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Iraq pays the price of confrontation between Iran and the United States of America “the biggest loser” Researcher Shatha Khalil * Iraq stands in the middle between the United States and Iran, the two countries that have had the interest of overthrowing the regime and creating chaos in the country, and evidence remains that the two sides are still working to make Iraq the arena of their conflict and with Iraqi blood. The strangest thing is the willingness of parties and (Iraqi politicians) to show a great enthusiasm to defend Iran. The parties, MPs and politicians showed support for Iran and prevented Iraq from complying with the new US sanctions imposed on Iran. Some have even come to say that they are ready to fight alongside Iran in any future confrontation. Moreover, they are talking about drafting a resolution in parliament calling on US forces to leave Iraq. On the other hand, the United States has supporters of its presence in Iraq, which makes it feel reassured about its influence there, and what raises more fears is the possibility of bloody confrontation with Iraqi hands and blood, this is happening now between the factions of the popular crowd and the liquidation of organizations inside it that are not loyal to Iran. The conflict of influence and domination on Iraq between America and Iran through the control on projects does not reflect hostility between Tehran and Washington, as it has clear indications on strategies set to divide the interests and prioritize influence. All because of the absence of an Iraqi national project and the involvement of Iraqis in sectarian and doctrinal conflicts because most of the parties and political names, whether they came with the occupier or have been incubated and produced domestically at home, do not carry a vision or national identity, and its first and last loyalty to external parties which have their own agendas , this is what made the battle and the conflict of foreign projects on the Iraqi arena a prevailing reality can not get out of its cycle , by an initiative to build a national Iraqi collective project , but the initiative is difficult in the near term because the inability of the Iraqi community machinery to overcome the past, and inability to diagnose the mistakes, this is on the one hand, and on the other, the important and most important, the dominance of the religious Marja decision on the collective consciousness in the street, and the dependency of the ruling junta and its symbols to these Marja and implementation of their decisions, in the service of their personal interests first, and their sick doctrinal second , and to maintain their positions third, and they no have the will, the national belonging, and not even the moral constant fourth and finally . The power crisis in Iraq: US sanctions on Iran put Iraq in trouble to rely on Iranian gas used to produce electricity, that is, Iraq must follow the steps of independence in the field of energy and politics. The Iraqi electricity sector suffers from poor conditions after many years of financial and administrative corruption in the country, as well as more than three years of war on the organization of the terrorist ISIS, which led to the destruction of the infrastructure in many of the provinces occupied by the organization. Iraq is currently importing about 28 million cubic feet of gas per day. The Iraqi Ministry of Electricity said that it is exempt from the sanctions imposed by Washington on Iran, and announced the continued flow of imported gas from Iran to feed the country’s production stations and the purchase of 1,200 MW of Iranian electricity. The United States on Monday decided not to renew exemptions on Iranian oil imports by May 2 to eight countries it received in December. The spokesman for the Ministry of Electricity Musab al-Mudaris , said that his country is currently importing from Iran about 28 million cubic feet of gas per day feeding a number of power plants to approximately 2800 MW, and is likely to increase quantities in June to 35 million standard cubic feet per day , to increase the production capacity to 3500 MW, and pointed to the continuation of the Iranian side to equip Iraq with 1200 MW of electricity every day feeding the national system, he said. Thus, Iraqi energy imports from Iran are of great importance to the country to meet the challenges of increasing domestic and industrial consumption in the country. As part of the deepening crisis, Iraq has signed contracts with Siemens, a leading German company worth $ 14 billion to renew the infrastructure in the country and the addition of new generation plants. Iraq is seeking to sign contracts worth billions of dollars, with the General Electric Company in this regard. The former Iraqi oil minister stressed the importance of the contracts signed with Siemens, saying: The German Company “can put an end to the suffering of the country in the field of electricity,” and it is possible to reach the stage of self-sufficiency, he said. Iraq also signed an agreement to connect electricity with Saudi Arabia, which has a large surplus of electricity production. The Ministry of Electricity spokesman Musab al-Mudaris that the total amount of energy imported by his country from Iran is 4,700 megawatts, which contributes to easing the Iraqi burden in the summer, adding that the goal of the ministry to provide eight thousand megawatts to be the volume of energy this summer in the highest history of Iraq, Iraq has no alternative to importing Iranian gas, adding that stopping imports would cost Iraq’s electricity grid 4,000 megawatts a day. Iraq has agreed to a deal with China Petroleum Engineering and Construction Company to build and operate facilities to process the extracted natural gas, as well as oil in the giant Halfaya field, two oil officials said. Iraq suffers from the waste of gas extracted from the burning process along with crude oil in its fields because of the lack of facilities to be treated and converted to fuel for domestic consumption or export. In conclusion, the element of surprise remains within the limits of the data that dominates the regional and international arenas, especially the mood swings of the American president, and it is not ruled out that the common interests between Iran and Washington will be the case. Economic Studies Unit Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

All the Iraqi economists are clear about the importance of a social market philosophy and development of private sector for economic growth. The social market philosophy is a socioeconomic model combining a free market capitalist economic system alongside social policies that establish both fair competition within the market and a welfare state. Go private sector Go development Go economic growth Go RV Go $1:1

Totally agree coorslite21. Those who feed on rumors are small, suspicious souls........Charles R. S. Go Research Go facts Go Truth

When will Washington resort to military force against Tehran? Iranian statements against the United States and the administration of President Donald Trump are rising, in exchange for the escalation measures taken by the administration in pressuring Iran to bow to US demands. Trump said the pressure on Iran was the biggest ever. The United States recently designated the Iranian Revolutionary Guard a terrorist organization, in the first action of its kind, in the classification of part of the armed forces of a state as a terrorist group. Washington has also decided to cancel the exceptions given to countries to buy Iranian oil, in order to prevent Iran from exporting oil completely. Other sanctions were added to the mining sector, the second in the Iranian economy after oil. The situation has become difficult for the Iranian regime, which is facing economic difficulties and popular discontent. Iran has pursued a defiant policy, given a deadline for European states to deal with it, otherwise it will withdraw from the nuclear deal that Trump has withdrawn from, while Europe remains committed to it. The Iranian deadline was immediately rejected, but the United States has expressed concern about another measure taken by Iran , that it has given the green light to its associated groups in the Middle East to attack US interests. As a result America has entered a military and political warning. The US Fifth Fleet based in the Arabian Gulf announced a high alert, warning all American civilian ships that they could be targeted by Iran, and military reinforcements were sent to the area, most notably the giant aircraft carrier SS Abraham Lincoln. But all these measures are defensive and ready to respond to any attack, not preparations to start a war or a major blow to Iran so far. America is not aiming to start a war with Iran. More importantly, the Trump administration, despite its massive escalation of pressure on Iran, it does not aim to overthrow the Iranian regime, but to restrict it. Even Trump said at the height of the crisis a few days ago, he wants to be contacted by Iranian leaders to negotiate, and this is the only way to save Iran from its great economic difficulties. But he added, surprisingly, that he wants Iran to be strong and great! The Iranian responses were clear in rejecting Trump’s offer to negotiate, but in politics everything is possible and secret contacts may exist now with all this escalation. The Iraqi arena is very important in the Iranian-American confrontation. Foreign Minister Pompeo canceled a visit to Germany and went to Baghdad. And his talks include defensive demands, that is to obtain an Iraqi commitment to protect US forces in Iraq from any attack by Iraqi groups associated with Iran. He used the term protection. Therefore, this is not talking about American pressure on Iraq to take America’s side in any military confrontation that might happen .Pompeo briefed Iraqi officials on Iran’s guidance to those associated with it to attack US interests, and then returned home passing to Britain, the closest US ally, and its partner in any war. The situation is inflamed in the region. But there is no media mobilization in Washington for a war with Iran. The American strategy is to escalate economic pressure so that Tehran will bow to Trump and sign an agreement according to its terms. It may differ more or less from the nuclear agreement signed by the administration of his predecessor Obama and Trump withdrew from it. But America will not start a military strike; it is only increasing its readiness to respond. However, General Qassem Soleimani, the commander of the Iranian Quds Force through his own channels, leaked an Israeli intelligence information Mossad, which in its turn leaked to the CIA about his meeting ( regular and repeated meetings)) with leaders of Iraqi factions described as loyal or allied to Iran within his plan to make division between the US administration’s hard-line war wing and President Donald Trump. Sulaymani has extensive personal relations with various actors in regional conflict by virtue of his position as a leader of the Revolutionary Guard and his work in the strategic files related to the Iranian national security, especially in Iraq, Syria and Yemen, he also met with prominent leaders in the popular crowd during their presence in Ahwaz governorate to provide relief to the Iranians when exposed to floods. ” special” information was leaked about the scenes of the meeting in which Sulaimani aims to push the hardline team within the US administration into immediate action and push for escalation with Iran as specific Iraqi groups would kidnap US diplomats, officers and soldiers and thus threaten US interests in Iraq. This is what the hard-line American team, Pompeo and Bolton Brian Hawk, is looking for, the reason for the war against Iran, as Trump was told that Sulaimani has told the leaders of the Iraqi factions that they should prepare for the war, this meeting will be a reason to raise the levels and degrees of threat to US forces and military bases in Iraq to the maximum extent . What Soleimani wanted was to increase the gap and divergence of views on the Iranian issue and ways to resolve it between the US president, who aspires to a second presidential term and his hardliners who want to escalate and change the Islamic Republic’s regime through a scenario of war and to move the Iranian interior .So far, the disparity has surfaced when a senior administration official familiar with Trump’s talks with national security adviser John Bolton and Foreign Secretary Mike Pompeo was quoted as saying that Trump was furious all week over what he saw as a war plan that went beyond his ideas which don’t go beyond the limits of pressure sanctions and military mobilizations and avoid being dragged into a military confrontation and this as referred to by New York Times Thursday by saying , that President Donald Trump had told Acting Defense Secretary Patrick Chanahan that he did not want to go to war with Iran. Throughout the week, the US president, in his remarks and the moves of the Defense Ministry as if he were above the tree, could not get off even when his Foreign Minister Pompeo met with his Russian counterpart in Sushi and his vague references where Moscow was not reassured about Trump intentions towards the Iranian issue. Trump’s Republicans, who control the majority of seats in the Senate, are not happy with this situation and they have been in critical situation in front of their Democratic rivals on the eve of the 2020 presidential election, and preparations are underway in Congress for Trump officials to make secret statements about the situation with Iran. Lawmakers from both parties have asked for more information. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Joint Chiefs of Staff General Joseph Danford and Acting Defense Minister Patrick Chanahan will attend Tuesday’s hearing before the entire Senate, an embarrassment to Trump in front of supporters and opponents, as members of Congress complain weeks ago that Trump’s management did not inform them with sufficient information about the current escalation with Iran, even some Republicans say the administration did not show them anything on that issue. The question arises in this context: Is the US heading for war with Iran? There are two stories competing for the answer to this question. The first story, favored by the administration of President Donald Trump, is based on the fact that Iran has bad intentions and that there are preparations for a possible attack on US targets, although the details disclosed are few, and pushed US to send military reinforcements to the region, and the US is working to reduce the number of its non-essential diplomatic staff in Iraq and is reconsidering its war plans. The message to Tehran is clear: any attack on an American target from any source, whether Iran or any of its many allies or proxies in the region, will be met with a huge military response. The other story blames Washington in this crisis. It is not surprising that Iran will stick to this story, but many who criticize the Trump administration’s way of thinking from interior prefer it too. But a number of major European Trump allies have concerns about this, but to varying degrees. According to this story, the “hawks” in the US administration, such as US National Security Adviser John Bolton or Secretary Minister Mike Pompeo, see this as an appropriate opportunity. This story shows that the goal of those hawks is to change the regime in Tehran, and if the extreme degrees of economic pressure don’t succeed in doing so, they believe that military action is not ruled out according to circumstances. These two stories reflect different interpretations of the truth. As is often the case, each works to highlight certain facts and to ignore others to prove that they are the correct ones. But perceptions here are as important as truth, and in many ways to be the reason to reach the truth. That fact is that a conflict between the United States and Iran , even it was just a coincidence rather than something that has already been prepared , is more likely now than ever since Trump took over the presidency of the United States. The Middle East is certainly witnessing a rise in tensions. Iran is working to tackle this, although its economy is suffering from the re-imposition of sanctions that were lifted under a nuclear deal signed in 2015 with world powers. Iran has threatened that it will no longer abide by any restrictions on its nuclear activity. Trump came to power is a turning point. He withdrew from the nuclear deal a year ago and worked to exert maximum pressure on the Iranian government. However, Iran is fed up with this pressure, and it is working hard to push the Europeans to do more to help its deteriorated economy threatening that if they do not do so, and it is difficult to know what they can do, it will violate the terms of the nuclear agreement. This will give Trump a further reason to take an offensive stance. The situation now depends on the moves taking place within the Trump administration and on Tehran’s assessment of what is happening there. The president himself has sought to underestimate the idea that officials in his administration are divided over the Iran issue. Reports indicated that Trump is not very enthusiastic about the war. He is known for his opposition to military conflicts abroad. But it is not likely that he will back down if its forces or installations are attacked. But Tehran does not have to look at things this way. Does Iran see that it can spoil the relationship between Bolton and his boss, heightening tension between the two parties, prompting Bolton to reveal his plans, which may hasten his fall? If that is Tehran’s assessment, it will be a strategy of high risk. While Israel and Saudi Arabia, the two most important allies of the US administration in the region, are welcoming this step , but the administration’s partners in Europe are uncomfortable about what will happen. Spain, Germany and the Netherlands have taken steps to stop any military activities In the Middle East, in partnership with the Americans, due to rising tensions in the region. This is not the time to see how the conflict between the United States and Iran will be. Moreover, comparing this conflict to the invasion of Iraq in 2003 will not be useful. Iran is a different example from the situation in Iraq under the rule of former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein. The idea of a full-scale invasion on Iran would not be among the options as a military conflict could arise by air and sea, which Iran’s way in dealing with will be different , which would ignite the region as a whole. There were those who predicted a major foreign policy disaster with Donald Trump taking over as president of the United States. Instead, there is an ongoing multidimensional crisis involving a number of elements, all illustrated by Iran’s situation: there is a state of disdain for international conventions, excessive reliance on regional allies with their own plans to pursue, tensions with old NATO partners and, above all, the inability to resolve the decision and set priorities for Washington’s real strategic interests. With renewed competition among the superpowers, where the United States seeks to redirect the deployment of its forces and strengthen its capabilities facing the rise of China and the boldness of Russia, where is Iran standing now within priorities for Washington ‘s strategy ? Is the Iranian threat really worth fighting a major conflict? Many strategic analysts will reply by rejection . Many also accept that the idea of containing Tehran with strong retaliatory measures may be necessary in the event of its attack on US interests, but the sound of drums of war are not as necessary. The war between Washington and Tehran remains excluded, especially as there are regional and international parties that have hastened to mediate in trying to drag the parties to the negotiating table and the direct dialogue that Trump wants and insists on. Tehran rejects it and does not close the door to it for sure on real legitimate demands and not on the terms of the UN Security Council resolution No. 2231 (2015), the last international resolution on the Iranian nuclear issue and provided to support of the nuclear agreement and lifting sanctions in relation to Iran’s nuclear program. Although Khamenei has rejected direct negotiations with the current Trump administration because he has vetoed the nuclear deal and can not be trusted again, and is betting on his failure in the upcoming elections, he does not mind absolutely to maintain the ball rolling , perhaps Trump calculates it with (trader mentality) and therefore comply with Resolution 2231 and dismisses his national security adviser John Bolton, who deals with Iran as a member of the Iranian Mojahedin –eKhalq organization (People’s Mujahedin Organization ), the opposition accused since the Shah of terrorist acts against America itself, and consistent with the international consensus, especially the European pro-nuclear agreement, and to work with the Islamic Republic in regional and International files that were supposed to be opened with it after the conclusion of the nuclear agreement. When Trump comes down from the tree, especially since the consensus in the leadership within Iran is not to give the hardliners the pretext to wage war on their country, Tehran will remain in the nuclear agreement and will not withdraw from it and will not achieve the desire of the team that pushed the US president to withdraw from it and incite him to attack Iran? When the Supreme National Security Council, headed by the Iranian president, reinforces the internal front, Rohani begins the first steps of unity among the political factions in the country to overcome the circumstances he said , that are perhaps more difficult than the situation during the war with Iraq in the 1980s ?! In summary, there are certain cases that accelerate the resort of the United States of America the use of military force against Iran, namely: Iran’s production of nuclear weapons, and Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz to oil tankers, targeting the US forces deployed in Iraq and the Arabian Gulf, these cases combined or alone may hasten to resort to a military option against Iran. Except that, all outstanding problems between the two countries can be resolved through diplomacy, direct diplomacy, third-party diplomacy or hotline diplomacy. Iranian Studies Unit Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

Thanks @Synopsis, @Floridian, @cranman, @yendor For your great comments.! Go RV sooner than later Go $1:1

Dear Botz, To be honest I don’t care what you believe. I have seen you doing the same thing with other members of the DV community, “Attacking” and calling names because you’re not agree with their comments looks like you are craving attention. I’m sorry if my opinion about this investment hurt your feelings but I know you love to read them. Because you learn from it.

Synopsis, thanks for your input. I know you did your research before entering in this investment you’re always been objective in all your analysis also you respect others people opinion even if you’re not agree with them. In my opinion you’re a respectable and valuable members of DV community I support all your contributions 100% my Friend. Looking forward to meet you in the near future Enjoy the weekend Go Moola Nova Go $1:1

Vent out dear Botz, l understand your frustration..... Your Van life still far away. Go RV 2020 Go $1:1

I know where you coming from dear Botz, I Wrote “Why I believe our wait will be longer” on March 10 .... Today is May 17 and NO RV yet. Until today I’m right on my assessment - the government is not fully seated yet - oil prices over $60 no RV yet - HCL, Art140, FML, IMF Art8 not done - The drums of war are getting loud I recommend you to do your research dear Botz. Go RV sooner than later Go $1:1

Thanks for your input Sk 1962, Everybody is entitled to an opinion my friend. Some people like my opinion and some people don’t like it. To be honest I don’t care about Criticism. I have done my research on this investment. I’m heavily invested on the dinar and I want the RV like everyone else..... sooner than later Iraq has accomplished a lot in the last years, but still some work to do.! Cheers and enjoy the weekend.

I know..... Enjoy the weekend pp😊 Cheers.!

The US-Iranian escalation is open to all possibilities Tensions between Iran and the United States have escalated since Trump withdrew from the nuclear deal in 2015 aimed at curbing Tehran’s nuclear activities and re-imposing tough sanctions on Iran. Pompeo’s visit to Baghdad embodies a US desire to neutralize the Iraq issue on the sidelines of the high tension in the crisis with Tehran , the US minister, set four key points in the visit by meeting with Iraqi officials and they are as follows : The first point is that Iraq should distance itself from the crisis with a US desire to see Iraq stable and the second is that its role should be neutral for its interests and the interests of its people. .. The third issue is that the Iraqi government must protect US interests because the US presence is to protect the Iraqis, so the Iraqi government has a pivotal role in protecting the security of US interests. The four issue is the withdrawal of the popular crowd from the Nineveh Plain . The US minister was happy by the agreement with the American giant “Exxon Mobil” which will provide gas and oil and other needs of Iraq as Pompeo discussed Iraq’s exemption from sanctions where Iraq can import gas and electricity from Tehran. With this American-Iranian escalation, the Iraqi government was able, thanks to its balanced diplomacy with its neighbor Iran and its US ally, to continue to buy Iranian gas and electricity and to sign with X-Mobil America, and this evidence that the three presidencies in Iraq as some thought equal 3 / zero for the benefit of Iran is incorrect. The Iraqi government is seeking to keep the potential confrontation between Washington and Tehran away in the wake of escalating threats between the two sides and resolving the outstanding problems by the dialogue and peaceful means, and they – and other countries are counting on easing tension between Tehran and Washington over its invisible diplomatic style . In his visit to Baghdad, Pompeo stressed the importance of non-aggression by the Hezbollah battalions and the movement of al-Nujaba on US interests in Iraq. According to special information received by the Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies, there is a tendency by Iran’s allies in Iraq to target US interests in it, Pompeo told Iraqi leadership that any attack on those interests would be met by a response in the Iranian depth and not on its allies in Iraq or the region. it seems that the US intelligence information was correct , so as soon as the freezing of Iranian oil exports came into force on May 2, and as a reaction of Iran to that freezing , and as a proof of this and with special information for the Rawabet Center for research and Strategic Studies, the drones of Iraqi Air Force and the Iraqi Army managed to foil a military operation that was aimed at carrying out a missile attack on the US base of Balad , and to prevent the Iraqi government itself any embarrassment or responsibility by the United States of America, it imposed strict protection on all US interests in the Iraq , and also Adel Abdul Mahdi assigned the Green Zone Task Force to tighten the protection of the US embassy and other Western embassies. Currently, a psychological war of a military and security nature is being waged between Washington and Tehran, from its part the US has sent a US Patriot missile defense system and aircraft carrier to the Middle East amid the escalated tensions with Iran. “and the US aircraft carrier USS Arlington, Carrying amphibious vehicles and fighter aircraft, will join to the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier stationed in the waters of the Gulf, the United States had previously moved the strategic B52 launchers to its military bases in Qatar, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Joseph Da Navford said that the move of the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier to the Gulf region was aimed at deterring any possible Iranian attack. Danford said during a hearing of the Senate Subcommittee on Appropriations that Lincoln was making its way to the Gulf before ordering to speed up its arrival there, after reviewing the intelligence reports warned of the possibility of Iran attacks on US targets. In an interview with Reuters, US special envoy to Iran Brian Hawk said his country did not want to go to war with Iran but would exert maximum pressure to change its behavior. Hawk warned that any Iranian attack on American targets or on Washington’s allies will be met by force. He added that Tehran’s announcement to reduce some of its commitments to the nuclear agreement is contrary to international values. Hawk said that Washington would impose more sanctions on Tehran and noted that Iran had stepped up its intervention in the region after the nuclear agreement , and Tim Morrison, special adviser to the US president and director of weapons of mass destruction and biological defense, said at the National Security Council that the US administration would impose more of the sanctions on Iran very soon. Morrison stressed that the suspension of exemptions granted to some countries to import Iranian oil was aimed at striking the main source of income of the Iranian regime. The New York Times reported on Monday that US Defense Secretary Patrick Chanahan had submitted an improved military plan to the administration of President Donald Trump, including scenarios of sending up to 120,000 troops to the Middle East if Iran attacked US forces or accelerated the production of nuclear weapons. The newspaper quoted unnamed administration officials as saying that Chanahan presented the plan at a meeting of top security aides of Trump on Thursday. On the Iranian side , the commander of the Iranian Army’s ground force , Brogadier General Kyumirth Haidari , said the army is ready to counter any aggression against his country strongly and decisively , and he added “The Iranian army is one of the strongest armies in the world and has the military equipment and the manpower to confront the enemy,” , adding that the Iranian forces were capable by relying on the local military industry to defend the country’s security. The commander-in-chief of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, Major General Hussein Salami said that the United States is gathering all its forces to terrorize his country through psychological and economic wars and military threat. He added that Iran’s confrontation with its enemies reached its peak and that the Revolutionary Guard’s task is to stand against any conspiracy and aggression against Iran, Salami said that Iran must be ready to defend itself, stressing that the Revolutionary Guard stands at the forefront of this battle and that it will defend the stability and security of Iran. Speaking of the balance of power between Iran and the United States, of the 400,000,000 active US military and 1,100,000 in reserves, the United States has deployed troops in 750 military bases in at least 130 countries. According to Iran and to Global Firepower, it ranks eighth in the world in terms of troop size, with a total of 545,000 troops. The Revolutionary Guard is one of the pillars of the Iranian military force and according to military reports includes about 90 thousand soldiers, while the Quds Force includes about 18 thousand. Iran has about 480 warplanes in exchange for more than 13,000 fighter jets in the United States. on the land , Iran has more than 1,600 tanks for about 9,000 tanks in the United States, but the difference is much greater in the number of combat vehicles, where Washington has 30 times that of Tehran, while the two countries are approaching in the number of missile platforms. The Iranian Navy has about 18,000 military personnel in about 400 naval units, while the United States has 20 aircraft carriers and 430 warships. Iran has the air defense system Power 373, which is similar to the performance of the Russian system “S 300” and Tehran has a stockpile of cruise missiles and ballistic missiles, Iran also has a radar system with a range of 1100 kilometers. As for the points of friction between Iran and the United States of America, Iran has threatened these days to target US bases in the region if attacked, and identified more than 30 bases in the region, included in the list of targets, and compared those bases to the pieces of meat between Iranian teeth, and Washington said that it will respond to any targeting of its forces or interests. Gulf waters may be one of the areas of direct contact between Washington and Tehran, and in confrontations that may be indirect and possibly by pro-Iranian forces in different regions of Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan and the Strait of Hormuz, where the Houthis are located at the Bab al-Mandab Straits. Each party estimates its military power noting that the power is not only the military power but economic ones as well , as the Iranian economy is currently undergoing its most difficult period , the unemployment rate has exceeded 36 million person looking for a jab , and this figure is a social bomb that can explode at any moment in the face of the ruling regime in Iran, not to mention the harsh US sanctions imposed on the Iranian economy, which with the Trump administration seems to have no end , and in reciprocal in the short term , Trump managed to reduce the unemployment rate in the United States, and this is calculated for him, so he will not easily risk his achievements in the American economy , and if he decided to enter in an open war with Iran , it will be for American reasons , noting that Trump will not fight on behalf of others even they are his allies , the war is not a picnic but it has its political, economic, social, security and military costs, especially in democratic countries such as the United States of America, but there are States calculated on both sides, whether allied or rival or enemy , want to ignite a war between them to achieve their interests, but the war in the end will be a heavy loss, especially on the Iranians. To accelerate the pace of direct war between Washington and Tehran, a third party may enter the equation of the conflict in igniting it. The United Arab Emirates announced on Sunday evening that four commercial cargo ships were subjected to “sabotage operations” in its waters off Iran, without specifying the nature of these acts or destinations behind it, in a rare incident in the Gulf state, which enjoys great security stability. The Foreign Ministry said in a statement published by the official news agency that «four civilian commercial cargo ships of several nationalities were exposed this morning to sabotage operations in the economic waters of the UAE», near the Emirate of Fujairah, about 115 km from Iran. The ministry pointed out that «the sabotage operations did not result in any human damage or injuries, and there is no leakage of any harmful substances or fuel from these vessels», adding that is being investigated «on the circumstances of the accident in cooperation with local and international bodies» and the ministry did not clarify the conditions of this rare incident in UAE waters. Despite more than 24 hours of attacks on four multinational ships in the UAE’s economic waters opposite Iran, uncertainty continues to grow and questions are growing about the nature of the attacks on the ships, the body behind it, the targets and messages it wanted to deliver through these attacks, It is ironic that the ambiguity of the act and the concealment of the perpetrators came amid an unprecedented situation – at least in recent years – of the mobilization, tension and alertness in the Gulf waters, which raised other questions about the identity and motives of those involved in these attacks. Fearing that this aggression may extend to US interests in Iraq, the US Embassy in Baghdad issued a statement on Sunday calling on its citizens not to travel to Iraq, the embassy advised all its citizens to remain vigilant in the face of the escalated tensions in Iraq. The statement added,”the measures to be taken are” do not travel to Iraq “,” avoid presence in gathering places “,” do not draw attention “and” pay attention to their surroundings. ” And what increased US alert in Iraq, that the Americans received information from some Iraqis that – tonight – at dawn today , the interests of the US in Iraq will be exposed to the attacks by the allies of Iran, and based on this information, the US administration contacted with the Iraqi political leadership to verify the credibility of this information, according to special information obtained by the Rawabet Center for research and strategic studies, that the information that reached the US Embassy in Iraq and its turn conveyed to the United States were false and baseless , and if some incidents have taken place , they were simple at essence and not by the pro-Iran allies but they were done by other bodies seeking to ignite the military and security situation between Washington and Iran . In light of this false information, the Federal Government and the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq put strict protection on the US diplomatic mission in Iraq, both the US Embassy in Baghdad and the US Consulate in the Kurdistan region and Basra, and protect all US interests in Iraq, because the protection of those interests is the responsibility of the Iraqi government based on the Vienna Conventions governing the operation of missions and diplomatic bodies. Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi reassured Washington that the Iraqi situation is stable and that he does not accept ang infringement to the US interests in Iraq, as he seeks through diplomatic channels to calm down the conflict between Washington and Tehran so that things do not go into the unknown and that the two countries are not caught up in the plots against them to ignite a regional war in the region, while at the same time Adel Abdul-Mahdi refuses to violate the security and sovereignty of Iraq, and that Iraq is not a place to settle adversaries accounts on its land. On the Iranian side, and in order not to slip to the brink of the abyss between Washington and Tehran in Iraq and the region, its allies in Iraq have committed themselves to the utmost restraint, and the legitimate question that arises in this context: who is the body responsible for passing this false information to disturb the dawn of Iraq and Iran and evening of Washington, and put them on high alert for any action and reaction. And in an significant security development, this time from Saudi territories, Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih acknowledged the attack by booby troops drones was carried out on Saudi oil facilities after Huthis announced in Yemen that they had hit vital Saudi facilities in a “major military operation.”Al-Falih said , according to the news agency Saudi Arabia – that two pumping stations for the East-West pipeline, which carries Saudi oil from the oil fields in the Eastern Province to the port of Yanbu on the west coast were attacked by the a booby-trapped drone between six and six and a half (local time) on Tuesday morning, and the Saudi minister sees that this work , which is described as “terrorist and subversive” in addition to “those that have recently occurred” in the Gulf against vital installations, are not only targeting Saudi Arabia, “but the security of energy supplies to the world and the global economy, and again proves the importance of addressing all terrorist organizations that carry out such acts of sabotage including the Houthi militias in Yemen backed by Iran. ” According to Saudi Press Agency, the national oil company Aramco stopped the pumping of oil in the pipeline, “where the damage is assessed and the repair of the station to restore the line and pumping to normal,” Faleh said that the attack led to a fire at station No. 8, and it was controlled and caused limited damage. The al-Masirah channel of the al-Houthi group said earlier that the Huthis had carried out a “major military operation” as the Yemeni Houthi group launched an attack, the first of its kind and size on Saudi targets, using seven drones at once. The attack targeted, according to the Houthis, the two pumping stations of Aramco company No. 8 and 9 which supports the flow of oil and gas through gas and oil pipelines from the Eastern Province through the provinces of Dawadmi and Afif, 220 km and 380 km west of the Saudi capital Riyadh. According to special information received by the Rawabet Center that drones that targeted different parts of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, “Medina, and the eastern regions” are the product of geo-physics of the Iranian technology, and sources of takeoff are varied , including those launched from within the territory of Yemen towards its objectives in depth Saudi Arabia, and those which were launched through small naval boats, and this operation is a new stage of escalation of the stages of the war between the Arab allies and Houthis, and is part of the US-Iranian tension in the region, which is like an Iranian message to the United States and its allies to know its reaction ” And that Iran will not accept and will not bear the imposition of harsh economic sanctions on it, an operation carried out with the knowledge and approval of the Iranian Revolution Guide and under the direction of the Iranian National Security Council. The question is: Will the United States protect its allies in the Arabian Gulf? Within 48 hours, the Gulf Arab region witnessed remarkable military developments, the first of which were the bombings of Fujairah, which were not adopted by any side, but the fingerprints of Al-Qaeda terrorist organization are clear by adopting it at the simple depths of the sea to carry out its operation and in cooperation with countries in the region , but al-Houthi group announced about the drones . These actions contributed to the rise of tension in the Gulf and the rise in oil prices. A few days later, investigations will reveal who is behind the Fujairah bombings, and the countries concerned will determine the appropriate method to respond to them. To sum up, we do not want the sound of drums of war on the eastern and western parts of the Gulf, not in the Arab environment, because they are very expensive for countries and peoples, and to resolve all thorny issues through diplomacy, because it is the most effective way to avoid the region from suffering and woes . International Studies Unit Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

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