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Super Tuesday Turnout Suggests Biden Is A Better Bet To Beat Trump Than Sanders


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Biden and Sanders confront coronavirus crisis in first one-on-one debate

 

Democrats face off in TV studio without audience, standing far apart and bumping elbows instead of shaking hands

 

Lauren Gambino in Washington

Mon 16 Mar 2020 03.24 GMT

 

Vid

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/mar/15/bernie-sanders-joe-biden-debate-coronavirus-policies-latest

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On 3/14/2020 at 1:01 PM, Theseus said:

Adding up the total numbers does not give your favorite candidate the numbers you cite. Why? Because more than likely Bernie, should he lose the primaries and not become a part of the Biden campaign, will have voters, mainly younger voters, not vote in the general election. Even still not knowing that all parties, demonrat, repube, libtards atc, go through a primary even if one of the other party has an incumbent in office. This is Civics 101 and it should be common knowledge for any red-blooded American but then again if that person moved away from the USA for whatever reason and are holed up in some other country and have no plans on ever returning to the USA to live as a citizen, that person has no right to speak about the current politics taking place in their former country. In other words, that person GTFO and now should STFU.

 

Those last couple of lines are a curious addition to your post.  Are you speaking of somebody specifically?  If so, spill the beans...don't be a scared.  If you're going to cuss at somebody via acronym at least have the courage to speak his/her name.  ;)  

 

GO RV, then BV 

Edited by Shabibilicious
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Bernie Sanders lost his last chance to take Joe Biden down

 

Sanders attacked some of Biden’s weak spots, but not strongly enough to make a difference

 

Mon 16 Mar 2020 14.31 GMT Last modified on Mon 16 Mar 2020 15.33 GMT

Nathan Robinson

 

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/16/bernie-sanders-lost-his-last-c

 

 
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Finance

Biden overtakes Trump on betting markets as coronavirus pandemic undermines president

Javier E. David
Editor focused on markets and the economy
,
Yahoo FinanceMarch 16, 2020
 
5e6f9875b1172c5a21b6d855_o_U_v3.jpg
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What a difference a week makes.

President Donald Trump is no longer favored to win re-election in November, according to data from several predictive markets, with former Vice President Joe Biden overtaking the president for the first time as the world struggles to contain the fallout from the coronavirus pandemic.

As early as last week, oddsmakers forecasted Trump as an overwhelming shoe-in for reelection on markets: Paddy Power, Smarkets and US-Bookies all had a presidential re-elction baked in.

Yet as COVID-19 morphed into a pandemic, his chances have steadily declined, with those same sites now showing Biden pulling even or ahead. Oddschecker, a U.K.-based site, estimate that both Trump and Biden have exactly the same odds to win the White House in November.

In fact, the rout in stock markets — once a source of bragging rights for Trump — have gravely endangered his re-election prospects, according to a separate forecasting model by Moody’s Analytics.

“Odds are a prediction and a reflection of perceptions of outcomes. Trump's chance of winning the U.S. presidential election have recently drifted in a way like it has not before, which is likely as a result of the handling of the coronavirus outbreak,” US-Bookies betting industry analyst Alex Donohue, said in a statement.

Former Vice President Joe Biden, participates in a Democratic presidential primary debate at CNN Studios in Washington, Sunday, March 15, 2020. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
Former Vice President Joe Biden, participates in a Democratic presidential primary debate at CNN Studios in Washington, Sunday, March 15, 2020. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

“Following the rise in severity and the resulting economic turmoil, his odds to be re-elected went from 4/7 over the past couple of weeks,” he added.

Biden’s candidacy has been on an upswing since a decisive win in South Carolina carried him to a string of big wins on Super Tuesday, a surprising turn of events that catapulted him from also-ran to prohibitive favorite to win the Democratic presidential nomination.

According to Paddy Power, Biden is now considered an “even-money favorite” among bettors to win the race, with Trump’s chances to secure another term now dwindling.

 “For the first time since we opened a betting market on the 2020 Presidential Election, a candidate has overtaken Donald Trump as the favorite,” Paddy Power said on Monday — adding that California Senator Kamala Harris is the odds-on bet to be named his vice president.

 

https://news.yahoo.com/biden-overtakes-trump-on-betting-markets-as-coronavirus-pandemic-undermines-president-172305509.html

 

GO RV, then BV

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Vice-president Stacey Abrams would make the US a real democracy for the first time

Cas Mudde
,
The GuardianMarch 16, 2020
 
 

Democratic debates in times of coronavirus make for even less interesting television than during normal times, whatever that means in the Trump era. In Sunday night’s debate, Bernie Sanders had a double task. For the believers, to make a last pitch that he is the better candidate (which, in terms of the presidency, he clearly is). For the realists, his task was to push the inevitable nominee, Joe Biden, more to the left. He probably achieved neither, as Biden stole the show, by announcing (cleverly) that he will pick a female vice-presidential candidate, a progressive weak point of Sanders (who has remained unclear on this point).

Of course, the announcement should come as little surprise, given how important women have been in the anti-Trump mobilization – the 2017 Women’s March was likely the largest single-day demonstration in US history, while black and suburban women were crucial to the “blue wave” that brought the Democratic party the House of Representatives in the 2018 midterm elections. And there has been broad and loud disappointment that the most diverse candidate field in any US primary has ended up with just two old white men standing.

<span>Photograph: Michael McCoy/Reuters</span>
Photograph: Michael McCoy/Reuters

Social media was quick to speculate and two names came up most often: Kamala Harris and Stacey Abrams. Both women would cater to not just women but also African Americans, two crucial demographics for the Democrats in November, with African American women being proclaimed the saviors of the Democratic party in the midterm elections.

Although Harris has many merits, she also has at least two important weaknesses. First of all, she is from California, a rather unique and ultimately safe Democratic state, and her campaign does not necessarily indicate that her appeal reaches much broader. Second, she has a problematic past in terms of social justice, which also haunted her during her campaign, and could strengthen the “authoritarian” image of Biden, who has a long track record of being on the wrong side of social justice issues.

Stacey Abrams, on the other hand, has strengths that can help Biden in the campaign, being an African American woman from the south-east (which has several potential swing states), but could also give his presidency a crucial secondary agenda – the primary agenda being the return to relatively mainstream liberal Democratic politics.

Abrams came to fame for her campaign for Georgia governor in 2018, which she lost against the man who oversaw the elections, Brian Kemp. While she was often described as an “identity politics candidate” outside of the Peach State, this was more a reflection of the ignorance, and prejudice of the journalists than of the politics of the candidate. She actually ran on a rather moderate agenda, knowing that while Georgia was in play, it is still the south, and southerners like their Democrats moderate to conservative, if they like them at all.

But after being defeated in a race that saw more direct and indirect voter suppression than most developing democracies, Abrams did not simply roll over and concede, Al Gore-style, but instead defiantly stated: “Let’s be clear. This is not a speech of concession because concession means to acknowledge an action is right, true or proper. As a woman of conscience and faith, I cannot concede that. But my assessment is the law currently allows no further viable remedy.”

Since then, Abrams has founded an NGO committed to fight voter suppression, called Fair Fight, and built a national network and profile, among others through her widely praised Democratic response to Donald Trump’s 2019 State of the Nation. Within her network is a certain Mike Bloomberg, who has given $5m to her organization.

Imagine what Abrams and Bloomberg could do for African American turnout in November, not so much by convincing them to vote, but by simply enabling them to vote, despite almost nationwide Republican attempts to suppress in particular minority votes. Together they have the expertise and resources to, first, organize a massive registration drive and, later, mobilization and transportation operation. If the Democrats want to defeat Trump in November, mobilization of the disenfranchised will be crucial.

And imagine a vice-president devoted to making the US a real democracy – not again, no, for the first time in its long history. Abrams could use her office to be the driving force behind a nationwide fight against voter suppression, providing crucial coordination and resources to embattled local and state activists. Even if a Biden-Abrams administration would not do much more than that, this would be a massive step forward to a more progressive future.

 

https://www.yahoo.com/news/vice-president-stacey-abrams-us-155756223.html

 

GO RV, then BV

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56 minutes ago, Shabibilicious said:

Vice-president Stacey Abrams would make the US a real democracy for the first time

Cas Mudde
,
The GuardianMarch 16, 2020
 
 

Democratic debates in times of coronavirus make for even less interesting television than during normal times, whatever that means in the Trump era. In Sunday night’s debate, Bernie Sanders had a double task. For the believers, to make a last pitch that he is the better candidate (which, in terms of the presidency, he clearly is). For the realists, his task was to push the inevitable nominee, Joe Biden, more to the left. He probably achieved neither, as Biden stole the show, by announcing (cleverly) that he will pick a female vice-presidential candidate, a progressive weak point of Sanders (who has remained unclear on this point).

Of course, the announcement should come as little surprise, given how important women have been in the anti-Trump mobilization – the 2017 Women’s March was likely the largest single-day demonstration in US history, while black and suburban women were crucial to the “blue wave” that brought the Democratic party the House of Representatives in the 2018 midterm elections. And there has been broad and loud disappointment that the most diverse candidate field in any US primary has ended up with just two old white men standing.

<span>Photograph: Michael McCoy/Reuters</span>
Photograph: Michael McCoy/Reuters

Social media was quick to speculate and two names came up most often: Kamala Harris and Stacey Abrams. Both women would cater to not just women but also African Americans, two crucial demographics for the Democrats in November, with African American women being proclaimed the saviors of the Democratic party in the midterm elections.

Although Harris has many merits, she also has at least two important weaknesses. First of all, she is from California, a rather unique and ultimately safe Democratic state, and her campaign does not necessarily indicate that her appeal reaches much broader. Second, she has a problematic past in terms of social justice, which also haunted her during her campaign, and could strengthen the “authoritarian” image of Biden, who has a long track record of being on the wrong side of social justice issues.

Stacey Abrams, on the other hand, has strengths that can help Biden in the campaign, being an African American woman from the south-east (which has several potential swing states), but could also give his presidency a crucial secondary agenda – the primary agenda being the return to relatively mainstream liberal Democratic politics.

Abrams came to fame for her campaign for Georgia governor in 2018, which she lost against the man who oversaw the elections, Brian Kemp. While she was often described as an “identity politics candidate” outside of the Peach State, this was more a reflection of the ignorance, and prejudice of the journalists than of the politics of the candidate. She actually ran on a rather moderate agenda, knowing that while Georgia was in play, it is still the south, and southerners like their Democrats moderate to conservative, if they like them at all.

But after being defeated in a race that saw more direct and indirect voter suppression than most developing democracies, Abrams did not simply roll over and concede, Al Gore-style, but instead defiantly stated: “Let’s be clear. This is not a speech of concession because concession means to acknowledge an action is right, true or proper. As a woman of conscience and faith, I cannot concede that. But my assessment is the law currently allows no further viable remedy.”

Since then, Abrams has founded an NGO committed to fight voter suppression, called Fair Fight, and built a national network and profile, among others through her widely praised Democratic response to Donald Trump’s 2019 State of the Nation. Within her network is a certain Mike Bloomberg, who has given $5m to her organization.

Imagine what Abrams and Bloomberg could do for African American turnout in November, not so much by convincing them to vote, but by simply enabling them to vote, despite almost nationwide Republican attempts to suppress in particular minority votes. Together they have the expertise and resources to, first, organize a massive registration drive and, later, mobilization and transportation operation. If the Democrats want to defeat Trump in November, mobilization of the disenfranchised will be crucial.

And imagine a vice-president devoted to making the US a real democracy – not again, no, for the first time in its long history. Abrams could use her office to be the driving force behind a nationwide fight against voter suppression, providing crucial coordination and resources to embattled local and state activists. Even if a Biden-Abrams administration would not do much more than that, this would be a massive step forward to a more progressive future.

 

https://www.yahoo.com/news/vice-president-stacey-abrams-us-155756223.html

 

GO RV, then BV

The headlines of this post is the funniest thing I've read all day.

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