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Al-Kazimi's dream in Iraq ... a picture that reveals his goal and a report that sets out the condition for its achievement

 
Policy  ,   05/29 2020 23:08  
 
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Baghdad - Iraq today:

 

A report of the Asia Times newspaper said that choosing Mustafa Al-Kazemi as Prime Minister of Iraq is crucial to achieving stability in a country that was rocked by popular protests and the Corona epidemic, while he indicated that Iraq must choose between two things, either it is like Singapore or it is like Lebanon that is steeped in quotas and corruption.

The report touched on two critical issues facing Al-Kazemi in order to achieve success, namely, bypassing the quota system on which the political process in Iraq was built after 2003.

Second, and most importantly, is the incorporation of militias under the umbrella of the PMF into the national army.

The report believes that these two issues will determine the fate of Al-Kazemi and his tenure in office.

The report calls on the new Iraqi Prime Minister to take advantage of the shifts in the positions of two important sides that can play a prominent role in the success of Al-Kazemi's mission.

The first is internal, represented by the Supreme Shiite cleric, Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, as the factions loyal to him from the crowd indicate that Sistani is tired of the work of the Shiite militias out of control and loyal to Iran, and he is ready to exercise his influence in order to subjugate them to the authority of the state, according to the report.

As for the second party, it is the United States, whose report finds that its position regarding the quota system in Iraq has changed, and this was evident in Foreign Minister Mike Pompeo's statements earlier this month when he called on Iraqi leaders to abandon this system and move forward to form a government that satisfies the people.

The report believes that these two stances indicate a change in the mood of two powerful parties, which are the Najaf Religious Foundation and the United States, and Al-Kazemi has the opportunity to benefit from these changes.

To do this, Al-Kazemi needs to take firm and decisive steps against the quotas and militias, because gradual change will not succeed, according to the report's author.

"If Al-Kazemi is in doubt, he just needs to take a look at Lebanon, where there is a non-governmental militia represented by Hezbollah that is stronger than the national army, while politicians are still steeped in sectarian thinking, and this is not a role model for the future of Iraq."

The report continues, "Al-Kazemi's preferred model is said to be Singapore, where the new prime minister maintains a picture in his office in Baghdad of the first prime minister of that developed country."

He concluded, "And for Iraq to become like Singapore, it will need to stop behaving like Lebanon, and this means taking long-term fateful decisions."

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Report: Al-Kazemi faces two paths in Iraq .. Al-Sistani is “fed up” with the factions!

2020.05.29 - 15:33

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1 hour ago, DinarThug said:

The report continues, "Al-Kazemi's preferred model is said to be Singapore

 

1 hour ago, DinarThug said:

while he indicated that Iraq must choose between two things, either it is like Singapore or it is like Lebanon

 

Start with the exchange rate😎

U can't be like S'pore with current exchange rate of 1190. 

S'pore exchange rate vs USD is 1 SGD = 0.79 USD. 

1190 is more like Lebanon. 

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Thief

  • Member
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  • Thief
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5 hours ago, southbeach said:

You and Thug make a pretty good team I must say


Ya, I Distract ‘Em By Juggling In The Crosswalk At The Intersection - While ‘Thief’ And The Posse Steals Their Hubcaps ! :o 

image.gif.ad827c881f2fefa8f21e320b9710c65f.gif


:D  :D  :D 
 

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Al-Kazemi's negotiations with the blocs: Agree on the candidates of 5 bags out of 7 vacant

05/28/2020 08:38:49 PM

 

Baghdad / extent

 

It is hoped that Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi will resume his negotiations with the heads of political blocs next Sunday to complete the file of the seven vacant ministries and the possibility of submitting them to the House of Representatives soon.

The discussions that took place between all the parliamentary parties before the Eid holiday managed to settle the candidates of more than five ministries.

"Negotiations to complete the vacant ministries between the Prime Minister and the political blocs start from next Sunday after they stop during the holiday period and the outbreak of the Corona epidemic," said Mukhtar al-Moussawi, deputy from the Al-Fateh parliamentary bloc.

Over the past days, Al-Kazemi tried through intensive negotiations with the heads of the political blocs to finish naming new candidates for the vacant ministries, but these attempts collided with the adherence and insistence of the political blocs to present the same candidates who the parliament refused to give them confidence in the government’s voting session.

The House of Representatives voted on (May 6) to grant confidence to the government of Mustafa Al-Kazemi and 15 ministers in the cabinet, while the approval of Parliament did not get five others, and they are the Ministers of Trade, Agriculture, Culture, Immigration, and Justice. And oil until another time to not agree on the nomination of candidates.

Al-Mousawi talks about that "new names were nominated for the ministries of oil, agriculture, culture, trade and immigration, while the ministries of foreign affairs and justice remained," stressing that the representatives of Basra Governorate "authorized the prime minister to choose one of the five candidates who brought them to him."

Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi received the names of five candidates for the Oil Ministry bag after his meeting with sixteen representatives from Basra Governorate, and a government committee began to differentiate between these names and six other candidates chosen by Al-Kazemi and met them several days ago.

The Turkoman MP notes that "the Prime Minister and during his negotiations with the Turkmen component pledged to grant them the position of Minister of State for Provincial Affairs," adding that "the creation of the post of Deputy Prime Minister was not raised in the negotiations."

In this context, the Presidents and Ministers of the Republic stressed during their meeting in the Peace Palace yesterday, the need to expedite the completion of the ministerial cabinet by nominating efficient and impartial personalities, and support the government in implementing its program that was voted upon by the House of Representatives by preparing for early elections, and meeting the legitimate demands of Iraqis to achieve reform The desired.

They stressed the importance of Iraq adopting a balanced policy with its regional and international surroundings based on respect for Iraqi sovereignty, stressing the necessity to address the crises that the country is going through and give priority to combating the Corona pandemic and supporting health agencies to fully perform their work, and to find solutions to economic challenges and secure living conditions for all citizens.

In turn, MP Nada Shaker Jawdat, member of the State of Law coalition, asserted that “ministries are divided into political blocs, and therefore each political bloc or entity has merit from the remaining ministries,” pointing out that “the vacant ministries file was planned to be decided in Parliament before the Eid holiday.” .

And Jawdat said in a statement to (Al-Mada) that "the differences are still going on between the political blocs, which delayed the resolution of the file of the vacant ministries until this moment," pointing out that "the dispute revolves around the candidate being a politician or from independent personalities."

Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi decided to assign a number of ministers to manage the vacant ministerial portfolios in the agency until the negotiations for the nomination of its candidates are completed, as Minister of Education Ali Hamid Makhlaf was assigned to manage the Trade Portfolio Agency, and Minister of Higher Education Nabil Kazem Abdel-Saheb, the Ministry of Justice and agency, and assigned the Minister of Transport Nasser Hussein Bandar was Minister of Immigration and Displacement as an agency, and Minister of Finance Ali Haider Abdul Amir Abbas was assigned the functions of the Oil Ministry as agency, and Minister of Youth and Sports Adnan Darjal was assigned the functions of the Ministry of Culture as an agency.

And she adds that "the prime minister will choose independent and efficient personalities who are able to advance the deteriorating economic reality and the spread of the Corona pandemic," stressing that "the House of Representatives is able to hold a new session to pass the vacant ministries."

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1 hour ago, DinarThug said:

Al-Kazemi's negotiations with the blocs: Agree on the candidates of 5 bags out of 7 vacant

05/28/2020 08:38:49 PM


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Disclosure of an initial agreement to nominate candidates for vacant ministries except oil

Disclosure of an initial agreement to nominate candidates for vacant ministries except oil
 
 
05/30/2020 08:36:26
 
 
MP Amer Al-Fayez revealed, on Saturday, a preliminary agreement to nominate candidates for vacant ministries.

 

Al-Fayez said in a press statement that "the consultations conducted by Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi with the political blocs led to an agreement in principle to nominate all candidates for vacant ministries except oil," stressing that "the next two days will witness the agreement on the last ministry."

He added that "the prime minister completed his consultations to nominate candidates for the vacant ministries did not only agree on the Ministry of Oil remains and will be during the next two days," noting that "the prime minister will choose his own candidates ministries and put them on the political blocs to ensure that give them confidence if approved them".
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Why Shiite parties lost the post of Prime Minister?

Mohammed Abdul Jabbar Al-Shabbout

Why Shiite parties lost the post of Prime Minister?

2020.05.28 - 15:23
Nohammed Abdul Jabbar Al-Shabbout  
 
 

In a previous article, I wondered: Did the Shiite Islamic parties lose power? My answer was: No, she did not lose power, she lost the position. This answer was not enough. It opened the door to three other questions: Why did the Shiite Islamic parties lose the position? Is it possible or likely to lose power? What to do then?  

The main question and the other three questions were the subject of discussion in some groups on WhatsApp and direct discussion with some friends, such as the poet Nizar Hatem, diplomat Mohammed Hassan Al-Musawi and the brilliant writer Ammar Al-Baghdadi.  

It is necessary to make it clear that there is a difference between losing a position and losing the trust of the people, although there is a correlation between the two things; But the reasons for losing the position differ from the causes for losing the people's trust. The second issue will not be discussed in this article. 

Article (76) of the constitution indicated the mechanism for the acquisition of the position of prime minister when it stipulated in the first paragraph of it that: “The President of the Republic, the candidate of the largest number of parliamentary blocs, is charged with forming a cabinet within fifteen days from the date of the President’s election.” According to this article, the party that aspires to win the right to nomination must have a parliamentary group more numerous than others, and this is a proportional account, because the constitution did not specify the minimum number required for the number as did the unwritten British constitution. 

The British minimum is half the number of members of Parliament + one. This is not mentioned in the Iraqi constitution. This is one of the flaws in the constitution. Thus, any party that has more MPs than other parties, even if it has 56 members (for example), may have the right to nominate, because the Iraqi party scene is unable to produce large parties. 

I have shown in previous articles that Iraqi parties are either medium-sized parties, in terms of the number of their deputies in parliament, or small, or very small, or microscopic, you can barely see with the naked eye, as well as personal (individual) and seasonal parties. This is another defect of the foundations, and perhaps the defects of the political community in Iraq. 

And since the party’s “most numerous” candidate in the House of Representatives needs an absolute majority to pass his cabinet, that is, half of the members of Parliament plus one (165), according to the fourth paragraph of Article 76 of the Constitution, this party must form a representative coalition that guarantees victory. And since the sectarian quotas require that the Prime Minister be a Shiite, the hoped-for parliamentary alliance must be Shiite, thus completing the sectarian-ethnic division of parliament: the Shiite alliance, the Sunni alliance, the Kurdish alliance. 

It goes without saying that these alliances established on the basis of components and not on the basis of citizenship and political programs are far from the essence of democratic life and the characteristics of a modern civilized state. This is what has been the practice after every legislative election, as the winning Shiite parties form a parliamentary bloc, a fragile shoestring, in the way of pasting, and not in the way of merging, to present an agreed Shiite candidate to assume the position of prime minister. In this way, the Shiite parties maintained the position. 

This semi-constitutional-half-customary political tradition was broken down after the 2018 elections, because the Shiite parties could not agree among themselves on forming the largest number of parliamentary blocs, and thus Abdul-Mahdi was not nominated by the largest number of parliamentary blocs, because they no longer exist, and was Replace it with the agreement of some "political princes", and some some unelected, on the person of Adel Abdul Mahdi as the lesser of two evils! 

This was the second stage in the process of losing the position, as it was the first in 2014 when Haider al-Abadi ascended to the premiership platform in the known way. 

When we arrived in the year 2020, the reins had escaped from the hands of the Shiite parties, partly because of the demonstrations, and partly because of the escalation of their differences, and the order to nominate the Prime Minister was no longer entrusted or limited to it. It is this that explains the reason for her losing the position: her differences have reached a point where it has become impossible to agree with her to nominate a man from among her ranks to take over the position. The Shiite parties have reached the point of rupture and weakness to the point where they are unable to present one of their people to assume the ether position. 

Thus Mustafa al-Kazimi came, and regardless of his personality, he is not the candidate of the Shiite parties participating in power. 

In a discussion between me and the friend poet Nizar Hatim, he said: "The struggle among the Shiite parties for narrow sectarian interests" is what led to her losing the position. And I agreed with that Nizar, who adds other reasons for the loss of "the head of the government pyramid" as he said, including: "The lack of success in political engagement at the international and regional levels, and the failure to complete a national project with clear goals and objectives, and to sink into the illusion of power as if it was permanent." And the fissures between the Shiite forces because of selfishness and avoiding the interests of the public. " And if these parties are ashamed to acknowledge this fact, which is bitter for them, then history will be ashamed to not mention it, because it is as clear as the sun in the fourth day. And thus we answer the first question.

But these parties are still in power, so the second question arises itself: Is it possible that you will lose power as well? 

Mechanically, in a country that witnesses periodic elections, staying in power depends on winning the elections, and winning the elections depends, among other things, on the participation of voters and their confidence in the candidates of the Shiite parties. Therefore, I cannot judge from now on the results of any upcoming elections, but the general impressions may not bode well for the Shiite parties. 

It cannot be denied that the protest demonstrations may not represent the opinion of the majority of voters, but their spread in the Shiite provinces exclusively indicates the state of dissatisfaction of the Shiite public with its Shiite rulers. 

Electoral dissatisfaction may be reflected next time, but such an outcome requires other prelude before it is achieved. It is not the job of this article to talk about the premises required to win alternatives to the Shiite parties participating in power, or to remain in it. But the certainty is that the electoral mood in Iraq and elsewhere is volatile and cannot be anticipated and predicted for long periods. 

However, friend Muhammad al-Musawi believes that the “great loss” that the Shi’ite parties lost is “the confidence of their popular bases, and the confidence of the supreme authority.” And if this ruling is true, it carries with it the expectation of an electoral loss, and therefore a loss of power as well.

The last question: What is to be done? 

It is not my job to advise and suggest plans in this field, but I say in general that all Iraqi political forces have two options: either to continue in the power of the components in which the Shiite parties lost their presumed share, or to go towards building a state of citizenship, and this is the modern civilized state, Where no one loses. 

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