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Vaccine Impact


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How many lives have coronavirus vaccines saved? Here’s what research has found

 

By Sumedha Gupta, IUPUI

file-20211013-27-1g7zmpv.png?ixlib=rb-1.  CC BY-ND

 

More than 200 million U.S. residents have gotten at least one shot of a COVID-19 vaccine with the expectation that the vaccines slow virus transmission and save lives.

Researchers know the efficacy of the vaccines from large-scale clinical trials, the gold standard for medical research. The studies found the vaccines to be very effective at preventing severe COVID–19 and especially good at preventing death. But it’s important to track any new treatment in the real world as the population-level benefits of vaccines could differ from the efficacy found in clinical trials.

For instance, some people in the U.S. have only been getting the first shot of a two-shot vaccine and are therefore less protected than a fully vaccinated person. Alternatively, vaccinated people are much less likely to transmit COVID-19 to others, including those who are not vaccinated. This could make vaccines more effective at a population level than in the clinical trials.

I am a health economist, and my team and I have been studying the effects of public policy interventions like vaccination have had on the pandemic. We wanted to know how many lives vaccines may have saved due to the states’ COVID-19 vaccination campaigns in the U.S.

 

Building an accurate model

In March 2021, when weekly data on state COVID-19 vaccinations started to become reliably available from state agencies, my team began to analyze the association between state vaccination rates and the subsequent COVID-19 cases and deaths in each state. Our goal was to build a model that was accurate enough to measure the effect of vaccination within the complicated web of factors that influence COVID–19 deaths.

To do this, our model compares COVID-19 incidence in states with high vaccination rates against states with low vaccination rates. As part of the analysis, we controlled for things that influence the spread of the coronavirus, like state–by–state differences in weather and population density, seasonally driven changes in social behavior and non-pharmaceutical interventions like stay-at-home orders, mask mandates and overnight business closures. We also accounted for the fact that there is a delay between when a person is first vaccinated and when their immune system has built up protection.

 

Vaccines saved lives

To check the strength of our model before playing with variables, we first compared reported deaths with an estimate that our model produced.

When we fed it all of the information available – including vaccination rates – the model calculated that by May 9, 2021, there should have been 569,193 COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. The reported death count by that date was 578,862, less than a 2% difference from our model’s prediction.

Equipped with our well-working statistical model, we were then able to “turn off” the vaccination effect and see how much of a difference vaccines made.

Using near real-time data of state vaccination rates, coronavirus cases and deaths in our model, we found that in the absence of vaccines, 708,586 people would have died by May 9, 2021. We then compared that to our model estimate of deaths with vaccines: 569,193. The difference between those two numbers is just under 140,000. Our model suggests that vaccines saved 140,000 lives by May 9, 2021.

Our study only looked at the few months just after vaccination began. Even in that short time frame, COVID-19 vaccinations saved many thousands of lives despite vaccination rates still being fairly low in several states by the end of our study period. I can say with certainty that vaccines have since then saved many more lives – and will continue to do so as long as the coronavirus is still around.The Conversation

 

https://ohiocapitaljournal.com/2021/10/18/how-many-lives-have-coronavirus-vaccines-saved-heres-what-research-has-found/

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30 minutes ago, md11fr8dawg said:

Let's just believe ANY number these ass clowns pull out of their arses. Any of these guys researching how many people have either died from the injection itself or died by contacting covid after being vaccinated. NOPE, wouldn't fit the One World control narrative!! Just saying.

You could say that about anything posted!

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If the "vaccines" were soooo good - why do they give them away and live saving drugs like insulin are through the roof expensive?

 

I mean - why don't they pass out dobbies, and hamburgers like they do for the vaxxes?

 

Just asking myself.

 

and I don't expect anyone to answer as it is a rhetorical question.

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Again.....the MSM and Governnent are inconsistent at best with the data they supply....146 million who have had covid....199 million fully vaccinated.....and that exceeds the total of 330 million population in the US.
 
So what can you conclude?
Covid in the US is just a "nothing burger".....(and these #'s have been approved by the CDC.....)
 
So we all are in the same boat...CL 
We know nothing....
 
 
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 As of December 7, 2021, there had been around 582 million COVID-19 vaccine doses distributed in the United States. This represents approximately 199 million citizens who have completed 2 dose protocals.
 
========
 

These estimates suggest that during this period, there were approximately:

146.6 Million

Estimated Total Infections

124.0 Million

Estimated Symptomatic Illnesses

7.5 Million

Estimated Hospitalizations

921,000

Estimated Total Deaths

 
 
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