Go Iraq Part 7

[txwWrestling]

1 minute ago, navira said:

Live mid-market rates

Nope, it's still the same

 Navira....What is your take on this being it has for so long (hours)? I have saw it be like that for 30 minutes or so but never an extended amount of time. I hope the train is coming around the bend....GO RV!

[ChuckFinley]

Just caught up with the last 3 pages. Great info - Bros and members are kicking it.

 

[navira]

1 hour ago, txwWrestling said:

 Navira....What is your take on this being it has for so long (hours)? I have saw it be like that for 30 minutes or so but never an extended amount of time. I hope the train is coming around the bend....GO RV!

If u look at other currencies specially all in the middle Easts n most of Asian countries, their live rates are all equal zero dollars...maybe they are all updating the rates....just my guess...I mean I have never seen them doing like this long update on their server.

[Master Oogway]

Can someone explain to me what the deal is as to why we need be excited about the rates and the site? No shade, I just don't get it. If the rates are still showing 0, what are we getting excited about? Help me out, please. And please feel free ro expression it to the like I'ma 4 year old. Just put some Crown in my sippy cup.

[6ly410]

Market Review: “Life returns to the Banks”

http://www.iraq-businessnews.com/2019/09/09/market-review-life-returns-to-the-banks/

9th September 2019 in Ahmed Tabaqchali, Investment, Iraq Banking & Finance News

By Ahmed Tabaqchali, CIO of Asia Frontier Capital (AFC) Iraq Fund.

Any opinions expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Iraq Business News.

The market drifted lower in an Eid-holiday shortened month, as turnover declined substantially from July. However, life found its way back to the banks. For the month, the market, as measured by the Rabee Securities RSISX USD Index (RSISUSD), was down −0.95% and down −4.89% for the year.

Average daily turnover declined −40% month-month and was the third lowest level over the last five years- the others being April 2019 and September 2018 as can be seen from the chart below. Foreign investors continued to be net buyers, consistent with the trend of the last few months, although at lower total levels in-line with the decline in total turnover.

(Sources: Iraq Stock Exchange (ISX), Rabee Securities, Asia Frontier Capital)

The market’s dynamics continue to improve with the return of life to the banking sector, which as a group cooled-off over June and July after a powerful rally in May led by the Bank of Baghdad (BBOB). This month, the group was led by the National Bank of Iraq (BNOI), which was up +21.1% for the month and up +58.6% from the April close before the sector started its rally.

Moreover, its earnings report for the second quarter 2019 (Q2/2019) supported management’s bullish outlook for 2019 as expressed in its latest AGM. As reported here, in June’s update, while management decided not to distribute dividends for a challenging 2018, it indicated the possibility of resuming dividend payments for 2019 based on its strong results for the first half of the year, as well as positive expectations for the second half.

BNOI’s first half 2019 (H1/2019) results show customer deposits were up +28% year to date, while its loan book was up +77% for the same period. Pre-tax earnings for the second quarter were up +48% sequentially, with the year to date figure showing promise for the year – a long way to go before recovering to pre-crises levels- but supporting management’s expectations for the resumption of dividend payments for 2019’s earnings.

While it’s not possible to extrapolate much from these results, or to generalize for the sector from them, they support in any case the thesis, made here in the last few months, which argues that the conditions are in place for the sector’s recovery in 2019-2020. The Commercial Bank of Iraq’s (BCOI) Q2/2019 earnings, while supporting this thesis, nevertheless show the unevenness of these conditions given the different circumstances of each bank. BCOI’s consumer deposits in H1/2019 were up +6% year to date, while its loan book declined by −7% – however, BCOI’s loan book is insignificant at under 8% of its deposits. BCOI was up +4.4% for the month and up +17.5% from the April close before the sector started its rally.

The most interesting development for the sector during the month was the trading action in the Bank of Baghdad (BBOB), which at some stage was up +10.7%, before trimming most of these gains, to end up +3.6%. This comes on the back of its four-month wild ride, during which it rallied +62.5% in May, declined −12.8% in June, declined a further −17.6% in July, to end in August up +20.8% from the pre-rally close.

The stock’s ride started on speculative hopes that BBOB would resume dividend payments for its 2018 results, sputtered as BBOB poured cold water over these speculative hopes during its recent AGM, but seems to still have plenty of fuel left. This could imply that the market is looking past the bank’s difficulties and focusing, instead, on the prospects of a bank following through with the recovery in its fortunes that began in 2018 as part of the overall conditions in place for the sector’s future revival.

The market’s looking past the weaknesses of BBOB is a further positive aspect of its improving dynamics as pointed here last month “While, BBOB pulled the other leading banks up with it in May, it did not drag them lower in June and July which is very different than the market’s responses to such disappointments in 2018. That time all banks were painted by the same brush, which shows a market that has begun to discriminate showing it has likely bottomed or is making a bottom.” The year to date chart below for four leading banks shows these very different responses.

Year to date indexed performance: Bank of Baghdad – BBOB (green), Commercial Bank of Iraq – BCOI (blue), Mansour Bank – BMNS (mauve), National Bank of Iraq – BNOI (brown)

(Source: Bloomberg)

The early picture of the trading activity in September suggests that it will likely be in-line with that of August. Whilst the market is in the early process of discounting the banking sector’s recovery, it’s worthwhile to point out its continued divergence from its past close relationship with oil revenues (a proxy for the forces driving the economy) – still at the widest it has been for the last few years (see below).

(Sources: Iraq’s Ministry of Oil, Rabee Securities, Asia Frontier Capital)

(Note: Oil revenues as of Jul, AFC estimates for Aug)

Please click here to download Ahmed Tabaqchali’s full report in pdf format.

Mr Tabaqchali (@AMTabaqchali) is the CIO of the AFC Iraq Fund, and is an experienced capital markets professional with over 25 years’ experience in US and MENA markets. He is a non-resident Fellow at the Institute of Regional and International Studies (IRIS) at the American University of Iraq-Sulaimani (AUIS), and an Adjunct Assistant Professor at AUIS. He is a board member of the Credit Bank of Iraq.

His comments, opinions and analyses are personal views and are intended to be for informational purposes and general interest only and should not be construed as individual investment advice or a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any fund or security or to adopt any investment strategy. It does not constitute legal or tax or investment advice. The information provided in this material is compiled from sources that are believed to be reliable, but no guarantee is made of its correctness, is rendered as at publication date and may change without notice and it is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding Iraq, the region, market or investment

 

 

 

 

 

 

t.

Edited September 10, 2019 by 6ly410

[6ly410]

 

[6ly410]

 

[txwWrestling]

Still going on....I hope this is some type of sign...I'm not saying the ships are at sea or anything...but I will say GO RV!!!!!

[SgtFuryUSCZ]

2 minutes ago, txwWrestling said:

Still going on....I hope this is some type of sign...I'm not saying the ships are at sea or anything...but I will say GO RV!!!!!

DITTO ! 

Here's hopin' they keep movin' in the right direction ==>  

[Half Crazy Runner]

32 minutes ago, Master Oogway said:

Can someone explain to me what the deal is as to why we need be excited about the rates and the site? No shade, I just don't get it. If the rates are still showing 0, what are we getting excited about? Help me out, please. And please feel free ro expression it to the like I'ma 4 year old. Just put some Crown in my sippy cup.

 

I’m just guessing here, but maybe because it’s  *different*  than the norm..?

 And like in Groundhog Day, anything different is good 😁

[6ly410]

 

[6ly410]

Iraq will conclude eight agreements with China during Abdul Mahdi's visit to Beijing

[6ly410]

Let’s go Iraq let’s go bros let’s go RI 

[6ly410]

Cheers haha 

[6ly410]

Bro what is happing  on xe haha 

Edited September 10, 2019 by 6ly410

[navira]

2 minutes ago, 6ly410 said:

Bro what is happing  on xe haha 

It is still going on bro, haha. They started doing this just yesterday when i checked right back in...things changed.

[6ly410]

Wow bro 

[navira]

7 minutes ago, 6ly410 said:

Bro what is happing  on xe haha 

Right now the mid matket rate is 1iqd= .00dollars...they are about to delete the zeroes on the rate bro

[6ly410]

 

1 minute ago, navira said:

they are about to delete the zeroes on the rate bro

I agree bro 

[6ly410]

Pumped let’s do this haha 

[6ly410]

Go RI cheers 

[navira]

1 minute ago, navira said:

Right now the mid matket rate is 1iqd= .00dollars...they are about to delete the zeroes on the rate bro

All other rates are showing to the nearest hundreds...no more . 0000(no more of these bunch of zeroes just two zeroes on the right of the decimal.

[6ly410]

The Association of Private Banks meets the Minister of Finance and Economy of the Regional Government

  
 Banks
Economy News _ Baghdad

A delegation from the Association of Iraqi Private Banks, on Tuesday, visited the Minister of Finance and Economy in the Kurdistan Regional Government Awat Janab Nuri Saleh.

The transfer of the Regional Director of the Association of Iraqi private banks Mohammed Munther, congratulations and Blessings of the President of the Association of Private Banks, Wadih al-Handal, on the occasion of fattening the post of Minister of Finance and Economy in the Government of the Region wishing him success and success in his work.

The delegation discussed with the minister the possibility of joint work with the ministry through seminars, training courses and joint workshops, as well as coordination between the Ministry of Finance and the Association of Banks through the establishment of a joint committee to follow up topics related to banks in general.

For his part, expressed the Minister of Finance and Economy, the ministry's readiness to cooperate with the Association of Iraqi private banks, praising the efforts of the Association in the Kurdistan region.

 

Number of Views 44 Date Added 10/09/2019

[keylime]

2 hours ago, 6ly410 said:

Iraq will conclude eight agreements with China during Abdul Mahdi's visit to Beijing

How come they can do 8 Agreements with China whom the US can't agree with and they can't do 1 agreement with themselves.?!

[NEPatriotsFan1]

Just now, keylime said:

How come they can do 8 Agreements with China whom the US can't agree with and they can't do 1 agreement with themselves.?!

Good point!