Leaks: The Sunni province may go to Iraq in the deal of the century

[Butifldrm]

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Leaks: The Sunni province may go to Iraq in the deal of the century

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With video

2020-01-29 | 07:43

Source:

Alsumaria

1,319 views

Within the framework of the plan to counter the project to expel American forces from Iraq, Washington returns to the threat of regionalization by taking advantage of the positions of its local allies in favor of its survival, and while its officials sponsor meetings outside the lands of Mesopotamia, according to a leaked journalist, political parties see the regionalization as an ideal recipe for resolving the crisis.

Within the framework of the plan to counter the project to expel American forces from Iraq, Washington returns to the threat of regionalization by taking advantage of the positions of its local allies in favor of its survival, and while its officials sponsor meetings outside the lands of Mesopotamia, according to a leaked journalist, political parties see the regionalization as an ideal recipe for resolving the crisis.

In pain for Washington, the decision of the Iraqi parliament that obliged the resigned government to end the presence of American and foreign forces in the country was a legislative measure that confused the accounts of the American administration and its allies from local parties and political forces, which prompted the administration of President Donald Trump to study its alternative options, given its insistence on remaining under the pretext of Iraq’s need To protect in this context, he started waving the partition paper, and taking the localization file out of the stairs to the negotiating table again.

The idea of the regions is not the product of the moment, but rather is the fruit of many meetings held over the past years, in addition to the articles one hundred nineteen and one hundred and twenty of the Iraqi constitution that supported the principle of the administrative region.

The discussion of the regionalization project coincided with the decision to evacuate the American forces to push the signals to explore two Sunni visions related to the region’s file, one of which supports the formation of administrative regions in Anbar, Mosul, Diyala and Salahuddin, and is linked to the federal government in Baghdad, while the second vision aspires to create a pure Sunni Arab region It includes all the western provinces and extends to the borders of the Kurdistan region, but this vision clashed with the wishes of Osama al-Nujaifi, who refused to form sectarian provinces and began presenting himself and his front as the appropriate and alternative partner for Al-Halbousi and his Sunnah.

In contrast, observers believe that any logistical readiness for the stage of Sunni regionalization means entering Iraq automatically in the deal of the century, which states some leaks that it requires dividing Anbar province into two governorates, half with Iraqi administration and another granted to the Palestinians to reach the desert bordering the Jordanian border, in a step that reveals the endeavors The Trump administration is blockading the road linking Tehran, Baghdad, Damascus and Beirut, as it is the logistical support line for the resistance factions.

https://www.alsumaria.tv/news/بالفيديو/333005/تسريبات-المضي-بالاقليم-السُني-قد-يدخل-العراق-في-صف

[Butifldrm]

 

Trump, Netanyahu announce Middle East peace plan

 

[Butifldrm]

Trump plan calls for Palestinian state with capital in eastern Jerusalem

 

WASHINGTON: US President Donald Trump on Tuesday unveiled a long-awaited Middle East peace plan that broadly favored Israel, as expected, but also defied expectations by offering the Palestinian people a path to statehood.

Trump proposed a Palestinian state double the size of the existing Palestinian territories, with East Jerusalem as its capital and a US Embassy there; high-speed rail links between Palestinian areas and a tunnel linking the West Bank and Gaza; a four-year ban on Israeli settlement building on land earmarked for a Palestinian state; $50 billion in economic aid; and continued oversight by Jordan of Al-Aqsa mosque compound.

 

However, major Israeli settlements would remain, puncturing large parts of Palestine, Israel would take control of the whole Jordan Valley, and the refugee issue must be “settled outside Israel.”

Read the full report here: Middle East peace plan

Trump unveiled his plan at the White House alongside Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, before an audience comprising mostly supporters of Israel but also including ambassadors from the UAE, Bahrain and Oman.

OPINION

Abdulrahman Al-Rashed

Palestinians will lose out by rejecting peace talks

READ ARTICLE

He admitted the plan was good for Israel, but said it also had to benefit the Palestinians “otherwise it wouldn’t be fair.”

“I am saddened by the fate of the Palestinian people. They deserve a far better life,” he said.

Spotlight: Trump’s Middle East plan forges unexpected unity in Palestinian ranks

Trump said his plan would end “Palestinian dependency on charity and foreign aid. We will help the Palestinians to thrive on their own. The Palestinians will be able to seize the future … We are asking them to meet the challenges of peaceful coexistence.”

Trump said Palestinians must adopt basic laws enshrining human rights, end corruption and disarm Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Gaza.

He said Israel would work closely with Jordan to preserve the status quo of Al-Aqsa mosque compound.

 

Trump said he had written to Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas “explaining the territory allocated for his new state.”

“It will become a wonderful Palestinian state,” he said. “President Abbas, I want you to know, if you chose the path to peace, America will be there … every step of the way. We will be there to help.”

However, Abbas immediately rejected the plan on Tuesday night. Visibly angry on Palestinian TV, he said: “No, a thousand times no.”

That the plan was based on a unified Jerusalem as the undivided capital of Israel is “enough for us to reject it,” he said.

 

Husam Zumlot, the Palestinian ambassador to the UK, told Arab News: “There are 13 million Palestinians in Palestine and the world, and the very fact that the American administration couldn’t find a single Palestinian to appear in that White House room says volumes about the one sidedness of the deal.”

In Lebanon, the Fatah movement called for a “day of rage” to resist the deal.

*Daoud Kuttab reported from Amman and Najia Houssari from Beirut

https://www.arabnews.com/node/1619441/middle-east

Edited January 29, 2020 by Butifldrm

[Butifldrm]

 

Khamenei: The "Deal of the Century" will never come true

Internationals

2020-01-29 | 08:54

155 views

 

 

Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei confirmed today, Wednesday, that the American peace plan in the Middle East known as the "Deal of the Century" will never materialize.

Khamenei's official account said in a tweet on Twitter : “Despite the noses of American officials, God will never realize - the wicked and malicious policy of America called the Deal of the Century.” The Jews. "
In another tweet, he wrote: "The question of Palestine will not be erased from the minds, and the Palestinian people and all Muslim peoples will not confront them and they will not allow the implementation of the deal of the century."

https://www.alsumaria.tv/news/دوليات/333013/خامنئي-صفقة-القرن-لن-تتحقّق-أبداً

[Butifldrm]

 

01/20/2020 17:40

• Views 96
• Section: Iraq
•  

Hezbollah Brigades on the Century Deal: We will liberate Palestine

 

Baghdad / Obelisk: Hezbollah Brigades in Iraq, on Wednesday, January 29, 2020, commented on the deal of the century, warning of a new and inevitable phase of conflict.

A statement stated by the brigades, that America has brought evil to its ugly face, hostile to Islam and Muslims by adopting the doom deal and its absolute siding with the Zionist entity.

He added that what Trump had presented was a flagrant violation of all decisions and understandings on the issue of the Palestinian people.

The statement continued, that America, in its dangerous adventure, places the world and the region in front of a new phase of conflict and establishes a broad and inevitable confrontation.

And he considered that the axis of resistance will be at the forefront of supporters and supporters of the oppressed Palestinian people in their ordeal.

The battalions statement stressed that announcing the deal would mark the demise of the Zionist cancerous gland and the liberation of Palestine and its sanctities.

He concluded by saying that Trump, who knows only the language of the deals, will not fulfill his hopes until he uses a group of rulers to express traitors.

Follow the obelisk

http://almasalah.com/ar/news/186977/كتائب-حزب-الله-حول-صفقة-القرن-سنحرر-فلسطين

 

 

[Butifldrm]

Hanoun: Washington is studying how to divide, control and divide Iraq into provinces

23:00 - 01/29/2020

0

 

  

Information / Baghdad

Security expert Jassem Hanoun said on Wednesday that Washington is studying how to divide Iraq, control it and divide it into regions, pointing out that Washington, in coordination with Israel, seeks to divide the region with the blessing of the Gulf states.

Hanoun said in a televised statement to his follower, "Information", that "Washington is studying how to divide Iraq, control it and divide it into regions, and America harmonizes with some powers by finding issues that serve its interests and secure the depth of Israel in the region."

He added, "Al-Qaeda and ISIS are a fabrication of Washington and used it as an excuse to divide the region," noting that "Washington, in coordination with Israel, seeks to divide the region with the blessing of the Gulf states."

He explained that "the removal of foreign forces from Iraq is a decision voted by Parliament and will not be waived, but the corrupt political forces adhere to the American side at the expense of patriotism and sovereignty."

And that " Iraq possesses very large military forces and has experiences, the latest of which is the elimination of the terrorist ISIS , and it is also possible to benefit from countries in the field of expertise and training and we reject the existence of military bases." 25 n ended

https://www.almaalomah.com/2020/01/29/452827/

[Butifldrm]

Foreign: Iraq will chair an emergency meeting of the Arab League to discuss the implications of the deal of the century

21:57 - 01/30/2020

0

 

  

Information / Baghdad

On Thursday, the State Department announced that Iraq would chair the emergency meeting of Arab foreign ministers regarding the "Deal of the Century" announced by US President Donald Trump at a joint press conference with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu aimed at a two-state solution.

"The country will chair an emergency meeting of the Arab League Council at the level of foreign ministers to discuss the implications of the deal of the century," Foreign Ministry spokesman Ahmed al-Sahaf said in a statement, which he received .

And the League of Arab States announced, next Saturday, an emergency ministerial meeting to discuss ways to confront the US plan for a political settlement in the Middle East, known as the Century Deal. 25 n ended

https://www.almaalomah.com/2020/01/30/453051/

[Butifldrm]

Iraq chairs an emergency meeting of the Arab League to discuss the implications of the "deal of the century"

Arab League - Archives

 January 30, 2020 09:59 PM

 

Mubasher: Iraq announced that it would chair an emergency meeting to discuss the implications of the announcement of the President of the United States, Donald Trump, the Middle East peace plan, known as the "Deal of the Century".

A spokesman for the Iraqi Foreign Ministry, Ahmed Al-Sahaf, said in a tweet on the social networking site "Tottier", today, Thursday, that his country will chair an emergency meeting of the League of Arab States at the level of foreign ministers to discuss the implications of the "deal of the century".

And Iraqi Foreign Minister, Muhammad Ali Al-Hakim, just before, had a phone call with his Palestinian counterpart, Riyad Al-Maliki, to discuss the latest developments in the Palestinian issue. 

The President of the United States held a press conference, last Tuesday, to  announce his plan to bring peace to the Middle East, known medialy as the "Deal of the Century ".

Trump indicated that his plan includes that Jerusalem remain the undivided capital of Israel .

And Trump added, "We will present a historic agreement for Palestine after 70 years, and this is the last chance for them ."

On Tuesday, the President of the United States published, on his personal account, the social networking site "Twitter", a  map of the vision of peace for a two-state solution, Palestinian and Israeli .

Nominations

https://www.mubasher.info/news/3585545/العراق-يترأس-اجتماعا-طارئا-للجامعة-العربية-لبحث-تداعيات-صفقة-القرن-/

[markb57]

the middle east only knows death...

[Theseus]

27 minutes ago, markb57 said:

the middle east only knows death...

That is because Islam is not about living life but attaining what comes after.

[Butifldrm]

The Arab League announces the rejection of the American peace plan

February 01, 2020

Aboul Gheit said that the peace plan calls for an additional 100 years of conflict

 

The emergency meeting of the League of Arab States, held on Saturday in Cairo, on the US peace plan concluded with the "rejection of the American-Israeli deal of the century".

And the decision of the League Council held at the level of foreign ministers stated that "the American-Israeli century deal was rejected, as it does not meet the minimum rights and aspirations of the Palestinian people, and contradict the terms of reference of the peace process based on international law and United Nations resolutions."

The Secretary-General of the Arab League, Ahmed Aboul Gheit, called on the international community to "support the right of the Palestinian people," stressing the need for a "united Arab position" to condemn the plan.

Aboul Gheit said that the peace plan calls for an additional hundred years of conflict between the Israelis and the Palestinians, and that the timing of its launch raises questions about the extent of its contribution to achieving a just and comprehensive peace.

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas said at the meeting that he officially informed Israel of "cutting all ties with it, including security," and asked it to "assume its responsibilities as an occupying power" of the Palestinian territories.

Abbas read before the Arab meeting the text of a message he said had been delivered to the Israeli Prime Minister in which he assured him that the American peace plan represents a "violation of the Oslo agreements" signed between the Palestinians and Israel in 1993, and that it seeks to "abolish Palestinian women on its soil."

The former US envoy to Middle East peace, Jason Greenblatt, said in an interview with Al Hurra that the plan is the result of inputs from the Palestinian leadership, the Palestinians, the Israeli government, the Israelis, and the region.

Greenblatt denied Washington had imposed its peace plan on the Palestinians, saying that the plan was a "gift to the Palestinian people."

It is noteworthy that the plan proposes the capital of the Palestinian state, in "parts of East Jerusalem", and that its lands be connected thanks to a "modern and efficient" transportation network, including a high-speed train linking the West Bank and Gaza Strip.

https://www.alhurra.com/a/الجامعة-تعلن-رفض-العرب-خطة-السلام-الأميركية-/531964.html

[Butifldrm]

Don’t reject new Trump peace plan, Palestine’s Abbas urged

 

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas shows the Arab League meeting maps of, from left, historical Palestine, the 1947 UN partition plan, the 1948-1967 borders between the Palestinian territories and Israel, and the proposed plan for the territories without Israeli-annexed areas and settlements. (AFP)

 

February 01, 202009:26

3549

Arab foreign ministers met in Egypt to discuss a White House plan for ending the Israeli-Palestinian conflict

Palestinian president scraps security cooperation with Israel

CAIRO/AMMAN: Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas was urged on Saturday to take part in talks based on a new Middle East peace plan rather than reject it out of hand.

“It is important … to come out with a constructive stance, a realistic stance and a positive strategy that goes beyond just condemnation,” UAE Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Anwar Gargash said.

He spoke as Arab League foreign ministers meeting in Cairo rejected the new plan, announced last week by US President Donald Trump. They said it was unfair to the Palestinians and would not lead to a comprehensive and just peace.

Abbas himself not only condemned the Trump plan, but withdrew security cooperation with Israel in the occupied West Bank. “We’ve informed the Israeli side ... that there will be no relations at all with them and the US, including security ties,” Abbas told the meeting.

Israel and the Palestinian Authority’s security forces have long cooperated in policing areas of the occupied West Bank that are under Palestinian control. The PA also has intelligence cooperation agreements with the CIA, which continued even after the Palestinians began boycotting the Trump administration in 2017.

Abbas also said he had refused to discuss the plan by with Trump by phone, or to receive even a copy of it to study it. “Trump asked that I speak to him by phone but I said ‘no,’ and that he wants to send me a letter ... but I refused it.”

Abbas said he did not want Trump to be able to say that he had been consulted.

The Trump peace plan, enthusiastically supported by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, calls for the creation of a demilitarized Palestinian state that excludes Jewish settlements built in occupied territory and is under near-total Israeli security control. It also proposes US recognition of Israeli settlements on occupied West Bank land and of Jerusalem as Israel’s indivisible capital, along with Israeli annexation of the Jordan valley.

The Arab League foreign ministers meeting in Cairo said the plan would not lead to a comprehensive and just peace, and that the League would not cooperate with the US in implementing it.

The ministers affirmed Palestinian rights to create a future state based on the land captured and occupied by Israel in the 1967 Middle East war, with East Jerusalem as capital, the final communique said. They said there could be no peace without recognising Palestinian rights and a comprehensive solution, based on the 2002 Arab peace initiative.

The Saudi delegation was led by the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Prince Faisal bin Farhan, who reaffirmed the Kingdom’s support “for the Palestinian people and their just cause.”

Abbas has threatened to withdraw security cooperation before and it was unclear whether he would carry it out, analysts told Arab News.

“If he does, then he might finally have some leverage to negotiate a better deal with the Israelis,” said Fadi Elsalameen of the Foreign Policy Institute at The Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. “I am very skeptical about his ability to carry this through.”

Hanna Issa, secretary-general of the Islamic-Christian committee to support Jerusalem and the holy sites, and a member of the Fatah revolutionary council, told Arab News the total suspension of security coordination would mean the end of the Oslo accords. “This will need time unless the Palestinian side wants to dissolve the Palestinian Authority and therefore make Israel responsible legally, politically, and financially as an occupying power,” he said. “A vacuum will happen if this is decided and it is not clear how it will be filled.”

Wadie Abunassar, director of the International Centre for Consultations, said the Palestinian president’s statement was“vague,” and due to a lack of alternatives. “It is a warning, hinting that dissolving the Palestinian Authority might be an option, despite knowing that such an option might be bad for him in particular, and Palestinians in general.”

Ofer Zalzberg, senior analyst with the International Crisis Group, said the US plan amounted to coercive diplomacy, with the Trump administration signaling to Palestinians that the cost of avoiding compromise was high and increasing. 

“This coercive effort encounters two major obstacles: First, it pushes on several elements standing at the core of Palestinian identity, notably regarding Al-Aqsa Mosque and refugees’ rights, which Palestinians deem non-negotiable. Such pressure backfires, only increasing resistance to the US plan.

“Second, not only Palestinian nationalism requires Palestinian statehood, so does Israeli-Jewish nationalism, to the extent that it seeks to maintain both a Jewish majority and a democratic system of governance.”

Zalzberg said the combination of these two seemed to lead the Palestinian leadership to favor pursuing calculated escalation, “loosening security coordination in order to demonstrate the Palestinian Authority’s utility to Israel in curbing violence while counting on Israeli self-interest to rein in the kind of annexation measures that would render a genuine two-state agreement impossible.”

Mohammad Masharqa, head of the Center for Arab Progress in London and former adviser to the Palestinian embassythere, told Arab News it was unlikely that security coordination would end soon.

“The security coordination is the last wall left of the Oslo Accords and if it falls it must be replaced by a new form of struggle,” he said. “Ending security coordination and dissolving the Palestinian Authority requires a new strategy that would require time and national unity between all aspects of the Palestinian people, inside and outside.”

Jamal Dajani, former head of communications at the Palestinian prime ministry, said Abbas was left with no option but to end all cooperation with Israel based on the Oslo agreement. “President Trump did not offer a peace plan, he outlined a one-sided proposal in order to pave the way for Israel to annex large areas of the West Bank and lock up Palestinians in bantustans,” he said.

“I don’t think, however, that Palestinians should sever ties with the US, as Trump’s deal does not reflect the sentiment of the American people or US Congress. In fact, it has been condemned by many prominent people and politicians in the US.

https://www.arabnews.com/node/1621396/middle-east

[Butifldrm]

Palestinian leader to address UN on Trump plan, but no vote

 

In this file photo taken on January 28, 2020 Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas gestures as he delivers a speech in the West Bank city of Ramallah, following the announcement by US President Donald Trump of the Mideast peace plan. (AFP)

 

February 10, 202019:54

54

 

Abbas will reiterate his rejection of the Trump administration’s Mideast plan

 

UNITED NATIONS: Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas will reiterate his rejection of the Trump administration’s Mideast plan in an address to the UN Security Council Tuesday, but members will not be voting on a draft resolution opposing the US proposal.
President Donald Trump unveiled the US initiative for ending the Israeli-Palestinian conflict on Jan. 28.
Senior Palestinian official Saeb Erekat denied reports that the draft resolution was pulled because of a lack of support, saying in a statement that the “rumor” the Palestinians withdrew the resolution is “not true and totally baseless.”
He said the draft resolution, which initially said the US plan undermined the Palestinian peoples’ aspirations for independence, is still being discussed and will be put to a vote once those discussions conclude with “a formula that represents our positions.”
The original draft resolution, co-sponsored by Tunisia and Indonesia and backed by the Palestinians, also said the US plan violates international law and Security Council demands for a two-state solution based on borders before the 1967 Mideast war.
The resolution had been expected to be put to a vote on Tuesday when Abbas addressed the council. But diplomats said many of its provisions were not acceptable to European members of the council, who support a two-state solution based on pre-1967 borders, and other council members.
After lengthy negotiations through the weekend, and the circulation of a drastically amended text by the United States, the Palestinians decided against putting any draft in “blue” — a final form for a vote, the diplomats said, speaking on condition of anonymity because the discussions were private.
Erekat said since the resolution hasn’t been put in “blue,” it cannot be said that it was pulled.
The US plan envisions a disjointed Palestinian state that turns over key parts of the West Bank to Israel, siding with Israel on key contentious issues including borders and the status of Jerusalem and Jewish settlements.
The Palestinians seek all of the West Bank and east Jerusalem — areas captured by Israel in the 1967 Mideast war — for an independent state and the removal of many of the more than 700,000 Israeli settlers from these areas.
But under terms of the “peace vision” that Trump’s son-in-law and senior adviser Jared Kushner worked on for nearly three years, all Israeli settlers would remain in place, and Israel would retain sovereignty over all of its settlements as well as the strategic Jordan Valley.

https://www.arabnews.com/node/1625991/middle-east

[ronscarpa]

Everybody seems to forget that GOD gave the entire land of the Levant to Israel...there was no Palestine until the British named the region Palestine. Much more can be said, but this is enough...!  JMHO 

[coorslite21]

3 minutes ago, ronscarpa said:

Everybody seems to forget that GOD gave the entire land of the Levant to Israel...there was no Palestine until the British named the region Palestine. Much more can be said, but this is enough...!  JMHO 

AMEN!

[Butifldrm]

11-02-2020 03:51 PM

His former adviser: Trump is considering several plans for the Middle East, including Iraq, with his demonstrations and Iran's influence

 

 

Baghdad - news

Walid Fares, the Secretary-General of the Atlantic Parliamentary Group and former adviser to US President Donald Trump, revealed today, Tuesday, several ways and options before Trump regarding the Middle East issues in the coming stage, including Iraq, Iran and Syria, and the rapid events that are taking place.

In a new analytical article published by a British newspaper, and translated into "news", Fares said that after the US Senate managed to dismantle the isolation mechanism brought by the Democratic majority in the House of Representatives to try to overthrow President Donald Trump, a question arises within the United States about the priorities of the US administration Towards the Middle East in the coming months before the November elections.

And he added: The first question is, can the Trump administration, despite its victory over the isolation weapon, take a major strategic decision or several decisions in light of the short time separated from the date of the presidential elections? As the administration's ability to design plans, change policies, and implement projects during the presidential election campaign is inconclusive, and pessimistic observers believe that Washington will not make any major decisions before the presidential election.

He continued: The second question posed in the corridors of the White House relates to the possibility of President Trump taking quick and unexpected steps in a number of open files in the Middle East to surprise everyone, specifically his political opponents, with his ability to achieve results that allow him to strengthen his agenda in the presidential elections to work to implement Complete this agenda if he wins a second term.

The Iraqi file

Fares pointed out that the most prominent issue is Iraq, where Trump has an incentive. Demonstrations are continuing and American forces are present in force and making limited moves against Iran's militias, and there may be a loophole through which the administration can achieve a faster change on the ground, allowing greater pressure on the Iraqi militias and opens The door to the expansion of protests with the possibility that the militia-backed authority will not be able to end the popular uprising, and this is something that Washington can do, but at the same time there is a possibility that Washington is unable to complete this delicate engineering work inside the Iraqi state before next November. A very important time.

Divisions over Trump

And between, that the division within the Trump team between the government team and the electoral team regarding the possibility of making major decisions in foreign policy in general and the Middle East in particular has not been resolved yet, because those who work in his election campaign do not want the president to make a decision that might threaten the campaign path if he fails or Obstructed him, while the other team encourages him to move forward in the region and take decided and guaranteed steps that would score points for his interest in the electoral speech. What are the files that the American president can submit without resolving them, but with successful steps taken in the Arab world and the Middle East?

He pointed out that some people believed that the proposal of the Israeli-Palestinian solution might constitute in itself a point that strengthens its image in the American elections, and perhaps in the Middle East, but another section aware of the internal complications in the Arab world, especially the camp allied with Trump, is unlikely to take allies. Washington and the Arabs are taking steps because of the Palestinian leadership's rejection of the American peace plan, and with it several Arab countries. Although several Arab capitals are encouraged to start direct Palestinian-Israeli negotiations with Arab cover, the time factor is not sufficient to establish an Arab-American-Palestinian-Israeli dynamic capable of overcoming the existing barriers due to political and historical culture in the Arab region despite the division between supporters of the axis Iran and supporters of the Arab coalition axis.

Iranian file

Some believe that the Trump administration is able to move forward on the Iranian file towards supporting the Iranian opposition in various forms, which does not expose the administration in Washington to any greater challenge facing the Iranians, because standing with the opposition "does not cost anything", as the words of specialists in this file. In the coming months, the administration appears to be able to work better on Iran, given that there is a reason that the uprising inside Iran is moving in an uncalculated direction, prompting the Iranian regime to enter into a distraction project outside Iran, or a major crackdown in Inside, this will constitute in both cases an additional problem that the administration does not have the ability to resolve before the elections, thus the nominated president will go to the presidential elections with an open loophole on the Iranian front that his political opponents use against him.

In Syria, the balance exists between the west of the country under the control of the Assad regime and the Iranian forces and Russian support, the northern border that is under the control of Turkey, the east where the United States and its Kurdish allies control, and the status of the "statico" is stable with a single change that may be in Idlib, and the question here is Can the administration make any move in Syria to improve the situation? The possibility exists first through its ability to improve the balance of power in its favor on the ground, reduce the Iranian threat and strengthen the position of its allies, and at the same time, in the event of a confrontation with other parties (the regime and the Iranians), there is a risk of not being able to control the conditions during the election period.

Lebanon and Libya

On the other hand, some have put forward the Lebanese file as a Kabab that Trump can advance through, by strengthening the capabilities of the army and supporting protesters to gain points against Hezbollah and its allies in the government. This is possible, but there are risks that Washington's allies on the ground cannot move quickly and in the right direction, and American support will be turned into a process of progress in the interest of Hezbollah.

The Libyan file also falls within the equation that the Trump administration can move through, by supporting the Arab coalition to advance against militias, especially after the proliferation of extremist militants who were transferred from northern Syria to western Libya and the capital Tripoli, which may motivate Washington to help Europe reduce their presence by means of Different, but the challenge here is not in implementation but in decision-making in Washington, as the Trump administration revealed that it has not taken a big decision regarding Turkish policy in Syria and Libya, and if the White House decides to lead the confrontation against extremists on the basis of its association with organizations listed in the lists of American terrorism This will affect the public relationship between US President Donald Trump and Turkish Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and this has not been resolved.

In summary, the analysis indicates that there are already several files that the Trump administration can achieve progress without finalizing in the next nine months. , As Trump outside the isolation crisis is still at the beginning of the process of structuring the constituencies around him, and this is time consuming, and he wants to use the most time in domestic politics and the election campaign. So the decisive factor for the question we asked was the presence of a team within the Trump administration that would provide him with these limited victories in foreign policy and help him to be re-elected by the end of 2020.

http://www.ikhnews.com/index.php?page=article&id=208878

[ronscarpa]

 

1 hour ago, Butifldrm said:

His former adviser: Trump is considering several plans for the Middle East, including Iraq, with his demonstrations and Iran's influence.

 

Thanks Butifldrm for the article. It presents an interesting foreign perspective regarding Trump's plans.