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SWFloridaGuru

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Posts posted by SWFloridaGuru

  1. 5-31-2012 SWFloridaGuy: A successful "no confidence" requires an absolute majority which would be 163, although they've been referencing 164 lately. There are 325 altogether. To get that majority, they must have cross-party support. It's hard to tell what the real numbers are from the official parliament report. News reports suggest that the votes often split along party lines, at times almost splitting the chamber in half. We've even seen instances where 2nd votes had to be taken due to alleged technical issues. They are trying to rally up the necessary signatures to ensure that they know exactly what the outcome will be, when the emergency session is called and it's time to make it official. If the reports coming out are true, Maliki's opposition may have the numbers on their side at this point. It doesn't appear like anyone is interested in talking about this any longer. They are taking action, which is a great sign we are moving past this and onto the next stage. As usual all we can do is sit back, enjoy the fireworks and hope we watching the grand finale.

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  2. 5-27-2012 SWFloridaGuy: The first thing that comes to mind when I hear "bank package," is "unecessary risk." Many of these packages require your full name, address, email, phone number, amount of dinar/dong (net worth post-rv) you hold and reserves. This is EXTREMELY FOOLISH. Not only for you but for the ones providing them, from a liability standpoint. People were doing similar bank packages a couple years ago. Everyone gave out their personal information thinking they would miss out if they didn't. Two years later, the only thing they accomplished is a huge security risk for no reason. There is no new rate, there's nothing to talk about. Bank policies toward the IQD won't even be in place until the currency is tradeable. I have yet to hear a single good reason from a "guru" as to why on earth I should trust someone online I don't know with information I wouldn't even give to my relatives. I find it funny that the same ones who are doing the bank packages, are the ones who complain in chat every day of how people are hacking their emails, phones etc. What a shocker. Maybe that's because they advertise that they have potentially billions of $$ of information stored on their hard drive. Also, these sites are completely unsecure. There is no “S”in the HTTP. Your information could be abused very easily. Providing that personal information gives any hacker a foot in the door. Information is the new gold. Identity theft is the nation's fastest growing crime according to the FBI, and trusting anyone you don't know online is INSANITY! Whether you are cashing out with a bank or a currency exchange, rates will be comparable. If we plan on being successful in the future, we need to start practicing some critical thinking now. Post-rv we will be a very wealthy, powerful and targeted group. I do believe most of the people setting up the packages are only trying to help. I also believe their intentions are completely irrelevant. I only want to see everyone succeed and this is just an opinion. Go RV!!

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  3. 5-23-2012 Scooter-EG: I think Iraq is much farther along based on the 12/31 document from the World Bank outlining task to be completed. What you have to remember is that these documents are distributed and released to the public with timing in mind. When the IMF or World Bank release their annual CR's Country Reports they might have a "stinging" review in the document and the document may have been released just two weeks ago but the date of the published internal doc may have been released four months ago. With that said lets take a look at the World Bank document released on Iraq's Financial Sector that could have easilly been the case, whereby those task with a 12/31 deadline could have easilly been accomplished. Here's the good news, the World Bank delegation is visiting Iraq, they don't send a delegation just to visit. They will only send a delegation to show something is completed, so perhaps some of those bigger items have been completed. I do know that Iraq's banking is going to be one of the most sophisticated in the world and they are well underway with this project. They will be leveraging some unique mobile applications in combination with the smart cards. There's a company out of South Africa supplying these cards. Imagine having a brand new CPI get rolled out to the 30 million people. Bread, milk, basic necessities are now priced completely different and now we have this one smart card, which contains more information than what your wallet or purse can hold. It has all your insurance, banking, and personal demographic on it and I can now use it to purchase products. Combine this with new pricing, cost, financial transactions for the consumer and it's very compelling. The last I heard is that over 2.0 million have been distributed according to this firm. Now as to WTO, there were four laws that were required to be passed to and one them was the tarrifs. If I look at the law library, they passed that law just recently. The July 1st date is always an interesting date in Iraq because that's the date they have been trying to Revalue/DeValue their assets at those government banks. So, when I see dates surrounding WTO and July 1st, that just elevates that date as one to watch. I think that one of Shabibi's main objectives was to build a foundation under severe circumstances for the currency to become resilient and strong. When I say strong I don't mean the value, I mean it's durability, sustainability and longevity. In that regard, he's done a fairly decent job.

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  4. 5-21-2012 SWFloridaGuy: I don't think Maliki intends on going anywhere at all. I also think he'll do everything in his power (other than conform to their demands) to get out of his current situation, which is threatening to bring an end to his political career. However, I believe his arrogance may have pushed this issue past the point of no return and the move to initiate his removal is already underway. Only time will tell, but one way or another this will come to an end. Once the political crisis has been resolved, the conditions will be ripe for the CBI to proceed with their currency reform project. First we must see Erbil power sharing and permanent ministers seated. The upcoming tariffs may explain the sudden urgency to resolve these issues. Iraq already has support from the IMF and World Bank for the advancement and modernization their economy but as both Shabibi and the SIGR report to Congress said, before they can stabalize domestic prices, prevent further dollarization, remove three zeros from the nominal value and maintain a stable, competitive, market-based system, they MUST EASE POLITICAL TENSIONS. This is the only way to ensure stability that will lead to the success of the project. Anyone who tells you this has nothing to do with Iraq, does not understand the basics of macroeconomics. Shabibi said it best, "when making a decision concerning the revaluation they must consider controlling inflation and political stability." They have a plan, they've had one for some time and it's in everyone's best interest to get this done now.

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  5. 5-16-2012 SWFloridaGuy: DON'T CALL THE BANKS, DON'T CALL THE BANKS!!! Give me a break. First of all, the only people calling the banks are the ones telling you not to call the banks. The rest of us have all figured out there's no reason to call the banks in the first place, as THERE IS NO RV YET. This is reminiscent of last year's rumor that by going to the CBI website, we were crashing the server and delaying the RV. What a simplistic, almost childish view some seem to have of this whole process. I think it would be almost comical to Shabibi, to hear that a few small chat rooms in the U.S. believe they have affected the release of his country's currency, thereby affecting the entire global financial market, by picking up a phone and calling a local Wells Fargo branch. This is not how currency manipulation works and we play no part in this. The theory that we are somehow holding up the process is archaic even for newbies. I am very surprised to see people who have been in this game for years say such foolishness. We are at a critical juncture in this investment and our focus should be on Iraq and what happens after tomorrow. I do believe we could see resolution on issues we've waited years for rather quickly.

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  6. 5-7-2012 SWFloridaGuy: Randy Koonce, Kaperoni, BGG and Poppy3 are all absolutely right. This is in Iraq's hands and is also a very critical time for us in this investment. The RV is NOT in the banks as some like Jonnywg, Okie and Cap1 have claimed for over a year. Right now our focus should be on what direction Maliki decides to take this. He may decide to implement all terms of Erbil as he promised he would or he may stand behind former statements he's made questioning it's constitutionality. If he does fight this than we are looking at a no confidence vote and a short delay. If not than we will finally see the power sharing agreement implemented, followed by a National Meeting which should free up Shabibi and the CBI to implement phase 2 of their currency reform project. Upon that time and in accordance with the IMF and World Bank's approval and instruction, they will send the adjusted rate to the BIS. From there it will be released to all central banks around the world and will appear live simultaneously around the globe. Please forget these ridiculous "gurus" who claim it's in the banks already and we should be looking for this every moment of every day. This won't show up in some small bank in Texas first, giving the whole rest of the world a heads up. Use common sense, avoid the hype and their pumping of dinar sales.

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  7. 4-25-2012 SWFloridaGuy: Some seem to feel the need to make fools of themselves week after week. It's entertaining I guess, if you like train wrecks. This is a very complicated process and we can't expect to always get 100% accurate information from any one particular source and I do appreciate that we have so many working toward a common goal, but that is absolutely no excuse for the irresponsible, unrealstic, manufactured, daily hype so many find it necessary put the rooms through on a daily basis. Unfortunately, when they post they don't also name the source which is usually a bogus prosperity package memo, nesara report or a 3 letter contact who has already proven himself to be misinformed at best. How many times do you go back to a garbage source before you realize it's garbage? By thinking they can pinpoint this or give us a play by play, they only prove they don't have a basic understanding of how involved this is. Genuine contacts, while confirming this revaluation will happen, are the first to explain they don't have all the answers and that's because they actually have a grasp as to its complexity. Many newbies who don't know the history of these "intel providers" base financial decisions upon their reports, and this has also affected some very close friends of mine in a very negative way, which is why I chose to post this. To newbies: Be skeptical of anyone claiming to know the date or rate, do your own research and treat rumors as rumors, not fact. Listen to people who report responsibly and offer a balanced approach to avoid the roller coaster. I get asked a lot who I think that group is, my personal favorites are: Capt Nemo, Studley, Kaperoni, Banker Ghost, Med, Mailman17, Poppy3, BWM, BGG, Arizona Heat, Vic1, Longfellow, Scotti G, Duckyboy, Bear5642, Bondlady, Randy Koonce, Miskebam, Sykes, Pheonix, Breitling, Historian, Delta, Ray, Steve and a few others. They may not always agree with each other but they post responsibly. When it comes to this investment, I've been wrong many times myself and am only expressing my opinions. Moving on, Parliament sources reported that the chapter VII removal is right around the corner, due to the return of bilateral relations between Iraq and Kuwait. This progress is what will lead to Iraq returning to the international environment and regaining their full sovereignty. We speculate that the UN Security Council will not release them until they raise their exchange rate. Although that is not a direct stipulation, it is a bargaining chip they use when diplomatic measures fail and one that is on our side. The international community is pressuring the major oil companies not to sign any new contracts with Iraq or the KRG and suspend all operations until the HCL/Article 11 is implemented which will bring Erbil back to the table. Tuesday the Iraqi list boycotted another preparatory meeting and this added pressure may finally bring a resolution. The Economic Commission is pushing for the restructuring of the dinar and the issuance of the LDs. They argue that the time is right to remove the zeros and raise the exchange rate. Iraq will benefit from this project in many ways and it's the only way for them to return as economic leaders not only regionally but globally. I don't know the timing and I don't pretend to, but I do know that our investment is solid and this story has a happy ending for us all.

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  8. 4-4-2012 SWFloridaGuru: The CBI released a statement saying that the draft to delete the zeros does not need a new law, but simply regulation. A new law is not what is required. This includes the issuing of currency, which has already been approved. Great news for us. This is a tool for the CBI to regulate a law that has already been implemented. Shabibi is in control and new regulations will be implemented this week. The project needs to make a regulation and a directive published in the Official Gazette, and the CBI. The Central Bank law gave full power to the Monetary Authority to change the structure of the Iraqi currency. The law clearly states that the CBI shall issue regulations as necessary for the implementation of this law. Read this document: http://cbi.iq/documents/Moneylaundringinstructionlaw-En_f.pdf Shabibi is in control and look for new regulations to be implemented this week. We have tariffs going into effect on June 1st and a new currency they are prepping for release soon (LD's). The CBI is taking all the necessary steps to ensure the projects success and move forward with phase 2. When they are ready they will send an IMF approved, adjusted rate to the BIS and from there released back to all the central banks, which is when we will get our first public glimpse of it. I speculate that we don't have much further to go.

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  9. 3-21-2012 SWFloridaGuru: There were reports yesterday that Maliki resigned. If these reports are true and were interpreted correctly we will know today. It will be world news. There have also been rumors that the NC has already taken place or is currently underway. They may be hiding this from our eyes for security purposes but I have seen no proof of this myself. It was announced today if the government didn't implement Arbil agreement, the Iraqiya bloc would withdraw it's ministers in 3 days. We are also seeing an accelerated push to gain a consensus and resolve the differences that exist between the Parliamentary groups regarding the HCL law after the Security Council made some modifications. The Summit is still on track for the 29th with preliminary meetings held on the 27th and the 28th. Despite the significant challenges Iraq has faced in achieving economic stability, they have made a ton of progress and for the first time are in a position to re-institute an exchange rate that represents their true wealth. Iraq is moving to become the leader among major oil producing countries as well as the world’s largest swing producer. They are currently negotiating contracts with the large oil companies on compensation. We are seeing record spending from Iraq where the total spending is greater than the capacity of the economy and productivity when prices are outside the scope of balances. We believe deals have been struck and debts have been forgiven under agreements related to the upcoming rate change and investments therein. There have been rumors the RV is done and in the banks since June. So, this is nothing new. It's very simple, when the BIS releases an adjusted rate or basket of rates back to all the central banks, then it will be done. It will be very easy to confirm and it won't be a secret. Random, dummy rates and numbers for testing purposes have nothing to do with actual rates. If this were the case we would have insider trading, corruption and runs on currency. However, the rampant rumors and frequent reports do have some validity in the sense that this joint effort has required much testing and necessary steps taken in preparation which have been observed by different agencies and led to confusion. Just because someone works at a 3-letter agency or is a high level banking official does not mean they are privy to date or rate information. If the contact is solid, usually while admitting the process underway, they will also be the first to explain the complexity and admit they don't have all the answers. Daily RV predictions are unnecessary. Iraq has made it clear what their goals are: Ensure the stability of the dinar by increasing its value to become more competitive with the USD, contribute to economic growth, rebuild their banking sector, modernize the Iraqi economy, enter the WTO with full ascension and maintain a stable, competitive, market-based system. 9 years later... here we are, finally! Our best shot for an RV/RI to date is between now and the Summit.

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  10. 3-18-2012 SWFloridaGuru: We have received reports that steps have been adopted for the advancement and modernization of the Iraqi economy. After decades of war and economic blockades, institutions took the initiative to reach this goal. This has been a joint effort from the CBI, GOI, IMF, World Bank, BIS as well as influential and powerful countries such as the US and China. They have faced significant challenges in the process of achieving economic and financial stability and still managed to promote development at an accelerated pace. To us it may seem like this has taken forever but that is because much of this process is hidden from our eyes. This is far more complex than we can imagine and has never been just "pushing a button." The transformation we are about to witness has never been accomplished on this scale before and will have global financial implications. Part of this plan is to stabilize domestic prices, prevent further dollarization, enter the WTO with full ascension and maintain a stable, competitive, market-based system. To ensure the stability of the dinar and contribute to economic growth, Iraq has provided resources and monetary/financial plans necessary for their development. Iraq's banking sector has successfully implemented and updated procedures according to the best electronic systems used internationally. They have increased coordination between the branches and the ministry of finance and will prove their independence by strengthening the economy and achieving their goals, one of which is to have a tradeable currency. Poor security and political instability has lead to a severe dollarization phenomenon and Iraq has set out on an educational campaign to inform the public of the upcoming changes and give them confidence in the dinar once again. This is a delicate process because they must do this without alerting the world to the upcoming RV/RI. Steps are being implemented now to stabilize the foreign exchange market and the Iraqi dinar exchange rate against the dollar. No one knows the rate or the date and many of the bank screen numbers have been misinterpreted. However, we are certain the process is underway. IMF and CBI contacts have confirmed this. We hope to see Iraq join the world leaders as an economic power by the Summit.

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