five names: (Muhammad Shi'a Al-Sudani, Mustafa Al-Kazemi, Asad Al-Eidani, Qusay Al-Suhail, Ali My Thanks) will be selected."

He added, "The political bloc's discussions are focused on these five only now," noting that "dialogues are continuing between the political blocs to resolve the file of the prime minister."

He stressed, "The economic, health and security conditions in which Iraq lives requires the political blocs to think in the public interest and choose a candidate to head the government as soon as possible, and be able to run the state."

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Parliament intends to add about 700 billion dinars to fill the budget deficit

 

image.jpeg.df80a1f4694a41564d46c17f85502b3e.jpeg
 


10th March, 2020



Council of Representatives intends, on Tuesday, to add about 700 billion dinars in debts owed by mobile phone companies to bridge the deficit in the budget of 2020.

A member of the Information and Communications Committee in the House of Representatives Aswan Al-Chaldani said that "the committee demanded the recovery of debts owed by phone companies." Mobile to the state’s treasury, or adding it to the 2020 budget to fill the deficit in it, since the Iraqi people are more important to them than others.”

Al-Chaldani revealed, "There are great pressures exerted on everyone by influential political parties to impede the collection of these debts from these companies, to be evidence that there are interests between companies and those entities in this vital and important sector, which can be taken advantage of in all aspects of security and economic Social and others."

Al-Chaldani estimated the amount of that debt held by companies at "billions of dinars that were arranged over the past years without being paid into the state treasury or contributing to the recovery of the budget."

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4 hours ago, DinarThug said:

Yo Snap - Is SandFly The Fifth Candidate ? :o 

 

:D  :D  :D 
 

 

LINK

Deputy: Within two days, one of these five will be chosen
to head the next government

 

O9btffdGnZzkbjChyzCXEypIDDFugJjpMONhP0ga

 

9th March, 2020


A member of the House of Representatives, Hussein Arab, revealed on Monday, the decision to choose a candidate to head the interim government within two days.

Arab told Mawazine News that "the next two or three days will witness the identification of the candidate for the presidency of the next government," stressing that "one of the following five names: (Muhammad Shi'a Al-Sudani, Mustafa Al-Kazemi, Asad Al-Eidani, Qusay Al-Suhail, Ali My Thanks) will be selected."

He added, "The political bloc's discussions are focused on these five only now," noting that "dialogues are continuing between the political blocs to resolve the file of the prime minister."

He stressed, "The economic, health and security conditions in which Iraq lives requires the political blocs to think in the public interest and choose a candidate to head the government as soon as possible, and be able to run the state."

   

 I Nominate Davis!!!:twothumbs:

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19 hours ago, DinarThug said:

ten deputies were infected with the new Corona virus.

 

 GOOD!! Lock them all together in the GOI parliament building until they set things right.

      Currency rate, budget, give Iran the boot, prison for Maliki. Just to name a few !!

 

                 Image result for locked in room gif
 
                                        And NO toilet privileges either !! :wacko:
 
 
 
Edited by King Bean
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Thanks DT,  Well the Gubment isn't doing its job so we can cut that 5 Billion and if they create jobs the 2 billion spent on Ration Cards can be saved...  reminds me of a spoilt child who can't make enough to satisfy their needs but, that doesn't matter, they are entitled to what I have... can't balance its checkbook and depends on outside sources to finance its budget...LIVE WITHIN YOUR MEANS... By now they should have realized you have to set some aside for those hard times, (imho) just common sense.

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3 hours ago, King Bean said:

 

 GOOD!! Lock them all together in the GOI parliament building until they set things right.

      Currency rate, budget, give Iran the boot, prison for Maliki. Just to name a few !!

 

                 Image result for locked in room gif
 
                                        And NO toilet privileges either !! :wacko:
 
 
 

 

sounds right on the money to me .... letsroll

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2 hours ago, jmartin1145 said:

Sandfly was a regular on here.


SandFly For PM ! :o 

 

 

 

He’s The Only Candidate That Can Completely Turn Around A ‘Thankless’ Job ...

 

:D  :D  :D 

 

 

The Pentagon: We will send air defense systems to Iraq to protect American soldiers


Politics, security and economy


3 hours ago

 

The Pentagon said that the United States will send air defense systems to Iraq to protect the US military deployed there.

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The economy awaits him before humans

China sets next April as the date for the launch of the vaccine
that the world is waiting for!


19:45 Monday 09 March 2020

Baghdad _ people

 

"Scientists are about to find a vaccine for the deadly coronavirus (COVID-19), the first of its
kind, and it will be available for emergency use by next April," a Chinese government center
said on Monday.

The director of the Development of Science Center and Technology Commission of the National
Health China Zhong Cheng Wei according to the reported  site  " Mchabl " American Technical,
today, (March 9 , 2020), "according to our estimates, we hope that the intervention of some
vaccines , clinicalresearch , or be useful in emergency situations, By next April. ”

He added, "Scientists have succeeded in reaching this vaccine through cooperation and
exchange of the genetic sequence of the virus between various Chinese research institutions.

The Chinese announcement comes days after a famous Chinese epidemiologist injected
herself with a new vaccine against the emerging coronavirus, with six members of her team.

"We are doing everything we can to put the vaccine we are developing into the clinical trial
and application phase," said Chen Wei, an officer with the Chinese army. With providing
strong technical support to win this battle, ”she indicated, it usually takes between 12 and
18 months to ensure that vaccines meet safety standards.

Under Chinese law, vaccines can be used in an emergency before that period, if "their
benefits outweigh the risks," according to China's National Medicinal Administration.

And Moderna Biotechnology Company in the United States revealed its own vaccine that it
shipped this month to the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, to start
human  tests, while the director of the institute, Anthony Fushi, warned that even if the
initial safety tests  were good, it would take 12 to 18 months to see these vaccines widely
used around the world.

Experts stressed that expediting the use of vaccines outside the specified testing period
may be "ineffective and insecure", considering that China is trying to contain the flood of
criticism directed at it in dealing with the crisis of the spread of the Corona virus, by
appearing as a  savior and developing a vaccine without taking the necessary precautions.

LINK

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https://cbi.iq/news/view/1456

The Central Bank designs a pooled Islamic financing program (SIFP)

 

image.jpeg.43702acdd669b5c2c8a12a715fcf0a36.jpeg
 

10th March, 2020

 

In an effort to reduce the unemployment rate and reduce the import gap by supporting
projects that have a positive impact in raising the rate of GDP growth, the Central Bank 
of Iraq has provided a monetary approach that combines the methodology of specific 
monetary policy and the basic conditions for establishing market economies by
designing a program for consolidated Islamic finance (SIFP) ) , Which provides 
opportunities for partnership in financing between Islamic and conventional banks 
by targeting projects of strategic importance .
 
This comes at a time when the current economic stage is witnessing a number of
challenges in the production and consumption markets .
 
The Central Bank of Iraq
information Office
March 10, 2020
 
#############

LINK

The Central Bank designs a pooled Islamic financing program (SIFP)

 

The Central Bank designs a pooled Islamic financing program (SIFP)
 
 
10/3/2020 13:23:43
 
  
The Central Bank of Iraq announced the design of a pooled Islamic financing program {SIFP}.
 
A statement by the bank stated, "The Euphrates News Agency received a copy of it" in an effort to reduce the unemployment rate and reduce the import gap by supporting projects that have a positive impact in raising the rate of growth of GDP. For establishing market economies by designing a consolidated Islamic finance program (SIFP) that creates opportunities for partnership in financing between Islamic and conventional banks by targeting projects of strategic importance.

He added that "This comes at a time when the current economic phase is witnessing a number of challenges in the market of production and consumption, and in order to see the executive controls the basic principles of Islamic finance program complex".

############## 
 

LINK

The Central Bank launches a program of pooled Islamic financing


8550.jpg
 

10th March, 2020

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Parliament: We will make adjustments to the 2020 budget
as soon as it reaches us

 

image.jpeg.f6465320f6421236c2c7918205e56c96.jpeg

 

10th March, 2020


The Finance Committee of the House of Representatives announced on Tuesday its intention to make amendments to the 2020 budget as soon as it reaches the parliament.

The committee member, Adnan Al-Zorfi, said, "There are efforts by the financial committee to pressure unnecessary operating expenses and work to maximize the federal budget by allocating funds to investment projects." He added, "There are plans to direct the ministries and departments concerned to diversify their revenues for the purpose of reducing total dependence on oil revenues in the federal budget."

He pointed out that "the oil revenues are not fixed and the oil prices are subject to several setbacks due to political fluctuations and the circumstances that the world is going through recently, such as the Corona virus and others." He pointed out that "the budget is still with the Ministry of Finance," stressing that "if it is sent to parliament, the Finance Committee will make some amendments to it to reduce the large financial deficit in it."

He continued, "It is necessary for the next government to turn towards developing strategic plans to reduce dependence on oil in the budget, and the trend towards supporting productive sectors to maximize the country's non-oil financial resources."

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Russia is discussing the possibility of returning to cooperation
with OPEC


16163.jpg
 

10th March, 2020

 

Reuters quoted two sources on Tuesday as saying that the Russian Energy Ministry called for a meeting with oil companies tomorrow, Wednesday, to discuss future cooperation with OPEC, among other issues

."We intend to discuss whether or not we will return (to cooperate with) OPEC," one of the sources said

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The White House: Trump discusses with the Saudi crown
prince the position of oil markets

 

image.jpeg.79dc0631666bdd92a152f8c157090e98.jpeg

 

10th March, 2020


The White House announced that US President Donald Trump discussed in a telephone call with the Saudi crown prince, Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the situation of oil markets. "The president and the crown prince discussed global energy markets and other important regional and bilateral issues," White House spokesman Jude Dir said in a statement.

The statement added that the conversation between Donald Trump and Muhammad bin Salman took place on Monday. This comes at a time when Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Al-Nasser confirmed that the company will raise its oil supplies, which include oil to clients inside and outside the Kingdom, to 12.3 million barrels per day in April.

Al-Nasser said, in a statement published by the Reuters news agency, "The crude supply will increase 300 thousand barrels per day from the maximum sustainable production capacity of the company, which amounts to 12 million barrels per day."
Moreover, OPEC + countries were unable at their last meeting in the Austrian capital Vienna to agree to change the treatment criteria to reduce or extend production. As a result, from April 1, restrictions on oil production in alliance member countries will be lifted. 

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16 hours ago, DinarThug said:

Yo Snap - Is SandFly The Fifth Candidate ? :o 

 

:D  :D  :D 
 

 

LINK

Deputy: Within two days, one of these five will be chosen
to head the next government

 

O9btffdGnZzkbjChyzCXEypIDDFugJjpMONhP0ga

 

9th March, 2020


A member of the House of Representatives, Hussein Arab, revealed on Monday, the decision to choose a candidate to head the interim government within two days.

Arab told Mawazine News that "the next two or three days will witness the identification of the candidate for the presidency of the next government," stressing that "one of the following five names: (Muhammad Shi'a Al-Sudani, Mustafa Al-Kazemi, Asad Al-Eidani, Qusay Al-Suhail, Ali My Thanks) will be selected."

He added, "The political bloc's discussions are focused on these five only now," noting that "dialogues are continuing between the political blocs to resolve the file of the prime minister."

He stressed, "The economic, health and security conditions in which Iraq lives requires the political blocs to think in the public interest and choose a candidate to head the government as soon as possible, and be able to run the state."

 

Who the ellhay is Ali My Thanks?????

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US Vice President: Our Companies Have Come Up With
A Vaccine To Treat The Corona Virus

 

download-10.jpeg

 

10th March, 2020


Mike Pence, the American Vice President, announced that US drug companies have reached a new vaccine to treat the Corona virus.

"Drug companies have started vaccine tests," Pence said at a news conference, noting that "25 children in California have been cured."

The vice president added, "The risk of the virus to Americans remains low, and research is continuing in efforts to combat its spread."

It is noteworthy that the new Corona virus appeared in late December 2019 in Wuhan, China, in a market for the sale of wild animals, then spread quickly with a massive movement of citizens to spend the Lunar New Year holiday in January.

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5 minutes ago, TexasMike1958 said:

Who the ellhay is Ali My Thanks?????


It’s The Great Ali Achmed SandFly’s Alias Pen Name ! :o 
 

 

Kind Of Like Anthony Weiner’s Undercover Sexting Name ‘Carlos Danger’ Or Mitt Romney’s Alternate Twitter Handle ‘Pierre Delecto’...

 

:D  :D  :D 

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On 3/9/2020 at 5:38 PM, Laid Back said:

“Kurdistan Regional Government has suspended all government institutions from March 11 to the 26th of this month”


Perfect timing for an RV in March 22/2020.

just saying 

Go RV

From your lips to the CBI’s and IMF’s ears!!  I surely hope you’re right. 😊

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