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Tuesday Guru Opinions - 12/04/2018


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12-4-2018  Newshound Guru Kaperoni   ...the 2% rule has nothing to do with the choice of float...the 2% rule has to do with stability within Iraq and keeping the dinar exchange rate consistant within the country...the 2% rule is meant to eliminate MCPs within the country...not related at all to the nominal exchange rate of the currency...unfortuately many people do not understand the terminology used by the IMF and others related to monetary policy...an example is MCPs or Multiple Currency Practice...MCP does not mean two currencies or dinar and dollar as some like to say.  It means the price of an Item in one part of the country vs the price of the same item in another part.


12-4-2018  Guest Guru Doc.K   [Guru ChrisC...Why does everyone think decimal places equals fils? Using fils at this rate would be ludicrous.  If we don't see that decimal point move to the left, I don't get what we are dancing about.]   In order to have parity or an exchange rate with a major currency, they need to change to the same 2 place decimal system to convert.  i.e.   The USD  does not have   $1.259    it is only  $1.25  or $1.26.  This forces them to use  a fraction of  a dinar ( a  fil  =  the metals)  in the market place and INTERNATIONALLY.  They are not dealing with WHOLE #s  anymore  as in  $1  usd  = 1200 dinars.

12-4-2018  
 Newshound/Intel Guru David M. Witty   Iraqi Parliament delays vote on unfilled cabinet positions.  Iraqi Parliament meeting to approve unfilled cabinet positions ends in chaos & shouting among political blocs.

12-4-2018   Newshound Guru Kaperoni   [And The reason why the IMF  is still preventing Iraq to become ARTICLE VIII?]   They are in compliance now but have not had their 2018 Article IV Consultation yet because the government has not been officially formed. Though not a requirement, I do expect this consultation to occur before any move to Article VIII.

12-4-2018  
 Newshound Guru Kirk H. Sowell   So they managed quorum after all, with 168 MPs, parliament is meeting. But quorum is 165 so that's a very narrow margin of error if they try to hold a vote, just four could walk out and break quorum.

12-4-2018   Intel/Newshound Guru sandyf   ...Although what Kap [Guru Kaperoni] says is perfectly valid I would not agree. Floating the currency would not be a normal course of action for an emerging economy. Egypt was pushed into a float and look what happened...I doubt if that is what people want to see.  It is not only emerging economies at risk, the Russian Rouble became fully convertible in 2006 but avoided the risk of floating until 2014, again a significant drop in currency value. ...I for one would hope that Iraq does not face similar problems.

12-4-2018   Newshound/Intel Guru RVAlready   I think it is a good week for Allaq to push the button. They really need the RV to move forward…So much of what they want to do needs money. The RV will supply that.

12-4-2018   Newshound Guru Kirk H. Sowell   So today may be a big day in #Iraq politics, with parliament scheduled to meet...with completing the cabinet of PM Adil Abd al-Mahdi on the agenda. Or maybe it will wimper & fail to make quorum, or just skip the cabinet votes & be nothing...
 
 
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