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Katyusha bombing drags Iraq into a war, it has nothing to do with it.

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The consequences of international conflicts are usually predictable in terms of their forms, their parties, their features, and the ones they lead or support, and in the same way, it is clear to those who oppose them, regardless of the precautions they take. The final result remains open to all, but what is happening now of the consequences and repercussions in the Iraqi arena, which is undoubtedly the product of the new regional conflict, which is managed by two conflicting parties that are ideologically contradictory – although they are close in terms of their destructive potential, regardless of which is stronger than the other, especially when Psychometric measures are becoming useless in such measurements , because whatever the results will be , they are disastrous for the two conflicting parties first, and for everyone in their spatial – regional and even international – or intellectual or ideological environment , everyone is a loser in the end.
And if we drop this introduction on what is going on and what is expected to happen in Iraq, coincide with the current global regional conflict that is trying to redraw the map of the new Middle East according to requirements that may become clear before the end of the conflict or at least with its first end led by two contradictory ideology totally , one of them is capitalist western represented in the United States of America, and the other a reactionary , Mullah representative in the Republic of Iran, we find that this conflict between these two arch-rivals takes non-traditional forms, whether in forms or content , and the reasons that imposed this diversity in forms and contiguity Lies in the multilateralism of parties that are pro and anti- two sides in Iraq in particular , and in the region in general.
This is where the Rawabet Center for Strategic Research and Studies concentrates more on the issue and goes deeply into the widest possible extent in the analysis and indication on what is mentioned above. It begins with the end of events today within the Iraqi arena, which is meant to redraw the political, geographical and even demographic scene in Iraq, according to the requirements of a stage that Iraq has nothing to do with it. Rather, but it is required that Iraq to be an arena for a war on its soil , as reliable sources said that three Katyusha rockets targeted the Iraqi Taji base on Monday evening, 17 June 2019 , preceded by several targets for many Iraqi strategic locations we will refer to later.
Here are several questions arise , most notably: Why this specific targeting of the Iraqi Taji base itself and specifically in this period? What messages does this targeting have? Who is the main beneficiary of this targeting?
Because the answer to these questions carries many risks, we will resort to the narrative answer contained in the context of events in chronological order, including shocking figures reveal the clear facts and unquestionable, the Iraqi Taji base is the largest military base of Iraq, as well as being the largest military bases In the Middle East in terms of size and equipment, including the NATO institutions, where there are varied US forces and helicopters , and includes various Iraqi bases, including various types of helicopters, and various aircraft of the Iraqi army, and also the Iraqi air defense base and it includes the Iraqi military training centers, as well as large military institutions, on the one hand, and the other is the base of the Taji very close to Baghdad, so targeting it means to target the prestige of the Iraqi state on the one hand, and sends messages to several parties carrying multiple contents most notably the reference to the arms of Iran – in Iraq in particular – able to penetrate the American shield, and impose a new equation to restore Iran’s international prestige, on the one hand, and to achieve the Iranian exit from the current predicament even with less possible losses on the other hand.
This conclusion is supported by several strategic targets within Iraqi territory, which were characterized by the targeting of Balad base by four Katyusha rockets a few days ago. The base, which is no less strategic importance than the Taji base in all that it contains or includes, preceded by the missile attack on the US Embassy and the missile bombing occurred on the important strategic side of Baghdad International Airport, and the subsequent Iraqi official statements that the Iraqi forces discovered several missile bases from which these attacks are being launched against the aforementioned bases , which in turn bears a balance of the US-Iran conflict , but the essence of it is no more than trying to engage Iraq into a war that it will be the biggest loser in it. Moreover, Iraq, as well as Iraq and because of the repeated targeting of its bases and its military arsenal, is suffering heavy financial losses, as well as keeping it vulnerable to terrorism, extremism and instability.
And the return to the Iraqi reactions, at the level of alliances or blocs or parties or groups or individuals, and most of them – except those proven to be loyal to Iran – confirms that the targeting of the bases and strategic sites within Iraqi territory, and regardless of who, the first is targeting military capabilities of Iraq, and attempts to create security holes will be exploited by terrorism, and will achieve gains against the Iraqi people, as happened in 2014 , the invasion of the terrorist organization ISIS to Mosul and other areas estimated one-third of Iraq, and secondly is the denial and ungrateful for the US troops, the main partner who stood by with Iraq in its war against terrorism and its defeat, and the cleansing of all Iraqi territory of its drowning and its recurrence, and no one denies only the ungrateful that the American forces were able to eliminate the most powerful terrorists and their tyrants, and they were the main partner of Iraq in maintaining its security, sovereignty, unity and stability., despite the anomalous voices that try to minimize the importance of US-Iraqi partnership, and try to engage Iraq in a war that is not its war and not in its interest.

Political Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

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Iraq between the US and Iranian escalation.

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Shatha Khalil *
The Iraqi economy is lagging behind, lacks the development industry and improvement , depends on the financing of the budget mainly on oil imports, so it has become to depend heavily on imports, especially from Iran.
Iran is the most important trading partner for Iraq, and the trade balance is estimated at $ 12 billion, where Iraq depends on supplying gas and electricity from Iran, and freezing them it means that Iraq is entering a real crisis. The public could come out into the street just it did months ago in Basra.

Relations between the United States and Iran have witnessed a significant escalation in recent months against the backdrop of Washington imposing economic sanctions on Iran, classifying its Revolutionary Guard as a terrorist and sending a group of warships led by the Abraham Lincoln carrier with B52 bombers to the Gulf region for “Iranian threats” to US forces and their allies.

Iraq a mediator between Washington and Tehran:
Iraq stressed the need to be wise and rational in dealing with recent developments in the region, Iraqi Prime Minister Adil Abdul Mahdi, said Iraq’s quest for mediation between the United States and Iran to push for calm, but there is no Iraqi party wants to push things in the direction of war between them.

Iraq will continue to move the mediation of countries in the region to avoid conflicts, including Russia, which mediates to resolve the crisis, as well as Qatar, Switzerland, Oman and Japan, and Iraq works to activate mediation.
But is Iraq’s neutrality sufficient to protect its economy, and even its policy emerging from the external repercussions of the US and Iran, as they both have influence in Iraq, will Iraq become the arena for the settlement and lose balance between the two forces?!
Here, we must emphasize the need for Iraq to seek economic alternatives, and Saudi Arabia should be able to gradually free from dependence on Iran.

US threats to Iran come into force:
Earlier this month, US President Donald Trump’s decision to “drive Iran’s oil exports to zero” came into effect after a deadline from Washington for a number of countries to refrain from importing Tehran’s oil, increasing the economic difficulties facing Iran, with dependence on oil as a major source of foreign inflows. .
On the other hand, the administration of US President Donald Trump sends mediators across Iraq to Iran, where US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said he sent Iran a warning message during a hastily arranged visit to Baghdad last month that any attack by Tehran or one of its agents leads to one American death, it would lead to a US military counter-attack, but Iran has refused to negotiate with Washington “under pressure and sanctions that it sees as surrendering and making concessions.

In the same context, Iranian President Hassan Rowhani said that his country would implement the second step of reducing its commitments in the nuclear agreement if the partners of the agreement did not implement their commitments during the remainder of the 60-day deadline announced by Iran earlier.
“The sanctions imposed by America failed, and as we were told by foreign officials, it recognizes the failure, and this is a great work done by Iran.”
Rouhani added, “The measures we are taking to reduce our commitments to the nuclear deal are the lowest that can be done within the framework of the agreement, and Iran has reduced its commitments not only because the other side withdrew from the agreement but to target it as the basis of the agreement to impose sanctions on the Iranian people,”.

Iranian mined messages in multiple directions:
The Hebrew newspaper “Haaretz” in an article by author Zvi Bariel , ponted out , “The Katyusha rocket that exploded near the US Embassy in Baghdad, turned Iraq immediately to be a new point of the collision course between Washington and Tehran,” believing that “the missile attributed to the forces or militias in favor of Tehran, a message to the US administration and the Iraqi government that they are not subject to US pressure. ”
“The American pressure is working on two tracks,” the newspaper said. “We are only pointing to the first, which confirms Washington’s desire to separate Iraq’s economy from Iran’s economy, thus closing the expected gap in sanctions on Iran , it is an attempt to enable US forces to use Iraq’s territories as a platform to launch attacks against Tehran in case the confrontation has gone to violent tracks. ”
Iran’s recent sabotage operations have serious consequences, not only on the existing situation between Iran and the countries of the region, but will also disrupt international shipping, hit the global economy and threaten the security of world oil supplies.

The international trade is in a real crisis after the targeting of ships in Fujairah. Its effects could threaten the stability of the international economy if the geopolitical risks in the region escalate, making the alarm sound, all possibilities are possible, either the calm or the situation worsens in the coming period, leading to the highest levels, in addition to the high cost of insurance for ships passing in the region in the event of escalation of sabotage, which will also have negative effects on the rise of prices.
The region has about one-third of the world’s oil production, which means that tensions will have significant consequences for oil prices to record levels, and the high cost of insurance for oil tankers, and there must be international intervention through political channels and diplomacy.
These threats will not be in the interest of Iran in the first place, because the beneficiary of trade from the Arabian Gulf is the most promising markets in Asia, including China, India, Japan, Thailand, the Philippines and others, unlike the United States, which has decreased its need for oil and started exporting, this means antagonizing the international community, a development in which no party wants to place itself.

In conclusion, the drums of war between Iran and the United States do not seem to be close to the Iraqi scene, even with the fact that the two countries retain considerable power and influence there, suggesting the prospect of violent conflict because there is a network of interests and mechanisms of cooperation or a controlled confrontation between the two parties, and obviously both invest in this type of pragmatic relationship, which maintained the balance of their interests even with the acceptance of percentage of profit or loss for both.
Economic Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

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After the storming of the Bahraini embassy in Baghdad: Iraq is Tehran’s “favorite” Square to confront Washington.

It seems that the disturbing Iranian messages to the United States and its allies, Iraq is the source of it , are in continuous communication, under the pretext of refusing to hold the Manama conference on the Palestinian issue, the demonstrators ripped down the Bahraini flag from the top of the building of the Bahrain embassy in Baghdad waving Palestinian banners , and burned the American and Israeli flags, in response to this intrusion, the Bahraini Foreign Ministry announced that it had summoned its ambassador from Iraq for consultations. For its part, the Iraqi government has promised to hold accountable the groups who stormed the embassy.

Legally, what happened yesterday against the Bahraini embassy in Baghdad is completely contrary to the diplomatic relations of 1961, and entails international responsibility if the state fails to provide protection to the headquarters of diplomatic and consular missions. Yesterday’s attack on the inviolability of the Bahraini embassy is a violation of its sovereignty. The embassy is considered a regional extension of the state. In the legal sense, any attack on the embassy is an attack on its state.

Politically, the purpose of breaking into the embassy is very clear. It is a message from Iran through its allies in Iraq to the United States that Iran is capable of interfering and affect your political plans in the region. Anyone who wants to object to the Manama conference does not storm the Bahraini embassy in Baghdad, but there are other civilized means to express the rejection and protest against the Manama conference and to support the rights of the Palestinian people. The evidence for that the aim of the storming was an Iranian target with distinction rather than a rejection of the Manama conference , we note in December 2017 , when the US president made a serious decision in which the occupied al-Quds was considered the capital of Israel , and in March, Trump signed a decree provides , that the United States’ recognizes Israel’s sovereignty over the occupied Syrian Golan and other decisions taken by the Trump administration against the Palestinian cause, we did not see these crowds heading towards the US Embassy in Baghdad, and the reason is very understandable where Tehran has not issued a decision to its allies in Iraq to go to that US embassy. The question that arises in this context, especially for the allies of Iran: Why should Iraq pay the bill of conflict between the administration of Trump and Iran? Why do they insist on weakening Iraq?

Strenuous efforts are being made by the President of the Republic of Iraq, Barham Salih, and his Prime Minister, Adil Abdul Mahdi, to restore Iraq to its Arab depth, which can not be dispensed under any circumstances. In return, Iran’s allies are working to ruin these efforts.

Iraqi Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

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A decree “237”: Adel Abdul Mahdi, about rearranging the Iraqi house.

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Recently, the wise man wonders what are these negative acts that have taken place in Iraq, actions that are not accepted by everyone who is keen on the country’s reputation and stability. And it is not accepted by anyone who is sticking to the soil of his homeland and the sacrifices of its sons and grandfathers , and what is sacred of the blood of the martyrs whose blood has watered the soil of Iraq to preserve it and protect its independence.

What to say about the target of the “Balad” air base by missiles, and about the target by a missile attack on the headquarters of major international oil companies, including the US giant ExxonMobil in the city of Basra, and what about those who stormed the Bahraini embassy in Baghdad. That all these previous acts and the like are out of the law, which must be respected by all officials and citizens. And that these actions harm the reputation and stability of Iraq.

The democratic state, which Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi seeks to consolidate its pillars, is based only on the principle of the rule of law, which means that the rulers and the governed in the state are subjected to the rules of the law in which the acts of the various state authorities and their citizens conform to existing legal rules. And the Diwani Order (decree)No. 237 issued by the Office of Prime Minister Adel Abdel-Mahdi on the popular crowd , is to confirm the importance of the rule of law and the criteria of patriotism and belonging to it and that the rule of law is a collective responsibility of the state and the citizen. Among the decisions of the “Diwani Order” is the closure of all the headquarters of any faction of the popular crowd and the armed factions have an option either to join the armed forces or engaging in political activity according to the laws of the parties. “The presence of any faction acting secretly or publicly outside these instructions” is forbidden. The prime minister authorized the factions until July 31 to comply with the new resolution.

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For his part, Moqtada al-Sadr on Monday welcomed the decision of Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, the integration of popular crowd factions in the regular armed forces. “What is issued is” an important first step towards a strong state that is not shaken by the winds from here or there, but I am concerned that it will not properly and fairly applied, “Sadr said in a statement on his Facebook page.
Undoubtedly, the issuance of the Diwani Order is a courageous and dare step for Prime Minister Adil Abdul Mahdi because it is a step in the right direction to reorganize the Iraqi House and a major step towards enforcing the rule of law, which leads to an Iraqi society that is socially harmonious and balanced , economically advanced, non-backward and politically stable.

Therefore, the Iraqi political blocs should cooperate with Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi in his important reform step, and not be a stumbling block in the way of reform and to overcome Iraq’s supreme interest on partisan , sectarian and Iraqi interests , and Iraq has suffered much enough as a result of very narrow calculations , and the stability of Iraq and progress, the reform project of the Iraqi Prime Minister, Adil Abdul Mahdi, means its return to its natural and deserving status in the Arab, regional and international environment.
The reform project of Prime Minister Adil Abdul Mahdi is not limited to imposing the rule of law, but also in the mechanism of choosing his ministerial team, who must enjoy a high level of competence and integrity ,the choice of Defense Minister Najah Hassan Ali Al-Shammari and Interior Minister Yassin al-Yasiri, the first is of military background and the second is of police background , is among the objectives of reform project , they are politically independent and does not belong to any political bloc in Iraq.
As for the message that Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi wants to send by issuing that Diwani order, Iraq does not budge from the political conviction it believes in, namely, to work for the stability of the region, and that Iraq does not accept that its land is an arena for settling scores between countries, and according to this bases, the three presidencies of Iraq cooperate to apply this conviction i.
So , Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi will deal with all acts that contradict with this political conviction very seriously ,and among these acts where the intelligence reports indicate that the Drones that targeted the oil stations in Saudi Arabia have been launched from the city of Karbala in Iraq, and to ensure that these reports are correct through the collection of intelligence data , it can not be tolerated, because it is a flagrant violation of Iraq’s sovereignty.
And the storming of the Bahraini embassy in Baghdad because these actions harm the relationship of Iraq with the Arab countries, where a statement issued by the Office of the Prime Minister expressed deep dissatisfaction about what happened. However, the reactions to these events were contrary to the desire to strain Iraq’s relationship with the Kingdom of Bahrain and Saudi Arabia , where there was contact between President of the Republic of Iraq Barham Salih and the King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa , and there was also a contact between Iraqi Prime Minister Adil Abdul Mahdi and King of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Saudi King Salman bin Abdul Aziz, and both contacts stressed the depth of the relationship of Baghdad with Manama and Riyadh.
Iraqi Prime Minister Adil Abdul Mahdi knows that the Middle East is going through its most difficult stages, he is trying with determination and patriotism to spare Iraq the woes of multi-level conflict, the first is Iranian-American, the second is Iranian-Israeli, the third is Iran-Gulf. All these conflicts affect Iraq negatively because of the Iranian influence in it.
We have already said and we say it again that Prime Minister Adil Abdul Mahdi may be the last chance for a stable Iraq, therefore, all the Iraqi forces and the regional countries, such as Iran and the international ones such as the United States of America, should provide the necessary support so that Adil Abdul Mahdi can get Iraq out of its dark tunnel, and bring it to safety and be a bridge to bring the views of Washington and Tehran closer together.

There is no doubt that the defeat of the terrorist organization ISIS from the land of Iraq was a matter of time, because it was a thought contrary to the culture of Iraq based on coexistence and it is contrary to the good human nature, but there is a stage that comes after the stage of the terrorist organization ISIS which is the most important stage in the modern history of Iraq, Adel Abdul Mahdi , with a Comprehensive reform view and national sense, is capable of rebuilding Iraq again in cooperation with the Iraqi home and abroad, so everyone has to stand by him in his national mission.

Iraqi Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

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Iraq… Conditions improve and bad political mood.



 
 

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Dr… Abdullah Mohammed Al-Sheikh
It is not hidden for those interested in the Iraqi affairs, the difficult transformations witnessed by Iraq during the past decade and half noting that since 2003, Iraq has been floundering in several whirlpools and is trying hard to get out of the bottleneck that many experts believe has remained in its place without achieving tangible progress, except in simple aspects that hardly record real achievements.

Almost a decade and a half ago – specifically from 2004 to 2018 – five governments took over the rule of Iraq, starting with the government of Dr. Iyad Allawi and ending with the government of Haider al-Abadi, before the creation of the sixth government headed by Dr. Adel Abdul Mahdi , which was voted by the Iraqi Council of representatives on 24 October 2018, and it was formed in its first moment of (18) ministers, and the parliament voted on its ministerial platform, and gave confidence to him and his ministers, and he and his government were sworn in after one day.

According to many politicians, analysts and specialists on the Iraqi issue, and even organizations, associations and international institutes interested in it , the five Iraqi governments prior the government of Adel Abdul Mahdi, did not achieve what the government of Abdul Mahdi has achieved , although it has not completed the ninth month until the date of writing this article, but it Has been able to take confident steps in various security, political, economic fields and others.
In order not to classify this article as part of the articles of political flirtation , we will try to demonstrate as accurately as possible what we have mentioned above about the achievements of the government of Dr. Adel Abdul Mahdi, which can not be denied only by the ungrateful and denier , even though it is only nine months old.
However, before going into the review of the most important achievements of Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, we will stop a little to mark the most important challenges facing him and his government, which are the most dangerous and most complex files, and the most important, but not limited to, is the security file thorny, even after the defeat of the terrorist organization from the cities and areas controlled by it represented by the pockets of terrorism, on the one hand, and the growth of groups and armed groups operating for internal and external agendas, whose danger was beyond belief, as well as the growing corruption file that reached the limit appeared to be gnawing at the body of the Iraqi state , where it has formed an increasing challenge to the previous governments as well as economic agricultural and service challenges, and before that political file comes , which is the most important challenges that most politicians bet on the inability of Abdul Mahdi to deal with this thorny and intertwined and dangerous file , which starts from the Iraqi interior , to extend to the neighboring countries, and expand regionally not to mention other files look at first glance it’s easy and simple but the ones who checks its nature and dimensions , he will find it very complicated and the most important of which are the mechanisms and methods of dealing with the political blocs and alliances that are the biggest obstacles to the implementation and success of the government program which Abdul-Mahdi pledged to accomplish , especially in light of the changes and contradictions in the nature and course of work and methods of these entities.
Here and based on the above , the most bvious obstacles facing the government of Abdul-Mahdi , which was the most prominent reason for the failure of previous governments towards the commitments they undertook to make according to experts and specialists, but Abdul-Mahdi proved his wit , insight , ability, his determination and insistence to overcome all these obstacles , and took steps confidently since the first moments of his assumption of office , and went with determination and insistence to what he pledged to achieve , but he did not mind the obstacles he faced, taking into account Iraq and the Iraqi citizen over all the narrow headings, and despite the difficulty of mentioning all the achievements of Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi during the first nine months to assume his duties, but we will risk to summarize the most important achievements as follows:
First: the achievements of Abdul Mahdi in the political field:
It is no secret that the role of Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, in redrawing the political scene, both internally – or at the external level. On the domestic level, Abdul Mahdi took it upon himself to elevate the reality of internal – internal relations – on the one hand, and internal –external relations , “Arab , regional and international, ” on the other hand, through continuous coordination and fruitful cooperation with the presidency of the Republic and the Parliament, in order to achieve high harmony, and is in the supreme interest of Iraq , and this is embodied through his shuttle tours to more than one country, whether the neighboring countries , or the countries of the region or the countries of the world, in a steady pace, and tireless efforts to return Iraq to its natural position, and enabling it to play its role assigned locally, regionally and internationally, as well as the great quest to distance Iraq from regional conflicts, and to try neutrality taking into account its supreme interests, and good neighborly relations, and without violating its security , interests and its supreme sovereignty.
In this regard, the skeptic is able to return to the bilateral agreements concluded between Iraq and many countries, whether neighboring countries or countries of the region and the world, which varied in their contents and objectives, political, economic, security, bilateral and tripartite cooperation and other fields.
Second: Abdul-Mahdi’s achievements in the economic field :
The economic achievements achieved during the period of Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi are many and varied compared to the period of nine months only since he assumed the tasks of the presidency of the Iraqi government, and we will only refer to the most important of them only, according to the economic standards of any country in the world, we mean the cash reserve of hard currency, and gold, as the Iraqi cash reserves of hard currency according to the latest statistics recorded in April last year 2019 about (62) billion dollars in the past April , but other sources indicate that the current reserve reached about ( 72) billion, with expectations to reach (82) billion dollars , and concerning the reserve of Iraq of gold according to World Gold Council in Statistics published on its site , Iraq has maintained its 38th position in the world’s largest gold reserve for July 2019 out of 100 countries, listed in the international financial statistics of the global reserves of gold, which amounted to (96.3) tons, which represents 6.2% of the rest of its other currencies.
As well as the important economic measures carried out by Adel Abdul Mahdi, within the program of government, notably:
• Provide a comprehensive economic plan to improve the Iraqi economy.
• Eliminating financial corruption from all parts of the state.
• To hold accountable the corrupt and recover stolen money to the state treasury.
• Private sector support campaign.
• Settlement of the private sector within the Iraqi state.
• Opening up to investment by seeking to open cities and markets on the border with Iran, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Jordan.
• Extension of the pipeline to Jordan.
• Promote the principle of “Made in Iraq” and projects “Iraqi hands” and reduce imports.
• Promote exports and restore confidence in ourselves, our experts and our universities.
• Investing graduates and unemployed youth.
• Developing expertise in Iraqi economies.
• Reducing economic dependency abroad.
Third: Abdul Mahdi achievements in the field of security :
The greatest security achievements achieved during the time of the Iraqi Prime Minister Dr. Adel Abdul Mahdi, is turning Iraq from the field of defense to the field of attack, as everyone is aware of the size of security challenges, which are one of the most serious files that many bet on the inability of Abdul Mahdi to deal with them, due to its overlaps in which almost impossible to deal with or face, especially with the spread of militias and armed groups operating outside the state, which its force sometimes reached a point that is beyond the strength of the Iraqi state itself, and what increases the complexity of this complex and intertwined file is multiple aspects and sources , but all this did not prevent Abdul Mahdi from confronting this issue, when he explicitly stated that he would strike with an iron fist at the hands of anyone who tries to undermine the security of Iraq and the Iraqis.
Not only that, but the bold and intelligent steps taken by Abdul Mahdi in the same matter, headed the Supreme Council for National Security, and begin to address all security issues, and to address the outlawed groups that operate outside the state, and guidance to hold accountable those who threaten security and social peace, and eradicates of the hands that disturb security as well as the success of the selection of two security ministers of the Ministries of Interior and Defense, who are efficient figures and recognized for their integrity, professionalism and strength and firmness, as well as they are the sons of the ministries they assume , that Abdul Mahdi ‘s move was like the arrow he threw to his opponent’s chest , who accused him of being dragged behind the political blocs in forming his government, or completing the rest of the cabinet at least, a step even that it was too late, but it was counted for Abdul Mahdi, the man who promised to form the government of technocrats, and he kept his promise.
It is noteworthy that the Supreme Council for National Security has several powers, the most important of which:
• Consideration of policies on the security and integrity of the Union, including draft legislation to ensure the achievement of Strategic Plan for National Security.
• Directing the various state agencies to develop their strategies in the interest of national security.
• Establish the necessary mechanisms and procedures for coordination between the various organs of the state in order to achieve national security.
• Work to strengthen the capacity of the state agencies in the face of crises and disasters, and ensure good management in the event of occurrence.
• Oversee the preparation and adoption of strategic plans for national security to ensure effective response to threats to national security.
• Supervise the development of a unified information base on the sources of threats, risks and challenges that the State may face.
• To give an opinion on the draft conventions and treaties relating to national security before they are issued.
• Propose the declaration of martial law and general mobilization.
Finally, no one can ignore the qualitative security boom in the time of Abdul Mahdi’s government, in terms of the significant decline in security breaches, which fell to very low levels that are acceptable from the security perspective of any country, compared with the high rates it had before him , and as well as what has been achieved by him , a significant security development in terms of opening the areas surrounded by concrete blocks since (2003), such as the Green Zone, and many other areas in the capital Baghdad in particular, and the rest of the Iraqi cities in general, as more than (10) Thousands of concrete blocs have been lifted till the now , and work is underway to lift what remains of them, as well as the most important security decision taken by Abdul Mahdi, the integration of the popular crowd forces to the Iraqi security forces.
As Abdul Mahdi gave a choice for factions and various parties that will enter the armed forces as part of the crowd, stressing that those who want to continue to carry weapons there are legal controls.
Fourth: Abdul-Mahdi’s achievements in the fight against corruption:
The scourge of corruption in Iraq has become one of the most prominent problems that hinder the achievement of the country’s progress in the files that are the most compatible with the life of the Iraqi citizen, starting from the provision of basic services, passing through the poverty and increasing unemployment, and to end with the security file specifically.
The file of corruption in Iraq, one of the most thorny files, which is the results of the accumulations of many years, where the file corruption is one of the most difficult files that are a difficult challenge to Adel Abdul Mahdi, as many of Abdul Mahdi’s opponents are betting on his failure to confront this file and open it, due to its risk and its multiple parties and its roots in the body of the Iraqi state.
However, the follower of the mechanisms and methods of Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi in dealing with this file, finds undoubtedly that he took decisions described as dare and decisive, in terms of the fight against corruption, the first was the decision to form the Anti-Corruption Council, which is headed by himself, which is a companion to the Integrity Commission , and several bodies and councils, all working in the fight against corruption, combating and eliminating it, through the opening of thousands of files, and the largest and most dangerous, and referral of most of them to the judicial and executive authorities competent to take necessary in accordance with the law, and actually Abdul Mahdi achieved important achievements and steps in the fight against corruption, and held accountable the largest corrupt , and return large amounts of money to the state treasury,
It is noteworthy that the Supreme Council for the fight against corruption, which includes officials and specialists headed by Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, is the fourth executive oversight body to combat corruption, after the Integrity Commission, Federal Board of Supreme Audit , and the offices of inspectors general in ministries, in addition to the control exercised by the House of Representatives as a regulatory legislative body.
Abdul Mahdi’s plans depended , to hold accountable those involved in corruption , on establishing committees and experts during the first session of the fourth Iraqi parliament announcing the existence of (13000) files of corruption open in front of the Integrity Commission. Abdul Mahdi pledged to deal with the corrupters as they are no less threat than ISIS.
Finally, Abdul-Mahdi restructuring of the Supreme Council for Combating Corruption, saying it was a step to unify the efforts of the regulators. He said: The aim of the restructuring of the Supreme Council for Combating Corruption is to enable it to take deterrent measures and unite the efforts of the regulators in the context of a new work capable to address any person or body, whatever its location, and act as a state in the detection of corruption and the protection of society and citizens and public money alike.
He added that this action comes in implementation of what we pledged in our government platform, which was ratified by the House of Representatives, and its implementation has become binding, stressing that: In front of that, the Supreme Council must enjoy to combat corruption with sufficient administrative and legal powers to control the file of corruption, and know its sources, kinks to follow up and implement.
And the observers of this file, and the deterrent actions taken against the corrupt, their seniors before their minors, are in itself achievements worthy of respect and appreciation and praise.
Fifth: Abdul Mahdi achievements in the field of agriculture :
The agricultural sector is a strategic file, and of utmost importance to Abdul Mahdi, and a significant presence within his government program, and began to implement what he promised to do , and during the first nine months of the life of his government, very important achievements were made in the Iraqi agricultural sector that haven’t been achieved since decades , despite the systematic targeting of this vital and important sector, by burning thousands of acres of planted agricultural crops of wheat and barley in many provinces of Iraq, but this targeting did not reduce the volume of wonderful achievement around the corner to reach Iraq to the stage of self-sufficiency of the two most important agricultural crops namely , Wheat and barley as reliable sources confirm that Iraq’s silos now contain more than 4.5 million tons of wheat where the Iraqi government has paid all amounts due to farmers. The prime minister seeks to reach more than 600,000 tons of rice during the two years , and these figures prove beyond doubt the success of the agricultural strategy set by Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, and worked to implement, which transformed Iraq from an agricultural importer to a an exporter country .
As well as the big boom in the cultivation of other crops no less important than the previous, which has achieved semi-self-sufficiency of Iraq, and with a competitive quality, such as tomatoes, vegetables and others, self-sufficiency is the prime minister’s goal sought during the presidency of the government.

Not only that, it is within the plan of Abdul Mahdi in support of the agricultural sector, support farmers and enable them to settle in their areas and lands, and provides them with the appropriate environment to upgrade the agricultural sector, to reach agricultural production comparable to world agricultural production in quality and quantity, through material and moral support to farmers and encourage them , and supply them with everything that would promote agriculture through several axes, notably :
• Providing financial, moral and research support to improve the quality of their agricultural crops.
• Encourage them to grow crops that are important in consumption.
• Providing affordable loans to farmers.
• Purchase their agricultural crops at competitive prices.
• Encouraging agricultural and livestock investment.
• Use national production to meet the needs of the food basket.
• Reduce imports and provide ration card items.
• Promote, develop and support modern agriculture.

The fair political observers praise the achievements of the government of Adel Abdul Mahdi in just nine months in the political, economic, security, agriculture, services and infrastructure sectors, as well as the openness to the Arab, regional and international environment.
They – the fair politicians who look at the full part of the cup – praise the efforts of Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, who works day and night, and over the days of the week, while those who look at the empty part of the cup, reduce these efforts, and try to underestimate them from the perspective of the famous saying ” we always underestimate the work of others, and the more their work is unique and dedicated the more we detract him.”

The bottom line, and in a way that may be scoffed at by those who reject all hardworking, patriotic and sincere ones,
We mention two verses of poetry from one of the poems of Mutanabbi , which he said :

Strong resolves come in proportion to men of determination, and noble deeds come in proportion to magnanimous men
Little things are deemed great by little minds, while grave calamities pale into insignificance in the eyes of the great

Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

 

Very interesting read.

Iraq is moving forward in the right direction 

 

Go Iraq 

Go Abdul Mahdi

Go achievement 

Go RV

Go $1:1

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Internet in Iraq compared to the world, 50 times slower and 50 times more expensive.

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Researcher Shatha Khalil *
In the era of globalization, the internet in the world has become the lifeblood in all areas. The simplest places, from kindergartens to all institutions of the state militarily, socio-economically, agricultural are almost not free from the Internet.
In Iraq, the use of the Internet began in 2000, but was not widespread under the regime before 2003, as it was limited to the use of employees of the security services and intelligence and some graduate students after obtaining a certain legal approval, where statistics indicate in 2000 to the presence of 12,500 users, but after 2003 it was expanding very rapidly throughout Iraq, but this service was characterized, provided to the Iraqi citizen, by a poor and expensive prices.
The Iraqi Digital Media Center has revealed shocking facts about the Internet file in Iraq.
According to research conducted by the Center’s specialists in the field of communications and the Internet, most of what is provided for citizens is” false Internet ” according to measurements of processing and operation, and it is sold to them more than 50 times from its real price according to the following statistics :
• Iraq imports the Internet at the price of (500 – 775) dollars for one STM, equivalent to (3 – 6) dollars per megabyte one, depending on the type of port that is imported through whether the sea or land.
• These prices are added to the wages of transportation inside Iraq for delivery to al-Mamoun exchange with a value of approximately $ 5000 per STM ($ 48 per megabyte) which is called international transport, as well as $ 1500 to transport to the Iraqi provinces ($ 10 per megawatt) which is called Local transport.
• The value of importing the Internet and transferring it to citizens with all costs up to ($ 41 per megabyte) while sold to citizens at least 50 times more than its real price if provided according to the standards of the rest of the world.

The Internet is not only overpriced, but companies are manipulating the Internet mechanisms that are provided for citizens. They install special devices that store Internet data such as video, pictures and various sites that are used in Iraq and thus its value become local, but they are sold at an international price.
• Experts revealed that the Cash devices of the YouTube on the site of the so-called (GGC) and cash devices of the pictures and videos on the site of Facebook which are so-called (FNA) and other cashes used to store the content of porn sites or products of Apple, they all shift the Internet capacity used by the international that It costs $ 48 per megabyte to the local, which costs only $ 10, and sometimes does not cost companies any money if they have cash devices inside Iraqi provinces.

Capacity manipulation of the Internet is a legal breach in the processing and broadcasting mechanisms of citizens.

The team stressed that the majority of the Internet access to the citizen with these mechanisms, but the imaginary and unreal Internet l as described.
The group said the price per megabyte sold to citizens and businesses ranged from $ 140 to $ 250, all of which are very unrealistic.
The specialists considered that the Iraqi Ministry of Communications has thus increased the value of the MIGA more than 11 times, and then companies with different cashes come , and here can not calculate the amounts that these companies will earn as net profits because of the great manipulation and integration of the real with the non-real.
The team pointed out that all the Internet companies in Iraq do not provide pure Internet or so called ( Dedicated), and that all lines are linked to the cash equipment , for example, if a citizen demanded from a major Internet company to buy one megabyte, the company will divide the demand into Google product data requests (including YouTube), and others related to the data and files of other sites , thus the citizen will only get a little from the real Internet .
The adoption of the Cash facilitates for the companies to process the Internet to surf porn sites in Iraq indirectly, by inserting most requests for movies and pornographic images in private cash machines, and then when ordering these films or images by any other user , they will be treated as a local request and do not cost the companies any additional amounts, especially those that put the cashes in their branches in the Iraqi provinces, but that some of these companies have headquarters of data in other districts outside the provincial centers.
However, a circumvent and disrupt of the network has continued since 2003 and to this day, The only affected is the Iraqi citizen who pays large sums of money for a very poor service, with the increasing statements of officials and official data to solve this dangerous problem .

Circumvent of Companies at Internet Time
The Internet companies resort to another trick that seeks to deceive the ordinary citizen, by dividing the times granted by the Internet, for example, some companies are to find two types of speed according to time, from 1 am to 9 am, a speed is open to the user, and then be determined after that , and in the evening the service is highly reduced because everyone will share the capacity that is already low.
In the same context, companies deprive the citizen even of the reductions approved by the Iraqi Ministry of Communications in the prices of the Internet.
As all reductions on the Internet capacity are not useful to the citizen , but the owners of companies are taking advantage from it , that the reduction conducted by the ministry in the mid-last year , which reduced of the value of the local transport by 50%, went to the benefit of the companies, and the prices for the citizen didn’t see any decline, but the companies since that time raised the most-used subscription price from $ 12 to $ 13.5 for agents, to be sold to citizens for 35,000 Iraqi dinars.

The other reduction announced by the Ministry of Communications was 25% did not benefit the citizen, but benefited only companies.

Internet prices in Iraq are the most expensive for Internet prices between the Arab countries and neighboring countries, as the monthly subscription fee is 300 thousand Iraqi dinars (equivalent to 250 US dollars) per megabyte, while the value of the service provided by mobile communication companies is 6,000 Iraqi dinars( Equivalent to $ 5) per megabyte.

The specialists in telecom companies said that the exploitation of the companies exploiting the Iraqi citizen is circumventing the citizen’s inability to identify the speed of the Internet, as these companies give priority and high speeds to sites measuring the speed of the Internet, and thus show a high result in the tests sometimes up to more than 15 megabytes, while real speed is a very small fraction of the result of this test.

The specialists suggest that the Ministry of Communications of Iraq to develop new controls to reduce fraud and exploitation of citizens and improve the quality of service of those companies and determine the prices of cards that sell to users (Per User), to be appropriate to the cost , in addition to a specific profit margin, and it is enough for the greedy, and otherwise their contracts will be abolished .
The smuggling of the Internet, which is discovered by the governmental control agencies from time to time, proved that the only victim is the citizen and not companies, and smuggling is through the northern ports, but it expanded to include the southern ports, as companies will not be forced to pay the state amounts of money because of the introduction of capacity to Iraq, but it is deliberately to be introduced via optical cable to Kurdistan or Basra or Diyala, and then smuggled through wireless communications to other areas, the company, which was spending one hundred thousand dollars on smuggled resources, now do not pay anything, and the price is also not reduced but it has saved what was spent in the past on the smuggled capacities .
The Iraqi government should pay attention to this dangerous file because it poses a real problem for the Iraqi citizen in the first place, and the great waste of its financial revenues from the national wealth that can be invested in economic development rationally, especially that the country is in dire need of economic renaissance.

Economic Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

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Hello LB, 

Hope all is well. IMO. Very interesting times ahead. I will double down on my statement about a no confidence vote for Madhi coming. Abadi will be the next PM. Here is the most interesting part. If the Kurds don’t play ball with the parliament and get the HCl passed in the next 3 months, Abadi is going to shove his boot up the Kurds you know what. The point is that the Kurds need to make a deal and make it soon.

Every CBI corruption article that comes out means an end to the auctions is that much closer.

Keep stacking !!

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18 hours ago, Woldopep said:

Hello LB, 

Hope all is well. IMO. Very interesting times ahead. I will double down on my statement about a no confidence vote for Madhi coming. Abadi will be the next PM. Here is the most interesting part. If the Kurds don’t play ball with the parliament and get the HCl passed in the next 3 months, Abadi is going to shove his boot up the Kurds you know what. The point is that the Kurds need to make a deal and make it soon.

Every CBI corruption article that comes out means an end to the auctions is that much closer.

Keep stacking !!

Thanks for your input Woldopep,

I agree with you on “Very interesting times ahead” but I have to disagree with you on 

“a no confidence vote for Madhi”.

The five Iraqi governments prior the government of Adel Abdul Mahdi, did not achieve what the government of Abdul Mahdi has achieved.

http://rawabetcenter.com/en/?p=7309

Really informative and interesting article I want to share with you.

The CBI daily auctions are coming to an end soon.

Keep stacking my friend.

 

Go RV sooner than later 

Go $1:1

 

 

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  • 3 weeks later...

Between occupation and corruption The Iraqi economy loses its identity, the latest statistic of Human Rights Watch.

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Researcher Shatha Khalil *
Since 2003, the Iraqi economy is going through its worst state of confusion and loss of planning and technology and waste of wealth one after the other, and the last impact of the state and its strength and political and military and economic weight in the Arab region and the world was dissipated with it, as one of the most important practical measurement of the post-occupation era.
According to experts and specialists , the economic aspect is the most important practical measurement for that period (2003 – 2019), which has become a dilemma for the state for more than a decade and a half, where the views are conflicting on the its form, classification and type, the occupation was not just a change on the political map , according to specialists, but it turned the economy of Iraq upside down, and changed its content, becoming an anonymous identity, having been the status of a conservative semi-socialist economy.
According to the Transparency International Index, Iraq is one of the most corrupt countries in the world over the past years. There are always international reports of embezzlement and waste of public funds, and Iraq ranked (169) out of (180) countries in the index perceptions of corruption.

Corruption has been a major reason that successive governments have failed to achieve positive results in the provision of basic public services such as electricity, drinking water, health, etc., which is infuriating the population.
According to the latest report of the Iraqi Ministry of Planning, international, foreign and local organizations have contributed to the provision of jobs for more than 30,000 Iraqi unemployed since the beginning of this year.
Most of these actions are concentrated in the cities liberated from the control of the terrorist organization ISIS in the north, west and center of the country. It shows that these actions were temporary and lasted for two or three months as a maximum, but the unemployed got good amounts that contributed to solving their problems temporarily. This means that the problem remains.

Iraqis reap the sow of occupation:
In the latest statistics of Human Rights Watch for the past 14 years, it has shown the following:
-The unemployment rate in Iraq has reached more than (31%) distributed among the provinces of Iraq, and Anbar came at the top of the Iraqi provinces, followed by Muthanna, Diyala, Babylon, Baghdad, Karbala and Nineveh.
– Some (3.400) million displaced people distributed to (64) countries.
-Some (4.100) million displaced inside Iraq.
– Around 1.700 million people live in different camps.
– About (5.600) million orphans aged (month-17 years).
– 2 million widows aged (15-52) years.
– About (6) million Iraqis are not able to read and write “Basra, Baghdad, Najaf, Wasit and Anbar in the forefront.”
– The unemployment rate exceeded (31%) “Anbar, Muthanna, Diyala and Babylon in the lead, followed by Baghdad, Karbala and Nineveh.”
-35% of Iraqis below the poverty line are less than $ 5.
– Almost (6%) the rate of taking hashish and narcotics abuse “Baghdad is in the lead followed by Basra, Najaf, Diyala, Babylon and Wasit”.
-The employment rate of children under 15 years of age exceeds (9%).
-The spread of (39) diseases and epidemic, most notably cholera, polio, viral liver and high incidence of cancer and birth defects.
-Stopped (13328) factories, and production institutions.
-The area of cultivated lands decreased from (48) million dunums to (12) million dunums.
-Import (75%) of foodstuffs and (91%) of other items.
-Basic education at its worst ”(14658) schools (9000) of which damaged and (8000) mud and the need for (11000) new schools.”
-Oil sales for the period (2003-2016) about (1000) billion dollars did not contribute to solve any of the problems of Iraqis.

Poverty strikes the body of the Iraqi citizen:
Despite the large increase in Iraq’s oil exports, and its high financial revenues, it did not contribute to solving the worsening crises of the Iraqi citizen, nor to improve its economic situation or economic development and to rotate the economy in the right direction.
According to the Ministry of Planning, the official index to measure the rate of poverty adopted locally, and in the World Bank, is much more than (22.5%), because the index does not adopt a careful survey according to the Iraqi Ministry of Planning, ie, about a quarter of Iraqis are poor.
The World Bank has warned of the fragility of the economic situation in Iraq for 2018, after the poverty line has exceeded (22%), pointing out that it has statistics confirming the existence of further deterioration, in light of a remarkable rise in the unemployment rate to double in the provinces affected by the violence of the organization ISIS ”north and west of the country.

The Iraqi Ministry of Labor, said that more than one million families living below the poverty line, required to draw plans and policies to address this problem, and this comes despite a significant increase in oil revenues, where Iraq achieved more than (7) billion dollars in oil sales for the month of June ,according to the Ministry of Oil.

Here we should not forget that Iraq is one of the largest Arab countries producing oil, and Iraq is able to raise production in the coming years to (7.5) million barrels per day, and the volume of proven oil reserves about (112) billion barrels, and occupies the largest reserves in the world after Saudi Arabia .

In December 2018, the Iraqi Ministry of Planning conducted a survey to measure levels of expenditure to address poverty, which showed that food spending was 32%, followed by fuel and housing (24%).
The economics professor at the University of Baghdad, Ali al-Rawi pointed out , that most of the poor families are located in areas liberated from the control of the “ Daesh ” in northern and western Iraq, and that these families returned to find their homes and areas destroyed by the war, and the increase oil revenues or the large size of the budget did not benefit them
When this painful statistic is carefully scrutinized, no mind can grasp it, because the numbers are terrifying, in terms of the devastated man on the one hand, and in terms of looted funds and the amount of devastation and destruction that plague Iraq on the other.

High debt to Iraq to about 125 billion dollars
According to the International Monetary Fund, foreign debt amounted to $ 85.3 billion, and includes the receivables of foreign companies operating in the energy sector and the purchase of electricity and gas from Iran, while the internal debt is $ 40 billion, mostly to the Central Bank and three government banks: Rafidain, Rashid and Iraqi for Trade, and the National Retirement Authority .
The Iraqi economy is suffering today from major challenges in the high volume of the debt, as the allocation of $ 15 billion to pay the dues and benefits of debt during 2019, as a result of increased borrowing during the past ten years.
Specialists attribute it to the widespread financial and administrative corruption in the country, and the money goes into the pockets of parties to finance their activities instead of sustainable development.
Although Iraq ‘s vast and diverse wealth ensures an advanced level among the nations of the world, but the corruption and mismanagement of governments during and after the occupation have brought the country to the brink of bankruptcy and sinking into economic crises and debt.

Economic Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

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On 8/9/2019 at 6:51 AM, jg1 said:

Ohhh boy, come on Iraq.

In Iraq, the corruption and mismanagement of governments during and after the occupation have brought the country to the brink of bankruptcy and sinking into economic crises and debt.

Totally agree my friend jg1,

 

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The threat of ISIS is still present in Iraq.

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Scenarios are repeating themselves from time to time, as the infiltrations of the terrorist organization of ISIS are increasing, not only in disputed areas between Arabs and Kurds but also in other provinces, which may be messages of proving presence and restoring ranks. Since the declaration of the defeat of ISIS organization by Iraqi government in 2017, It hasn’t any operations that can be described as qualitative, until elements of the Islamic State group attacked on Sunday oil fields in the province of Salah al-Din in northern Iraq, in the first attack of its kind to defeat the group at the end of 2017.

Capt. Saad Mohammed of the Salah al-Din Operations Command ( belong to army ) said that elements from the terrorist “ISIS t attacked with light and medium weapons today the Ajil and Allas fields in Salah al-Din province, but the oil police confronted them and prevented their access to oil sites. ”.

He added that “the attack is the first of its kind since the expulsion of members of the organization from the province at the end of 2017.” He explained that “elements of the organization tried to target the security forces in charge of protecting oil fields in preparation for the storming of the oil area.” Mohammed added that “the region has seen the arrival of military reinforcements in anticipation of any emergency,” pointing out that the attack did not result in casualties from the security forces. Despite the official announcement in 2017 of the defeat of ISIS in Iraq, military commanders assert that the group has sleeper cells operating individually in the liberated areas.
The followers of the Iraqi issue see that the reasons for the return of terrorist operations of ISIS that the terrorist organization has taken advantage of recent reports, in which the US intelligence and the Pentagon warned of the return of the strength of the organization again, to come out with this operation in order to document those reports on the ground and return to the scene again.
They added, that these reports were an early warning from Washington to some Iraqi leaders who want to get the US military out of Iraqi territory, which the organization has been able to use them to its advantage; we do not rule out its repetition and perhaps within the cities, and they see political differences as a major reason for the return of the organization’s operations. The gap inside the Iraqi parliament between the political blocs themselves will be reflected on security in the ground, the differences will include civilian and military officials across the provinces because of their affiliations to those parliamentary blocs and the loss of coordination in the management of cities.
The lack of reconstruction, especially in areas recently recovered from ISIS, is accompanied by increased unemployment among young people, which poses the greatest risk and financier for the organization’s growth and the return of many unemployed to join its ranks, stressing that the government’s disregard for the liberated areas and ignoring to provide employment opportunities through investment companies to launch reconstruction projects will exacerbate the crisis and support the organization with the most important element which is human element due to the confusion and mismanagement resulting from political differences.

Perhaps the economy is the active axis in the equation of the security situation , noting that the sectors of terrorist Daesh have decentralization after 2017, and the operation of the fields of Ajil and Allas isn’t to disperse the will of victory, but is part of its operations in the sector of Salah al-Din to enable the cells of the sector of self-financing .So with this attack , it would threaten fuel carriers companies that would necessarily respond to the payment of royalties imposed by ISIS to finance its elements. ”The equation refers to ISIS’s growth as the gap between Iraqi politicians grows and the liberated cities and surrounding areas remain a battleground for the influence of the most powerful organs at the expense of the innocent people who pay tax.
A Pentagon inspector general said in a report that ISIS is “re-emerging” in Syria as the United States withdraws its forces from the country and has “strengthened its capabilities” in Iraq, according to Agence France-Presse(AFP) . “Despite losing its caliphate on the ground, ISIS in Iraq and Syria has strengthened its armed capabilities in Iraq and resumed its activities in Syria during the current quarter,” the report said .The report added that ISIL was able to “reunite and support operations” in both countries, partly because local forces were “unable to continue to launch long-term operations, carry out several operations simultaneously, or preserve the territory” they had recovered.
ISIS is trying to regain its armed capabilities in Iraq, thus posing a threat to the security and stability of Iraq. Analysts and military experts assert that the elimination of the terrorist organization does not mean that the danger of the organization has disappeared with its ability to move sleeper cells in the areas from which it was expelled in Iraq. The sleeping cells of ISIS are posing a threat to Iraq.
The Committee on Security and Defense in the Iraqi parliament, warned of the danger of the movement of cells “ISIS” in the northern city of Mosul on the security file, and pointed out that the organization succeeded in 2014 in the establishment of a base from Mosul towards the rest of the provinces, and that ISIS cells are active in the right side (western) of Mosul city . It pointed out that the danger is that the western side of the city of Mosul is linked to the areas of Al-Baaj and Al-Jazeera “south and west of Mosul”, which are open areas that extend to the rest of the provinces.
It explained that there are desert areas between the sector of the responsibility of the Nineveh operations command and the sector of the responsibility of the command of the operations of Al-Jazeera and al-Badya in the desert of Anbar province, and they need additional forces to tighten control on it and prevent the activity of the organization. To eliminate the activity of “ISIS”, the Committee considered that the need for large-scale military operations in which the military Aviation to participate in addition to tighten control on the border to prevent infiltrating operations of the elements of ISIS. It pointed out that there is an infiltration of ISIS so far from Syria into Iraq, because the border area is more than 600 kilometers long and has not been fully “security”. According to the committee, the map of activity of ISIS cells is currently concentrated in the western side of the city of Mosul, and areas south of Kirkuk, especially in villages that the displaced people did not return to it so far, in addition to the desert in Anbar province.
“The challenge then will be to try to deal with a group like ISIS as if it were just a military problem,” said Renad Mansour, a researcher at Chatham House. He added “so a military solution only addresses the symptoms, ISIS, but it cannot address the root cause of these groups.” “The challenge we face now is that no one is dealing with these roots,” he concludes.

Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

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Hello, LB.   Hope all is well. IMO. It going to get a little more interesting than I imagined. I believe we will be fortunate if it happens in Dec/Jan.  Without concessions from the Kurds, there won’t be a deal. Info coming from the Kurds starting with the 17% ain’t going to pass by the parliament.   Madhi is getting the boot and God willing Abadi will somehow bring the re instatement in by the end of the year. Anyway that is how I see things unfolding. Still stacking till the end of this year.

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This is the opinion section and opinions are like ***, everyone has one. My last post was brief. Let me qualify why I believe it will wait till Dec/Jan. I hope for sooner but this is Iraq and the only thing that happens quickly is corruption.

If the HCL and implementation of article 140 are needed for the RI, I believe that it is not so easy. The Kurds are pumping 600,000 barrels a day, they were supposed to give Baghdad 250,000 out of that, they decided to give nothing.

Massoud Barzani has an estimated net worth of 48 Billion dollars. The Barzani and Talabani families have been stealing the wealth of Iraq for awhile. Do you think that the rest of the Iraqis are pissed off, I believe so. The Kurds coming to Baghdad to negotiate will not go smoothly. 

The PM position in Iraq is arguably the toughest political job in the world given religious sects, corruption, outside nations imposing their interests. 

The current PM madhi’s alliance seems closer to Iran then the USA. With Abadi dropping out of the Dawa party satisfies Sadr’s demands. Couple that with Hakim’s opposition party and of course the victory party. It looks to me like with the backing of the USA, Mahdi will get a no confidence vote and Abadi will be the next PM. Personally, I believe Abadi more well adapted to the position. We all remember how much Abadi loves all the corruption with the Kurds, it’s going to get very interesting. 

I believe the reinstatement is coming like a freight train and we will see the finish to this speculative investment soon, God willing.  Keep Stacking !

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On 8/18/2019 at 1:49 PM, Woldopep said:

Hello, LB.   Hope all is well. IMO. It going to get a little more interesting than I imagined. I believe we will be fortunate if it happens in Dec/Jan.  Without concessions from the Kurds, there won’t be a deal. Info coming from the Kurds starting with the 17% ain’t going to pass by the parliament.   Madhi is getting the boot and God willing Abadi will somehow bring the re instatement in by the end of the year. Anyway that is how I see things unfolding. Still stacking till the end of this year.

 

On 8/24/2019 at 10:00 AM, Woldopep said:

This is the opinion section and opinions are like ***, everyone has one. My last post was brief. Let me qualify why I believe it will wait till Dec/Jan. I hope for sooner but this is Iraq and the only thing that happens quickly is corruption.

If the HCL and implementation of article 140 are needed for the RI, I believe that it is not so easy. The Kurds are pumping 600,000 barrels a day, they were supposed to give Baghdad 250,000 out of that, they decided to give nothing.

Massoud Barzani has an estimated net worth of 48 Billion dollars. The Barzani and Talabani families have been stealing the wealth of Iraq for awhile. Do you think that the rest of the Iraqis are pissed off, I believe so. The Kurds coming to Baghdad to negotiate will not go smoothly. 

The PM position in Iraq is arguably the toughest political job in the world given religious sects, corruption, outside nations imposing their interests. 

The current PM madhi’s alliance seems closer to Iran then the USA. With Abadi dropping out of the Dawa party satisfies Sadr’s demands. Couple that with Hakim’s opposition party and of course the victory party. It looks to me like with the backing of the USA, Mahdi will get a no confidence vote and Abadi will be the next PM. Personally, I believe Abadi more well adapted to the position. We all remember how much Abadi loves all the corruption with the Kurds, it’s going to get very interesting. 

I believe the reinstatement is coming like a freight train and we will see the finish to this speculative investment soon, God willing.  Keep Stacking !

Thanks for your input my Woldopep,

I tend to agree with you, I see a window of opportunity between the last quarter 2019 and first quarter 2020. Leaning more towards first quarter of 2020 if we are lucky.

I believe Madhi will keep his position as Prime Ministers The Kurds like him. But

the Kurds don’t like Abadi because he declared the referendum illegal.

I have been thinking about the implications of the 2020 census data on the HCL and

Art 140. They haven’t had a Census in the last 30 years and I think they need the new data for HCL and Art 140 implementation.....  hope I’m wrong.

Iraq continues moving forward to an open market market economy but still some work to do. Just my opinion.

 

Go iraq

Go CBI

Go open market economy 

Go RV asap

 

 

 

 

 

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Sovereign funds to manage the wealth of countries… Who manages the wealth of Iraq?

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Researcher Shatha Khalil *
Sovereign wealth funds operate – created by state governments for macroeconomic purposes – to maintain and manage wealth and assets in an orderly and sound manner and use several investment strategies to achieve the financial goal.
The funds are sovereign wealth (or sovereign portfolios), and are entrusted with the management of those wealth, and contain fixed assets such as land, commercial real estate or stocks, bonds, direct ratios in these companies, and governments seek to preserve their wealth on the one hand, and increase returns on the other hand . In other words, it is the investment arm of countries with surpluses.
It is the best way for countries with a current surplus to save for any event, emergency or financial economic crisis in the future. It is noted that more than one fund should be set up so that there is a diversity and balance of investments and be cautious and managed by a selection of professional administrators to obtain the desired results and not vice versa.
One of the reasons for the emergence of sovereign funds is the need of countries that have large savings and want to maintain these savings, and even seek to increase their profits, but are not invested in high-risk assets, as they are owned by the state and invest in traditional assets, as the savings of some countries are owned of commodity wealth (especially oil and gas), as in China and Singapore, which have a large trade surplus.
The history of the establishment of sovereign funds varies, but we can say that they began since the fifties of the last century, and then spread in several countries, contrary to what some believe that these funds are an exclusive phenomenon in the Gulf States, there are several countries around the world have similar funds, including Norway.

The objectives of the SWFs are:
– Protect the country’s wealth and invest it properly, which can be used in the future when it is needed, for example in the economic crises that the country is suddenly exposed to.
– Protecting the national economy and the state budget from the risk of external crises that result from fluctuations resulting from revenues and exports.
– The principle of justice, which is achieved through the distribution of wealth between generations by maximizing the savings that goes to future generations.
– Diversify state income and thus reduce dependence on non-renewable audio exports.
– Increase revenues in foreign exchange reserves.
– The monetary authority helps to withdraw unwanted liquidity.
– Provide a tool for financing economic development programs.
– Achieve sustainable long-term growth in the Fund’s holders.
– Achieving political, economic and strategic objectives
– Addressing the negative effects of financial flows resulting from natural wealth, this is known as the Dutch disease, which causes undesirable effects in the productive sectors, especially industrial as a result of oil discoveries that created a state of laziness and inaction in the job that hit the Dutch people during the years 1900-1950 after the discovery of oil and gas in the north, they went to luxury and comfort, until they reached the stage of depletion of the natural resource of wells depleted by excessive and unproductive consumption.
Norway is the largest fund in the world: Founded in the 1960s, the Norwegian fund aims to immunize the Norwegian economy from fluctuations in the oil markets and aims to ensure a future source of wealth from current revenues derived from oil and gas sales in Norway. The fund invests in equities, foreign bonds and real estate. Thus , Norway has one of the largest funds in the world with assets estimated at more than $ 818 billion, according to the latest data. The Norwegian sovereign wealth fund announced several days ago that it achieved a return on investment of three percent in the second quarter of this year, to reap 256 million T Norwegian crowns ($ 28.5 billion).

During the second quarter, the yield of the Norwegian sovereign fund was about 3%, with shares rising 3%, bonds by about 3.1% and real estate by about 0.8% during the second quarter, where the holdings of the fund of shares amounted to about 69.3% and bonds about 28.0%, and real estate about 2.7%.
Sovereign wealth funds are not without losses due to the poor performance of global financial markets.It lost about 485 billion crowns, or an estimated $ 56.4 billion in 2018, and are the surest way to manage the country’s wealth.
Similarly, Singapore, China and Russia run large-weight funds, and Chile and Venezuela have established such funds.

At the end of the second quarter of the current year , the fund had a market capitalization of 9.162 trillion crowns ($ 1.025 trillion), with 69.3% invested in equities, 2.7% in unlisted properties and 28% in fixed income instruments.
The fund makes investments in more than 9,000 companies worldwide in 75 countries and holds an average of about 1.5% of the world’s listed shares.
Norway has a population of about five million, which means that the wealth of each citizen is estimated at two hundred thousand dollars.
In September 2017, when the Norwegian sovereign fund’s assets reached $ 1 trillion, a Norwegian central bank official said, “I don’t think anyone thought the fund would reach $ 1 trillion when the first batch of oil revenue was transferred in May. 1996 ”.
“The $ 1 trillion is a focal point, and the growth of the fund’s market value has been spectacular,” the official said.

The market value of the Norwegian fund outperforms the economies of a number of strong countries such as Indonesia, the Netherlands and Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Switzerland, Sweden and Belgium, and this value is close to the GDP of major countries such as Mexico, Australia, Spain and Russia.
Iraq and its need to establish an Iraqi sovereign fund:
The Iraqi economy today is in dire need of a sovereign fund for development in order to encourage the financing of economic and social projects and to strengthen industrial policies to increase the real production within the Iraqi economy. This type of funds will bring a set of positive effects to the Iraqi economy , the most important of which is the reduction of unemployment rates and the development of productive sectors , especially in the Industrial and agricultural fields , and improving services…

There are internal and external reasons including:
1. Internal reasons:
• Oil is a depleted and unreliable resource, whether long-term or near-term in terms of depletion.
. Oil is considered a financial asset after it is transferred from physical assets .
. Reducing dependence on oil makes Iraq prepare for the post-oil period as Saudi Arabia does in its strategic plan 2030, which is to rely on 30% of the proceeds of the funds for the budget without oil.
2. External reasons :
• Unstable oil prices globally: The instability of oil prices globally and fluctuating indiscriminately, due to a combination of political and economic factors, and it is natural for Iraq to rely on a fund derived from oil surpluses, if they are existed .
-Withdrawal of surpluses: This fund withdraws surplus of funds from oil exports to overcome the fluctuating world oil prices, and can also take advantage of negative oil shocks, and the process of any collapse that may occur in global oil prices.
. Foundations for the establishment of an Iraqi sovereign fund:
1) Legislative and legal system: This is the essential element for the establishment of a sovereign wealth fund for Iraq, through the legislation of it by the Iraqi parliament, and this element is the first element in terms of importance and without this legislation there is no project originally proposed.
2) Funding the fund is initially funded by the Iraqi Ministry of Finance and is responsible for this fund for a few years.
3) Management of the Fund: The Central Bank of Iraq manages directly the management of the Fund, and provides an experienced cadre of administrative and specialized in the field of investment (direct and portfolio) in particular, can benefit from the expertise in foreign financial institutions, because of the lack of experts in this area, as the Iraqi stock market is limited market , and the lack of private financial institution as insurance funds and investment funds.

The assurances of international financial organizations (such as the International Monetary Fund) point to the possibility of Iraq to establish such a fund, and we believe that the creation of such a fund reflects the recognition of the current generation, and its recognition of the right of future generations to the equal distribution of wealth gains derived from the oil resource, which belongs to all Iraqis, justice should be achieved in its distribution between the present and future generations.

Types of Sovereign Wealth Funds Based on the Fund’s Field of Work:
1) Local sovereign funds: These are funds whose investment and savings activities are concentrated within the country.
2) International sovereign funds: These are funds whose investment and savings activities are concentrated outside the country.
3) Mixed sovereign funds: These are funds whose investment and savings activities are concentrated outside the country and within the country simultaneously.

Types of sovereign wealth funds based on degree of independence:
1) Non-independent sovereign funds: These are funds managed directly by the government and do not enjoy the independence of the decision. Most of these funds are characterized by their lack of independent control, accountability and disclosure.
2) Relatively independent sovereign funds: These are funds managed directly by the government, where other entities such as central banks and independent bodies are involved in their management, the most important characteristic of which is that they enjoy relative independent in decision-making, and are subject to independent control, accountability and disclosure.
The difference between the sovereign fund and the central bank reserve:
The picture is illustrated in the comparison between the sovereign fund and the central bank reserves when considering how to finance and build each.
1) Central bank reserves (SAMA), these reserves accumulate and decline from year to year through differences between oil income and government spending.
2) Whereas the funds or reserves directed to the sovereign fund come from a government decision to save for the future and to create another source of income, ie, it is a national savings program for the future parallel and complementary to oil income.
3) It is applicable in this area when establishing sovereign funds in the world to issue a government decision:
First, transfer part of the reserves available to the Central Bank to establish and finance the sovereign fund.
Second: The adoption of a savings mechanism that includes the transfer of part of the state’s income periodically to the sovereign fund, for example, the sovereign fund in Kuwait is financed by transferring (25%) of oil income directly to the sovereign fund.
Third, a mechanism is also needed to control government spending, so that the state budget (government spending annually) is consistent with the country’s long-term potential.

Size of SWF Assets:
The size of assets of these funds are estimated to be equivalent to 12% of the total value traded on the New York Stock Exchange or 42% of the total value traded on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is expected that the amount of funds that these funds will hold in a decade will exceed $13.4 trillion, while Morgan Stanley estimates assets will reach of $ 17.5 trillion.
Most governments have recently become a strategy to invest in short-term securities and bonds, and the authority currently manages a huge amount of capital, and this authority is one of the largest sovereign funds.

Size of Sovereign Fund Assets:
The assets of the UAE’s GDP, which recently entered into a deal to buy a 4.9% stake in Citigroup for $ 7.5 billion, is the largest non-controlling interest in a Western bank.And thee are sovereign entities belong to Dubai Government which have invested in Asian assets and companies, such as India’s ICSI Bank and Japanese electronics maker Sony company.
– The State of Qatar, the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA), a sovereign wealth fund dedicated to domestic and foreign investment, was established by the Government of Qatar in 2005 to manage oil and natural gas surpluses. As a result of its strategy to reduce the risk of Qatar’s dependence on energy prices, it invests mostly in global markets (USA, Europe, Asian countries and Peace Ocean). In addition to investing in Qatar outside the energy sector, the Authority owns about 6% of EADS, 15.1% of the London Stock Exchange, and 17 of Volkswagen Group as a shareholder in the Lagardar Group with a percentage of (12.83%), as at 31 May 2011, Qatar Investment Authority bought (70%) of the Paris Saint-Germain football club, and on March 6, 2012, the authority completed the purchase of the remaining 30%, and here the authority became to own100% of the Club , and on June 4, 2012, the authority bought the 100% of the capital of the Paris Club Saint-Germain handball, also bought in Paris a range of hotels , they are the Hotel Lombard, Hotel Kinski, Hotel Landolfo Carcano, Hotel Evro, Hotel Majestic, Hotel Gray Dallion, Hotel Casselan, as well as on the Champs Elysees in Paris, the Authority has the premises of the headquarters of Virgin Megastore, HSBC, Lido, Royal Monceau, and Penance.

– Saudi Arabia, which has the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA), which is internationally classified as a sovereign fund, generates a return similar to that achieved by global sovereign funds. SAMA currently manages the Kingdom’s investments from oil revenues in overseas markets noting that it occupied the third place globally according to the size of sovereign funds after it was ranked the fourth and it ranked the second in Arab , and the Kingdom has four of these funds , they are:
1) The Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA) is the main sovereign fund under the umbrella of the State and its control.
2) Public Investment Fund.
3) Pension Fund.
4) Social Insurance Fund.
Also in the State of Kuwait, the sovereign funds of the Kuwait Investment Authority are $ 213 billion.

Oil revenues are the main source of funds for the largest sovereign investment funds in the world, and in conjunction with the rise in oil prices to pre-2014, and increased revenues of crude-producing countries, the wealth of these funds has increased, as the wealth of the Gulf has become wider and more concentrated, the total assets of sovereign funds of the Kingdom and the UAE Kuwait alone accounts for up to 50% of all SWFs worldwide, and foreign reserves are also a major source.

Therefore, we see a high demand for these funds by some countries keen to diversify their investments in order to avoid possible losses (less losses), and to preserve the wealth, and the best example is China, which has four sovereign funds are, China Investment Company, and investment portfolio of the Hong Kong Monetary Agency , the National Social Security Fund, Saif Investment company , and like the US with three investment funds and the UAE with two investment funds, this is an excellent hedging approach, because it reduces investment risk, gives greater opportunities to maximize the benefits on invested wealth, and is a. Strategic engine to influence globally across global financial clusters.

China attracts SWFs for investments :
China’s unique competitive dynamics attracts SWFs seeking further diversification, although stocks continue to enjoy their position as the most preferred asset class , and about 100% of SWFs in the Middle East which have exposure to China, bear Chinese shares indicating that the government measures to open up a market for foreign investors are paying off , and participants in the report from the Middle East mentioned that they have focused on building their expertise in China by investing in partnerships, developing their competencies internally, and establishing dedicated Asian offices. .
Monitoring the increase of Middle East investors to their allocations to Asia as a region, with provisions increasing by 75% in 2018 compared to 47% of all investors surveyed, and evidence suggests that this trend will continue in 2019.
Investment risk is the biggest challenge facing investment in China for sovereign funds in the Middle East. Transparency continues to be a major obstacle to global sovereign funds in increasing their allocations in China, while investment constraints and currency risks are the main constraints for sovereign funds that do not have allocation now for China. .

Europe does not attract sovereign investment:
Europe has been decline on the list of preferred regions, with nearly half of Middle Eastern sovereign investors cutting their allocations to Europe in 2018, due to slower economic growth and growing political risk forecasts led to a decline in the attractiveness of the major European economies. And the exit of Britain from European Union (Brexit) now affects the decisions of Asset allocations to 64% of all sovereign funds, while the proportion of Middle Eastern investors increased to 78%.
Investors are looking at continental Europe with increasing uncertainty, with the rise of right-wing populist parties and movements in major European economies such as Germany and Italy.
A similar number also plans to cut allocations in 2019, and only 13% of global sovereign investors plan to increase allocations to Europe this year, compared to 40% who will increase their allocations in Asia and 36% in emerging markets.
Sovereign funds at the top of technology sector:
Sovereign funds in the Middle East view technology as a large investment opportunity with a broad base, with 89% of these funds as a group or a technology working team, compared with 48% of global funds.
It worth to be mentioned that the dominance of technology companies in terms of their contribution to equity returns and economic development over the past few years , we will see 75% of respondents from the Middle East attribute enhanced returns on investment as the most important reason to focus on the sector.
As long as Sovereign funds in the Middle East have long been pioneers in using technology investments for their local communities, technology and innovation play an important role in these communities as part of many regional initiatives to build a more sustainable economy.

This is a table according to (Economic Funds Newspaper) for countries that have sovereign funds in the world:

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1) Norwegian Government Pension Fund US $ 1074 billion, Norway’s largest pension fund, the largest sovereign fund in the world today, is estimated at more than $ 1 trillion, which alone accounts for 13.2% of the total assets of sovereign funds in the world. 192 thousand dollars per citizen in Norway, which has a population of 5.2 million people.
2) China Investment Fund for investment, US $ 941.4 billion, and Chinese investment has grown rapidly to become the second largest sovereign fund in the world after Norway’s State Pension Fund, a state-owned fund consisting of assets such as land, stocks, bonds and other investment vehicles. .
3) The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) Fund is a US $ 697 billion sovereign investment fund affiliated to the Government of Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. ADIA has not disclosed the total value of its assets. As a result, there is controversy over financial resources at its disposal, but estimates acceptable ranges between $ 650 – $ 875 billion , they are assets.
4) The Kuwaiti sovereign fund, $ 592 billion, is the first sovereign fund in the world, was established by the State of Kuwait under the name of the General Authority for Investment, and the roots of the Authority dates back to the Kuwait Investment Board in the fifties of the last century, and in 1982, the General Authority for Investment was established by law No. 47 as an independent government body responsible for the management of state financial assets.
5) The Hong Kong Foreign Exchange Fund, a Chinese sovereign wealth fund with 522.6 billion US dollars, whose full name is the Hong Kong Monetary Agency Investment Portfolio, administered by the Monetary Authority of the State, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, is used to support the Hong Kong dollar. Kong.
6) GIC Singapore Fund, US $ 390 billion, established by the Government of Singapore in 1981, to manage Singapore’s foreign reserves, whose mission is to maintain and enhance the international purchasing power of reserves, with the aim of achieving good long-term returns, higher than global inflation over the course of the year. The 20-year investment period, through a network of offices in major financial capitals around the world.
7) China’s National Social Security Fund, designed to help the country’s aging population, owns 295 billion US dollars, as a strategic reserve to support future social security expenditures.
8. SAIF Investment Fund, which owns US $ 441 billion, is a Hong Kong branch of China Foreign Exchange Management, the main purpose of which is to manage China’s huge foreign exchange reserves.
9) Temasek Holdings Fund, US $ 375 billion, is a sovereign fund established by Singapore’s Temasek Holdings and owned by the Government of Singapore.
10) The Saudi Public Investment Fund, SR 50,000 billion, seeks to become one of the largest sovereign funds in the world by building a diversified and leading investment portfolio by investing in attractive local and international investment opportunities.
11) The Qatar Investment Authority (QIA), a $ 320 billion sovereign wealth fund affiliated to Qatar and chaired by Tamim bin Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani, was established by the Government of Qatar in 2005 to manage oil and natural gas surpluses. Its task to support and development Qatari economy and the economic diversification, and local skills development.
12) The Dubai Investment Corporation Fund, US $ 233.8 billion, seeks to become one of the largest sovereign funds in the world by building a diversified and leading investment portfolio by investing in attractive investment opportunities both domestically and internationally.
13) Mubadala Investment Fund, US $ 226 billion, is implementing development and investment projects around the world, with the aim of moving the UAE economy into a new phase and achieving sustainable benefits for shareholders, partners and the future generation.
14) Korea Investment Corporation Fund, US $ 134.1 billion, is the supreme sovereign wealth fund, which is the cornerstone of South Korea’s economic future, by increasing national wealth and contributing to the development of the Korean financial industry. And it seeks to achieve stable revenues according to the risk, by investing in securities traded on the stock exchange, mostly stocks and bonds.
15) The Australian Future Fund, US $ 103 billion, was established as part of the Future Fund Act.
16) The National Development Fund of Iran, $ 91 billion, is the sovereign wealth fund of Iran and has a separate budget from the government budget, based on Article 84 of the Fifth Five-Year Social and Economic Development Plan (2010-2015).
17) Alberta Investment Management Company of Libya, $ 66 billion, the Libyan Investment Corporation, a government holding company, the sovereign wealth fund of Libya, was established by virtue of Decree No. 208 of the General People’s Committee “former”, and is located at the top of the pyramid of the Board of Trustees formed From the Prime Minister of the Libyan State, the Governor of the Central Bank of Libya and the Ministers of the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Planning and Economy, as well as two independent members with experience in the field of international investment, the Fund aims to create and create diverse sources of wealth for the benefit of future generations of Libya Investment across the international level has a sustainable vision of achieving long-term stable financial returns within defined risk criteria, and ultimately the accountability of the LIA is vested in the Libyan people. The mandate of the LIA is to protect, preserve and develop assets and investments, and aims to diversify national investment Dependence on oil and gas production and the tendency to invest abroad based on economic feasibility studies in various fields. Locally and carried out through the meaning of internal investment fund Grow, and in the midst of its management of assets, the Libyan Investment Corporation is keen to promote financial and economic stability and the creation of long-term investment horizons.
18) Kazakh Wealth Fund, SAMA Foreign Assets Fund, US $ 515.6 billion.
19) The Russian National Wealth Fund, the Russian National Welfare Fund (US $ 68.5 billion), was established as a support for the Russian economy during times of crisis and low oil prices, a traditional commodity in Russian exports, and the Welfare Fund is the sovereign wealth fund of Russia, created after the division of the Stabilization Fund In the Russian Federation to two separate investment funds on January 30, 2008, the two funds are the Reserve Fund, which invests abroad in low-yield securities, is used when the oil and gas incomes decline, the Welfare Fund.
20) The Alaska Permanent support Fund, $ 65.7 billion, is a codified legislative allocation, established under Governor Jay Hammond, to manage the surplus oil revenues that came after the construction of the Trans-Alaska Trans-Alaska Pipeline Network.
Most experts see the emergence of these funds and their global impact as a positive indicator in the world of financial markets.

Economic Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

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No war between America and Iran…. the history of the nuclear agreement between Tehran and America and the Alliance of common interests.

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Researcher Shatha Khalil *

The year 1957 was the beginning of the Iranian nuclear program, when the Shah of Iran signed a nuclear program agreement with America, to announce the proposed agreement for cooperation in the field of research and peaceful uses of atomic energy under the auspices of the Eisenhower program “Atom for Peace”, and in 1967, the Tehran Center for Nuclear Research was founded .
But Iran’s signing of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons in 1968, made it subject to inspection and investigation by the International Energy Agency … and that was the beginning of the crisis.
After the overthrow of the Shah and the establishment of an Islamic Republic in Iran in 1979, relations between Iran and Western countries were markedly broken .Nuclear program entered a dormant phase, after Western companies withdrew from nuclear projects and supplies of highly enriched uranium, halting Iran’s nuclear program for a while.
Then, in 1981, the Iranian president allowed research into nuclear energy. In 1983, the IAEA cooperated with Tehran on the chemical level and the design of experimental plants for the uranium conversion, especially at the Isfahan nuclear technology site. However, the western position was generally opposed to such cooperation. With the outbreak of war between Iran and Iraq, the Bushehr nuclear power plant was damaged and stopped functioning.
Russia helped Iran in the 1990s by providing nuclear power experts. In 1992, allegations of undeclared Iranian nuclear activities spread to the international media, prompting Iran to invite IAEA inspectors to visit nuclear facilities. The result of the inspection was that these activities are peaceful, and in 1995 Iran signed a contract with Russia to fully operate the Bushehr plant, while China withdrew from the project to build a uranium conversion plant.
In 2002, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) requested to visit two nuclear sites that were said to be undeclared, but Iran did not allow this until six months after the news broke.
In 2003, Mohamed ElBaradei, the former director of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), visited Iran for clarification regarding the resumption of uranium enrichment activities, and the IAEA issued a negative report on Iran’s cooperation.
Push and pull between US and Iranian interests:
In 2004, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) passed a resolution demanding that Iran answer all outstanding questions, facilitate immediate access to all sites the IAEA wants to visit, and freeze all uranium enrichment-related activities to a level that would allow for the production of nuclear fuel and fissile material, but former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad after his election, he worked to activate the nuclear program and did not care for the Western threats. He also established the Arak heavy water reactor.
In 2014, it was agreed to halt the US freeze of billions of dollars in Iranian funds, in return for Iran halting the conversion of 20% enriched uranium into fuel.
In the same year, the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization made adjustments to the Arak facility to ensure production of less plutonium.
Historical agreement:
In 2015, after a series of meetings in Vienna, a final agreement, called a “framework agreement”, on Iran’s nuclear program was reached between the US parties headed by Barack Obama, the UK, Russia, China, France, Germany and Iran.
But developments in the nuclear deal took place on May 8, 2018, when U.S. President Donald Trump announced the decision to withdraw from the nuclear deal with Iran, vowing that his country would impose “the highest level of economic sanctions on the Iranian regime.”
With the introduction of US sanctions with several entrances, exceptions, and the abolition of those exceptions, all these events are only in the interest of the two countries , no matter what the media says about these relations ,the US-Iran relations or, in other words , the mutual interests between them , and thirdly , Israel are stronger than any ideological dispute that can be resolved .
The treacherous alliance:
In the book “Treacherous Alliance of Iranian-American Writer Trita Parsi, Professor of International Relations at Johns Hopkins University, in which he revealed the secrets of the dealings between Israel, Iran and the United States, over the past fifty years, and its impact on American policies, and on America’s position in the Middle East. The first book in more than twenty years, dealing with a very sensitive topic about Iranian-Israeli dealings, and bilateral relations between them.
Concerning Iraq in a summery, the book is based on more than 130 interviews with senior Israeli, Iranian, and American officials and decision-makers in their countries, as well as considerable and relevant documentation, analysis and information.
Iranian-American cooperation in the exploitation of Iraq!
Iranian clerics still had few valuable cards they hoped to play to reverse Washington’s controversy for the interest of US State Department.
One of these papers was Iranian intelligence data, and the acquaintance of Iranians on the situation in Iraq, thanks to the eight years of the 1980s, the Iranians absorbed the American dispute and the complex Iraqi tribal social networks and knew how to deal with them.
Tehran believed that Washington would need this knowledge, which would give the Iranians some leverage over the neoconservatives. Without a channel of communication, misunderstandings could occur, which would benefit Iran’s regional rivals, including Israel and some Arab states, as Iraqi opposition groups pressed which have close ties with Tehran.
In return, for the Iranians to help the Americans , in the end the Iranians needed a channel to understand the USdecisions on Iraq and the influence on , and the Americans needed Iran not to complicate US plans., thus ,the Geneva Channel reopened in late spring 2002, after the US State Department contacted with the Iranians.
Iran’s chances of winning the US administration to achieve its interests in Iraq:
The book also reveals very confidential documents and information that Iranian officials found that the only chance to win the US administration is to provide more and more important assistance in the invasion of Iraq in 2003, by responding to what it needs, in return for what Iran will ask it , in the hope that An integrated deal would restore normal relations between the two countries and end the fears of both sides.
While the Americans invaded Iraq in April 2003, Iran was working on a bold and integrated “proposal” that included all the important topics to serve as a basis for a “grand bargain” with the Americans when it was negotiated in resolving the US-Iran conflict, or, in other words , to resolve a conflict of interest. between Iran and America.
The Iranian proposal or secret document was sent to Washington. The secret Iranian proposal offered an interesting set of political concessions that Iran would make if the “grand bargain” were approved. It included a number of topics, the most important of which are:
• Iran’s nuclear program.
Iran’s policy toward Israel.
• Fight al-Qaeda.
Establishment of three joint US-Iranian working groups in parallel to negotiate a “road map” on three topics :
• Weapons of mass destruction.
• Terrorism and regional security.
• Economic cooperation.
Based on the above, Iran and the United States share many common interests in the region, both in a state of hostile to Iraq, while at the same time their economic interests require control of Iraq’s wealth, and both support the flow of oil without hindrance, and both oppose – to varying degrees – growing of the strength of the Taliban in Afghanistan and the Afghan drug trade, despite the overlap of interest between three parties, “America, Iran and Israel,” and the latter remain cautious that the common interests between Iran and the United States are overwhelming and remain far away and this is not acceptable to it .
Lie closing the Strait of Hormuz:
In military terms, Iran could close the Strait, or disrupt navigation, according to maritime experts.
According to the American professor and expert in the waterways, the Iranian army does not need supernatural military capabilities to close the corridor, it can strike merchant ships with missiles or the use of naval boats, submarines or even sea mines, and thus can disrupt navigation, and cause severe damage to the movement of trade or even stop it completely for a while.
Professor Witz points out that during the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq war, insurance rates for ships and commercial cargo passing through the Strait of Hormuz rose by 400 percent.
Under international law, the Strait of Hormuz is part of the high seas, and all ships have the right and freedom to pass through it, as long as it does not harm the safety of the coastal States or affect their regime or security. Iran has tried several times at the Law of the Sea Conference, which falls under the umbrella of the United Nations, to have the right to supervise the strait, but its request has been rejected several times, and therefore Tehran has no right to close the corridor if tensions between it and Washington turn into war.
Politically and economically, most of the energy exported from the Gulf region, whether oil or gas, is destined for Asian countries, led by China, which is allied with the Iranian government, and is not imported by the United States, which is almost oil-rich.
The closure is a lie, and a mere Iranian fanfare, because by closing it, it will strangle the Iranian economy, which is already suffering from successive crises, despite its exploitation and dependence on the Iraqi economy.
Deal between America and Iran:
The United States, a strategic ally, presented Iraq on a plate of gold to Iran. The deal has no limitation . Iran is the biggest partner after Israel with America. The best evidence of this is what happened in the 1980s, when a big scandal was known then as the scandal of “Iran Gate” , where it was revealed to the world that a torrent of weapons and spare parts were shipped from America through Israel to Tehran during the Iran-Iraq war, as well as what is happening now with the Gulf States blackmail, they are forced annually to buy weapons from America and its allies with tens of billions, under the pretext the balance of power in the region and to confront Iran.
Therefore, the US escalation with Iran is a blackmail to the Gulf states because the US administration is thinking on a commercial and non-political basis through threats and warnings of the Iranian danger, and the US is the only one to counter this danger, therefore, the gains that these countries gain from the return of oil prices to rise will push them to America in one way or another, making the Americans the beneficiaries of both rising and falling prices.
In sum, the United States will not fight a war with Iran and unable to launch it, because such a war poses a threat to the global oil market, which poses US national security, and this is not profitable for both Iran and the United States, but escalation, tension and the verbal and political crisis, this can lead to many gains for the Americans and Iranians, the only loser from this game is Iraq and Iraqis first, and Arabs second.

Translated by : mudhaffar al-kusairi

Economic Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

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Iraqi border outlets, loose economic wealth in the hands of the corrupt.

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Researcher Shatha Khalil *
One of the most prominent files of corruption suffered by Iraq after 2003 is the corruption of border outlets as a result of the control of militias and influential parties, which are linked to financial and administrative corruption and the weakness of the state.
Iraq has border outlets along its borders with the six countries surrounding it, and the number of these portd (22) land and sea ports, in addition to the air ports represented by airports, including licensed, and unlicensed, making it a gate of corruption and forgery of goods entering and smuggled to the country lacking to scrutinize with the original origin, levy the country’s revenue into the pockets of corrupt.
Since the process of productive industry and development in Iraq is almost stopped after 2003, the country becomes an importer of the worst consumer goods with excellence, as the goods entering Iraq are estimated at millions of dollars, while wasting money in absurd projects that provide nothing to the Iraqi economy, only more corruption and deterioration in services, thus Iraq is losing billions of dinars a month.

Goods across the border ports do not match the certificate of origin:
It is not possible to determine the size of consumer goods of different types whose specifications do not match the certificate of the country of origin. Most goods enter with a certificate of forged origin and do not meet the specifications, It also includes the passage of illegal goods, or change the type to exempt or reduce fees and manipulate the bad quantities and qualities entering the country, and there are goods under the name of a US or European industry, but in fact Chinese goods… Why this fraud and cheat the citizen?
The head of the Iraqi border outlets, Kazem al-Oqabi, said earlier that “Iraq is losing billions per month because of the corruption of ports, especially the port of Umm Qasr,” noting that “since the port authority took office in the middle of last year, port revenues have doubled compared to the years before the formation of Commission”.
An Iraqi official, who declined to be named, revealed a joint report from the Commission on Integrity and the Office of Financial Supervision to the Baghdad government, confirming the country suffered heavy losses due to corruption in the border ports, with the four neighboring countries: Iran, Turkey, Kuwait and Jordan, at a time when the border is still closed to trade with both Syria and Saudi Arabia, which is expected to witness the opening of its first land crossings with Iraq during the coming period for trade and export purposes.
The security committee in the Iraqi parliament called for the removal of militias from those outlets, member of the Committee Mohammed Reza said `, that “there is a large corruption and control of the militia on the border outlets, and in all outlets of Iraq from Basra to Kurdistan, adding that” there are ports from which goods enter without a visa, stressing that `he has information about a port in Diyala where cars enter illegally from a neighboring country without a stamp, without a visa or even without examination, as confirmed by one of the officers present in the port, and the same is true in other ports.
Observers said that the parties and militias intervene in the affairs of border outlets, but each party and armed faction has a role and functions different from the rest, parties involved in the smuggling and sale of oil abroad, and others related to the smuggling of drugs from Iran, and activities related to obtaining royalties from vegetable dealers, and the monopoly of food products and ways of its distribution in the southern provinces It is not much different in the northern border outlets in the Kurdistan region of Iraq.
Corruption has worsened in the country amid weak oversight, and according to estimates issued by the Finance Committee in parliament, the size of Iraq’s losses due to corruption in the past twelve years amounted to about (450) billion dollars, including (360) billion dollars during the first and second era of Nuri al-Maliki governments (2006-2014), and the Integrity Commission announced last year 2018, that the money allocated and returned to the state during 2017 amounted to (938) billion Iraqi dinars ($ 800 million), without mentioning what Iraq lost due to crimes of financial corruption and damage to public money.

Border ports in Ba`sra Governorate:
Basra is the main economic artery of the country, as it has significant economic resources, such as oil fields and large industrial companies, as well as nine border ports.
However, these ports are under the control of armed groups belonging to influential political parties, threatening and killing all those who reveal their corruption .The sources revealed that foreign companies charged with examining imported goods in one port were threatened, forcing them to leave the port, and this contributed to the entry of goods randomly.
Shalamcheh and Safwan are the vital arteries of the province, because of their role in reviving the commercial and economic reality of Basra and Iraq.
Some members of the provincial council repeatedly demanded the right of imports of border ports over the past years, which are estimated in hundreds of billions according to Law No. (21) for the provinces according to Article (45), which is the allocation of (50%) of the revenues of border ports to support the budget of Basra in the establishment of infrastructure projects in the areas of Basra and the development of border outlets.
However, the central government and the Ministry of Finance argue about the financial crisis and the current situation, but by studying one outlet, for example, the port of Safwan, has achieved revenues from the beginning of this year until the month of last August (146) billion dinars.
The head of the Border Ports Authority, Kazem Al-Oqabi, said that the delay is obvious in the construction and development of the ports with regard to the implementers of Shalamcheh with Iran and Safwan port with Kuwait and the reason is the spread of corruption in all joints of this sector and the obvious things existed in the contracts that were referred to contractors who did not meet the deadlines . He pointed out that the completion rate for the development of Shalamcheh port is still (0%), although the contractor has received the operating advance, while the percentage of completion in the port of Safwan (17%).

Northern Border Ports:
The Kurdistan Region has 6 main land trade outlets with both Turkey and Iran, responsible for the supply of about 50% of the needs of Iraqi Kurdistan for food, construction and other materials such as auto spare parts, medicines and furniture, as well as many goods imported by Iraq in general from the northern and eastern neighbors.
The most prominent outlets of the Kurdistan Region with Iran include Haji Omran, Bashmakh, Parvez Khan, and Kermak, in addition to other small outlets used for the movement of passengers and simple goods such as “Kelly”, “Shoshmi”, “Tawila” and “Sheikh Saleh” ”And“ Bishta ”.
With Turkey, two outlets, the first Ibrahim Khalil, the main trade, and the value of trade exchange last year amounted about (5) billion dollars, and the second port Szeriri, Iraq also has another outlet with Syria and is located within the Kurdistan region known as “Simalka”, but it has been closed since the outbreak of the Syrian revolution.
The file of Iraq’s land ports with Iran and Turkey, within the borders of the Kurdistan region (northern), and portends a new crisis between Baghdad and Erbil, where the federal government accuses officials in the region not to deliver the revenues of the ports, in addition to corruption in the introduction of corrupt and poor goods to markets, where it was monitored major irregularities in the outlets of the region, flooding the market with imported eggs, and the resulting heavy losses for Iraqi traders and poultry farmers, and led to the layoffs of many low-income workers.
Government sources said that “political courtesies behind Baghdad incurred significant losses at the expense of financial benefits and gains to the government of Erbil, which represents injustice to other cities such as Basra, Baghdad, Mosul and Kirkuk.”
The accusations continue between the Center and the region, because of the delay in the delivery of the proceeds of the sale of (250) thousand barrels of oil per day to Baghdad, despite the agreement in the budget in 2019, which requires that the Kurdistan government to deliver these revenues, to be included in Iraq’s annual imports, provided that Baghdad to pay the dues of the region within the general budget like the rest of the provinces of the state.
The volume of trade in the ports is between 12 and 16 billion dollars annually, and the majority of goods go to Baghdad and other cities south, central and west of the country.
We conclude from the above that the Iraqi government needs to defend the quality and safety of goods entering the Iraqi citizen, and to conform to the certificate of origin and specifications, and stop the forgery to preserve the lives of citizens first, and on the other hand to maintain its revenues in the ports such as defending oil pipelines from terrorist attacks.
This comes at a time when corruption is rampant in all parts of the state, while the institutions concerned with corruption, such as the Anti-Corruption Council, the Integrity Commission and the offices of general inspectors, and parliament were unable to reduce the size of this corruption, which is supported by parties with great influence.
“The government’s lack of control over the outlets is a fraction of the will of the state, and that its resources feed militias and associated political forces, and there was no clear government position on it.” and the strength of state is the basis for any state and to stop any interference to its work , to be able to countable the corrupts in order to build a strong independent state capable of controlling its borders and security of its economy to support the budget and achieve optimal investment for all sectors.

Translated by : mudhaffar al-kusairi

Economic Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

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I appreciate everything Laidback brings to this site. I agree with his articles, but understand that every country on the planet has corruption in it’s government. It’s the reason people want to run for office. The fact that they are actually identifying where the corruption is is a good start. The corrupt will always find another loophole and it will turn into a game of whack-a-mole. Once they take one high profile figure and make an example of them, the message will get out and it will slow down. It will never completely end, especially as long as we keep investing money and soldiers over there. Just my 2 cents. Think we are closer than we have ever been. Here’s to hoping. Thanks Laidback.

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On 9/2/2019 at 6:24 PM, Benelli said:

I appreciate everything Laidback brings to this site. I agree with his articles, but understand that every country on the planet has corruption in it’s government. It’s the reason people want to run for office. The fact that they are actually identifying where the corruption is is a good start. The corrupt will always find another loophole and it will turn into a game of whack-a-mole. Once they take one high profile figure and make an example of them, the message will get out and it will slow down. It will never completely end, especially as long as we keep investing money and soldiers over there. Just my 2 cents. Think we are closer than we have ever been. Here’s to hoping. Thanks Laidback.

Thanks for your input Bennelli,

I agree with your comment, Identifying where the corruption is, is a good start.

CBI and GOI are on a battle against corruption, I don’t think they will be able to totally wipe out corruption but at least keep it

under control. In the last year iraq has moved forward like never before.

 

Go RV sooner than later 

Go $1:1

 

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Adil Abd Al-Mahdi… A man absorbing complex crises.

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Despite the accession of all parliamentary blocs in the government formed by Dr. Adil Abd Al-Mahdi, but his government is subject to criticism by those blocs, the political, security, military and economic conditions that accompanied the formation of the government of Adil Abd Al-Mahdi made it a government of an economic and balanced nature between Washington and Tehran and the political forces in Iraq.
Adil Abd Al-Mahdi’s government faces many challenges, which requires the political forces in Iraq, Washington, Tehran and neighboring countries, to stand by it , to get Iraq out of its crises and challenges as Adil Abd Al-Mahdi is the only prime minister who has no parliamentary support in Iraqi parliament , in other words , he has no parliamentary member in the House of Representatives affiliated to him, his government needs from the Iraqi media in all its forms to highlight some of the achievements of his government even if those achievements are simple from their point of view and not underestimated.
There is a clear harmony between Barham Salih, President of the Republic of Iraq, and Adil Abdul Mahdi in determining the priorities of Iraq’s domestic and foreign policy, especially in distancing Iraq from the political and economic tensions in the region, but they are confronted with the country’s many problems, as Iraq is exposed to a number of very serious challenges, which are divided into Several levels:
First: On the security level inside Iraq, the facts on the ground indicate that there are unarmed armed groups working to destabilize security and stability, externally, the Israeli military threat in a short period of time, as Iraq was the scene of military operations such as targeting missiles and drones, but out of 11 military operations , there are two military operations that targeted Amerli and al-Qaim on the Iraqi-Syrian border. Intelligence and media reports indicate that Israel is behind them, and intelligence reports added that there are internal hands carried out these military operations.
Level II: Financial and administrative corruption, which was and still is one of the most important dilemmas of rebuilding the Iraqi state, because it is largely linked to Iraqi officials, and there are many examples of this, including: the presence of ministers imposed on Prime Minister Adil Abdul Mahdi, their battalions are running the work of their ministries. Big corrupt people like quail cats are still confused in a way that will facilitate them to smuggle the money they stole from Iraq, and from the forms of economic corruption in Iraq also the struggle between the corrupt in control of the energy file, it is known that 97% of the revenues of the Iraqi state depends on the energy sector , In this Context Adil Abdul Mahdi, offers all support to the oil minister to eliminate corruption in the oil sector.
Level 3: Social problems, such as tribal problems, particularly in the city of Basra, and the problems of Nineveh and the Nineveh Plain and the problem of Kirkuk, and the problems of the displaced, where Jenin Hennes Blaskhart, the representative of the United Nations in Iraq, expressed concern about her concern towards their inhumane conditions.
In the face of these challenges, Adil Abdul Mahdi is trying to distance Iraq from the proxy conflict, but the task is very difficult, if not nearly impossible, because the Iraqi political forces in the case of severe polarization, they are divided about that conflict into three parties, the first: Iranian par excellence, and the second: American , The third party: it is utilitarian with the “pragmatic” privilege, in the American Council is American and in the Iranian Council is Iranian . This party in the meeting of its members is supposed to be secret so the outcome of its meetings is presented to Americans and Iranians alike , and the Irony here is that this party is also supported by some Arab countries, Tehran and Washington, it can be said that this party maneuver and play on the former parties.
Prime Minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi, seeks to promote Iraq economically, in an agricultural aspect , he intensifies his efforts to achieve Iraq self agricultural sufficiency , and the surplus of it is exported to the outside of Iraq, and in order to achieve this, encouraged the villagers to stay in their villages and not to leave and go to cities and, evidence of his interest in the agricultural sector, the Iraqi government to pay wheat money to farmers, and this has not happened since 2003, and he is working to improve the quality of wheat due to complaints made to the Ministry of Commerce about the lack of quality.
Adil Abdul Mahdi needs three years to turn Iraq into a productive state, not a consumer, and this task is not impossible, but it needs the support of all political and civil forces , and an efficient administrative apparatus, and the political blocs have to submit the corrupt to the Anti-Corruption Council to take legal action against them, to succeed this national plan, noting the number of its citizens will reach to 40 million people in 2021, and must have economic policies that stimulate production and reduce the area of import, otherwise import will become one of the cards of future pressure on Iraq.
Externally, the relationship of the Iraqi government headed by Adil Abdul Mahdi with the Arab countries and Arab, Islamic and Western organizations has been positive. Adil Abdul Mahdi is striving to bring Iraq back to the Arab, regional and international political map. However , there are some opportunists who support the idea of dividing Iraq into fragile states , therefore the countries concerned with the stability and unity of Iraq , such as USA, Turkey and Iran , should support the unity of Iraq and stand firm against the destructive idea of dividing Iraq , because it is in the interest of those countries to keep Iraq united before it is in the interest of Iraq, because the risk of dividing Iraq will not be limited to Iraqi geography alone, but will extend to neighboring countries according to the theory of “contagion,” so all countries should stand by Adil Abdul Mahdi for their interest and Iraq alike , because Adil Abdul Mahdi, is almost the Iraqi national politician, who represents the last chance for the advancement of Iraq.

Iraqi Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies

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Today its been 6 months since I started this thread, as we all can see no RV yet.

 

- The government is not fully seated yet. 

Minister of Education, Vice-presidents and special grades

 

- Important Laws

More than 150 important laws need to be voted and passed including HCL and Art140.

 

- WTO membership 

Ongoing conversation to join the world trade organization. Iraq has signed trade agreements with many countries.

 

- CBI and Banking System 

The CBI and Banking system continues moving forward to an open market economy 

the daily auctions still going on around $200 millions a day.

 

- Corruption 

The fight against corruption continues some political parties are threatening the GOI to bring chaos if their corruption is exposed.

 

- Private sector and Diversification of the economy 

They are promoting and financing the private sector with the small and medium enterprises program from the CBI and private banks.

 

- Oil

The Iraqi oil production is increasing, Oil exports are increasing, oil prices

WTI $57.65. Brent crude $62.50

 

- Census 2020

They haven’t had a Census in the last 30 years, they need to know the size of population.very important for the HCL implementation, profit sharing, to make planning decisions, to forecast possible economic need, to formulate economic policy

and determines population density. 

 

The CBI is moving forward to raise the value of the IQD... This is a fact.!

 

I want the RV ASAP like everybody else, but I’m also ready to wait a little longer. I see a window of opportunity in the last quarter 2019 first quarter 2020. Leaning towards first quarter 2020.

 

Enjoy the present, your life your family your friend. It will happen

 

Go RV asap

Go $1:1

 

 

 

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