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Iranian Rial


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9 hours ago, pokerplayer said:

 

I will share a secret with all my buddies here on this thread. I have my traveling suitcase already packed. Suntan lotion- Check, Swimsuits- Check, Flipflops- Check, Sundresses for elegant restaurants- Check.

I'm good to go ! :) Don't want to forget anything in my excitement at cash out time !!

pp

$2.+ that's what I am looking for! 

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The International Monetary Fund will use its resources to help remove barriers that hinder Iran’s restoration of ties with international lenders and financial institutions, Christine Lagarde, managing director of the IMF, said in a meeting with an Iranian delegation on the sidelines of the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank Group in Washington

“I will personally discuss the banking issue with US officials in order to solve the problem and accelerate the process of joint efforts between Iran and international monetary organizations,” Shada quoted her as telling the Economy Minister Ali Tayyebnia.

 “The IMF will also continue providing Iranian banks with technical assistance and training and the collective experience of other countries,” she added in what was the first meeting between a senior official from Tehran and the IMF chief in two decades.

Tayyebnia presented a report on the developments in the Iranian economy after President Hassan Rouhani’s government came to office in mid-2013. He also briefed Lagarde on the macroeconomic policies, especially those regarding structural reforms as part of the Resistance Economy in 2015.

The Resistance Economy is a set of guidelines proposed by the Leader of Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei for reducing dependence on oil export revenues, empowering domestic producers, diversifying non-oil exports and promoting local manufactures.

Tayyebnia explained the economic progress of the government, namely increase in GDP growth, lowering inflation rate to below 10% for the first time in more than two decades, stability in the foreign exchange market and promoting a stable economic environment.

By issuing securities and Islamic bonds, implementing the Banking Overhaul Plan and sending two banking reform bills to the parliament the government is moving on the path of repaying its debt to the banks and the private sector.

The Banking Overhaul Plan is seen as a milestone in implementing major reforms in the ailing and cumbersome banking sector.

Deputy governor of the central bank, Akbar Komijani who was also present at the meeting, briefed the IMF chief on the central bank’s plans to introduce the long-awaited single currency rate. Pointing to the CBI’s efforts to shift funding for most imports from the official (subsidized) forex rates toward the market rate, he echoed Tayyebnia’s recent remarks that the currency rates will be unified before the fiscal year is out in March 2017.

In a separate meeting Lagarde spoke with the economy ministers and central bank officials of countries in the MENA region and the director of the IMF Middle East and Central Asia Department, Masood Ahmed.

In the meeting in addition to talks on the stagnant international economic growth, issues such as removing of banking restrictions and expanding correspondent relations were discussed.

World Bank Ties

The economy minister and his entourage also called on the World Bank’s interim managing director and chief operating officer and senior vice president of operations.

“We will accelerate the process of collaborating with Iran in order to move it to the implementation stage as soon as possible,” said Kyle Peters of the new framework of cooperation between the global lender and Iran.

Noting that Iran has a history of working in tandem with the World Bank, Tayyebnia stressed that the country wants to “employ all the potentials” in order to help launch structural economic reforms “within the framework of our own national policies.”

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The CEO of Canadian multinational aerospace and transportation company Bombardier Inc. says the company was a little late on chasing opportunities in Iran but should be able to catch up with rivals following Canada’s lifting of sanctions.

“We started maybe a little bit behind but I’m pretty sure we’re going to be able to catch up now,” Alain Bellemare said in an interview with Toronto-based business magazine Canadian Business.

Bombardier Aerospace, a division of Bombardier Inc., competes with Brazilian rival Embraer for the title of the third largest aircraft manufacturer after Boeing and Airbus, having delivered more than 2,450 commercial aircraft and over 3,400 business aircraft worldwide. It is headquartered in Dorval, Quebec, Canada.

Bellemare said Canada’s Foreign Minister Stephane Dion’s move earlier this year to lift sanctions has been useful in helping gain market access.

In a statement issued on February 5, Canada’s new government said it was lifting some sanctions against Iran, including a ban on financial services, imports and exports, thereby allowing companies such as planemaker Bombardier to compete against rivals.

The European Union, the United States and other major nations have already lifted some of their own restrictive measures against Iran, leading to complaints that Canadian companies were being left behind. Dion said Bombardier, as well as oil, gas, chemical and agricultural companies, should benefit.

“For them, of course, it’s great news,” he told reporters, citing the importance of gaining access to the Iranian market of 80 million people.

With teams on the ground now in Iran, Bellemare said he’s not concerned about winning its share of new orders, although the process is challenging.

The Canadian plane and train maker sees opportunities to sell regional rail services along with regional jets and CSeries planes as Iranian companies look to modernize.

Meanwhile, Iran says it is in talks with Canadian flag carrier Air Canada to establish a direct flight between Montreal and Tehran’s Imam Khomeini International Airport.

In September 2012, the administration of the former Canadian prime minister, Stephen Harper, severed diplomatic contacts with the Islamic Republic, citing, among other pretexts, “continued threats from Iran to Israel”.

Canada shut its embassy in Tehran and ordered Iranian diplomats to leave the North American country within five days. The Italian Embassy has been handling Canada’s interests in Iran since then.

However, Trudeau came to office in the 2015 election on a promise of change, including changes in foreign policy. He has expressed willingness on several occasions to see Canada’s Embassy reopen in Tehran

Airbus and Boeing said last month they had received US Treasury approval to begin exporting over 200 jets to Iran, under a deal struck in January. Airbus won approval to export the first 17 jets in a $27 billion transaction announced in January as economic sanctions were eased. Boeing is still finalizing terms to provide as many as 109 jets to Iran Air.

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American aircraft maker Boeing and an American bank have reached an agreement to finance Boeing’s deal with Iran through a bank in Japan, an unnamed government official was quoted as saying  by Tasnim News Agency on Friday.

The report did not provide details on the huge funding agreement.

Last week, Boeing announced that it was making progress on a deal to provide more than 100 commercial aircraft to Iran, with a total estimated price of $17.6 billion, though none will be delivered in 2016.

On September 21, US Treasury Department Office of Foreign Assets Control allowed Boeing to sell more than 100 planes to the Islamic Republic.

The approval came for the first time in almost 40 years, paving the way for the biggest business transaction between the two nations since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.

Iran and the US do not have diplomatic ties for almost four decades and the latter has imposed stringent economic and banking restrictions on Tehran due to its nuclear energy prorgam and other disputes, namely human rights and missile development programs.

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Iran is pursuing a resilient economy that is less dependent on oil, has reduced nonperforming loans in its banking sector and anticipates European participation in financing a landmark Boeing deal, the country's Minister of Economic Affairs and Finance Ali Tayyebnia said.

In an interview with Al-Monitor on the sidelines of the fall meeting of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund, Tayyebnia gave an upbeat account of reforms undertaken since President Hassan Rouhani took office in 2013.

Nevertheless, Tayyebnia, like other Iranian officials, accused the United States of not completely fulfilling its promises under last year’s landmark nuclear deal and suggested that the United States should do more to facilitate Iran’s return to the international financial system.

The full text of the interview follows:

AL-MONITOR: You spoke this morning about the resilient economy and normally that has been translated here as the "resistance" economy. Which is correct?

TAYYEBNIA:  The resilient economy. In analyzing the growth of Iran, we came to the conclusion that we have three problems. In the last four decades, the economic growth of Iran was very low, the volatility and fluctuations have been very high and the share of productivity in increasing growth has been very little.

All three items are rooted in reliance on oil. Reliance on oil revenues resulted in the fact that fluctuations in oil prices were reflected in the economy of Iran. So we have to decrease reliance on oil revenue in our economy.

The resilient economy in a nutshell is one that achieves high economic growth with little fluctuation and volatility, and increases the share of productivity in the economy. The main characteristic of a resilient economy is flexibility against external shocks. When there is a storm, a dry tree may break very easily but a flexible tree can survive that storm.

Given the role of the private sector in creating needed new jobs in Iran, what is the government doing to promote private sector activity, especially in the light of the presence of semi-state economic players. How far can privatization go?

The main approach of the government is to improve the business environment, which sets the stage for investment and more participation of the private sector. If we do not improve the business environment and we just focus on transferring ownership, we cannot achieve our goals to improve the economy.

The second approach is to transfer state-owned enterprises to the private sector. In the past, a great number of enterprises have been transferred to semi-state entities; a majority have been transferred to pension funds. And the main reason was that the government was in debt to those pension funds. The government tried to settle its debts by transferring those enterprises. The basic policy of the government [now] is to transfer the ownership of state-owned enterprises to the real private sector.

What’s the percentage of state, semi-state and private sector shares in the economy now?

I cannot provide you with an exact number but when we talk about semi-state enterprises, it includes the pension funds and you know that in the world, pension funds have a big part in the capital market and Iran is not an exception. We are trying to transfer the ownership of enterprises to the real private sector. The pension funds and other similar entities can purchase those enterprises through the [stock] market. We are providing incentives for the real private sector. We give them a discount in the price, payment is longer and the interest rate is less. We are working to restructure semi-state enterprises and set them in the right direction.

One of the obstacles to reconnecting Iranian and international banks is the compliance standards in Iranian banks. How long will it take to improve compliance standards and what sort of difficulties are you facing in this regard?

A major step taken by this government was to provide a plan to restructure and reorganize the banking system. We came to the conclusion that to reform the banking system not only because of cooperation with the foreign banking system but as you know the capacity to lend depends on reforms.

During the sanctions, unfortunately, the banking system was harmed badly. From the very beginning of our administration, even before sanctions were lifted, we worked to reform our banking system. It is a time-bound plan to implement reforms by increasing the capital of the banks, settling the government debt to the banks, resolving the issue of non-performing loans and divesting and selling the extra assets and property of banks.

What’s the timeframe?

We are working to come to an acceptable solution within two years and even now we have had some useful and good results. Three years ago, the ratio of non-performing loans [to total loans] in all Iranian banks was 14%. As of the end of the last Iranian year [March 19, 2016], it came down to 10%. For Bank Melli, it is 7% and in some banks even down to 5%. We are determined to pursue that trend to come to an acceptable international level.

What is that level?

To me, 2%.

We know that there has been an issue about FATF reforms. Are you confident Iran will fulfill its promises to FATF and are there problems you envision in fixing Iran’s financial reputation even if you fulfill those promises?

Actually our plans for AML [anti-money laundering] and CTF [counter-terrorism financing] started 15 years ago. The first law–AML–was approved in 2007. Based on that law, all the necessary bylaws and regulations were prepared. A financial intelligence center was formed in Iran.

All Iranian banks and financial institutions have some software that can recognize any suspicious transactions, to combat drug smuggling and smuggling of other goods, as well as transactions with groups such as Daesh. The terrorist groups have a very complex system to move money through Europe and the United States. We have designed some very serious plans to prevent transactions to those groups. A law on admission to the anti-corruption convention was approved in 2007.

Now that the law is in force and based on that law, we share information with other countries such as Armenia, Russia, Brazil, South Africa and Iraq. We are cooperating with financial intelligence units in Iraq, Russia and Syria against financing Daesh.

The third law, CTF, was approved last year. We are determined to implement those laws fully. The main approach is to combat corruption, smuggling and terrorism.

A lot of banks are still not willing to have a relationship with Iranian banks. What more can you do to convince the international banking community that it’s safe to have relationships with Iranian banks again?

In the past, the Iranian banking system never had any serious problem. In corresponding relations with foreign banks, Iranian banks never defaulted.

During the sanctions, if we see some problems in paying back our debts, it was because there was no channel to make the transaction. So I believe we do not have problems with the big foreign banks.

The main problem is that the United States does not keep its word. That’s something I’ve heard from many political and economic authorities of the European Union. If the United States fulfills its commitments under the JCPOA [Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action—the formal name of the nuclear deal reached by Iran with world powers], we will not have problems with other countries.

The United States has fulfilled its commitment to allow Boeing and Airbus to sell passenger planes to Iran. Has any financing been approved yet for those sales?  

Just now my colleagues are having talks with some international institutions to see how they can finance that deal. We will choose the option that provides us with the best terms and conditions. In principle, in providing financing for that deal, we do not have problems.

Are there European banks in the mix?

European and non-European banks.

How important is this deal, not just financially but psychologically to have big American companies and products back in Iran? Will that help our overall bilateral relationship?

We are investigating and examining the economic situation, which is a little bit different than the other issues. The situation and location of Iran is quite unique. Iran can take the role of a hub for the whole region.

In the past, the biggest and most important air transport agency belonged to Iran. Iran is on the air corridor of East-West, North-South and we are trying to benefit from that. The issue, which can influence the mindset of the Iranian people, is whether the United States fulfills its commitments. You know Iran fulfilled all its commitments under the JCPOA honestly and clearly but the United States has not done it yet. The European countries blame the United States. Iranians want to see what the results of the deal with the world powers are.

In August, Iran announced that there is now a mechanism in place, with the support of the US government, to convert South Korean won to euros without using the dollar. Is this correct and if so, can you explain the mechanism and can you use this model elsewhere, for example in converting Omani rials?

We have come to some sort of understanding and preliminary agreement [with South Korea] but it has not been implemented yet. Why should we face some problems to convert won to euro? I have raised the same question with many bankers and financial authorities around the world and all of them say, "We don’t know."

For small amounts, we are not facing any problem, but for big amounts we are trying to resolve the issue. At the same time, we expect the United States to take some concrete steps to resolve the problem.

Is the government planning to make the Central Bank of Iran independent and if so, when?

We have taken some serious steps. In the past, the governor of the Central Bank of Iran would be appointed by the minister of finance but today he is appointed by the president of the country. In order to change the governor, numerous criteria must be met.

The Money and Credit Council of Iran, the highest entity for the money and banking system, has been made more professional. In the past, the chairman of that council was the minister of finance, but today the governor of the central bank is the head of that council. The rules and regulations have changed in a way that the CBI has a higher position and is more independent. The most important step we have taken is to try to remove and prevent fiscal dominance.

In the past, it was not the CBI that would determine monetary policies but it was fiscal policies as well as the annual budget. You can see that in many oil-dominated countries. In the last three years, we tried to resolve that problem so the central bank can control monetary variables.

Without resolving the issue of fiscal dominance, the independence of the central bank does not have any meaning. Our main approach is to make monetary policies independent of fiscal policies and in the last three years, we have had many accomplishments. Today our central bank has the capacity to control monetary policy.

There has been talk of exchange rate unification ever since the announcement of the nuclear deal, but it has not happened. What are the obstacles to exchange rate unification and will this occur before the upcoming presidential elections?

We have taken big steps to unify the exchange rate when we were still under sanctions and oil prices had fallen. Just today the premium between the official rate and the market rate is at its lowest, less than 14%. A big bulk of goods, which were purchased using the official rate, are now being traded using the market rate. So you see the share of the official exchange rate has come down to a great extent.

In the course of the next two months, the share of the official exchange rate [in trading goods] will be zero. We are very smoothly and gradually undertaking reunification without using rhetoric and propaganda.

There still is money going to unlicensed credit and finance institutions, which are competing with banks. What are you doing to get people to put their money in safer places?

The central bank has designed some plans for serious supervision over those institutions. Some issues that came to a very bad situation have been resolved. Just now we do not have any evidence that money from the banks is being transferred to those unlicensed institutions. The reason is that the real interest rate in Iran is positive for the first time and people are satisfied with it. People do understand that if an institution is providing higher interest, it is linked with more risk.

What is the interest rate now?

The interest rate for a one-year deposit is 15%, which is twice the rate of inflation. You cannot find that real interest rate anywhere else in the world. And all of them are credible, creditworthy banks.

Are you happy with the rial’s present value. It has been relatively stable since your government took office.

Our central policy is to improve the real exchange rate instead of focusing on the nominal rate. The decrease in the inflation rate has allowed us to improve the competitiveness of Iranian products. Our imports are increasing while our exports are enhanced.

One of the biggest assets for Iran is the country’s diaspora, which is wealthy and well positioned to invest in Iran and also transfer technology.  But we have seen mixed signals such as the arrest of dual nationals quite respected in international business circles. Do you want the diaspora to come and invest in Iran?  How do you deal with those in Iran who don’t seem to want that?

We believe that Iran belongs to all Iranians. And we believe the diaspora is an asset for the country. So we welcome them if they are interested to come back to Iran and make some investments and we provide them with all the incentives and whatever they need. So we never look at them as something negative.

The main impediment before the diaspora to make investments or trade with Iran is the sanctions imposed by the US. And if the United States removes those impediments and obstacles, we can definitely benefit from the diaspora.

 

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The government sold 10 trillion rials ($278.8 million at market exchange rates) of Murabaha contracts for wheat on Monday on the Iran Fara Bourse over-the-counter market.

The money raised will be used to pay farmers under the government's guaranteed purchase scheme for wheat.

High demand for the two-year bonds, which bear 20% interest per year, abridged the three-day offering to one day, SENA reported.

"The money raised from selling these bonds will be used to repay government debt to wheat farmers through the Keshavarzi Bank," in the coming week, Abdolmahdi Bakhshandeh, deputy minister of agriculture, told IRNA.

"After paying this sum, 80% of the government's debt to wheat farmers will be paid, and we hope to pay the rest in the coming weeks."

Murabaha is an Islamic financing structure in which an intermediary buys a property with free and clear title. Similar in structure to a rent-to-own arrangement, the intermediary retains ownership of the property until the loan is paid in full.

> Turning to Bonds

The government turned to bonds for financing its various ventures, partly forced by a shortage of funds due to less than expected oil revenues and high operational expenditures.

This is the first year the state is selling various financial securities for funding its guaranteed purchase scheme for wheat. The effort started with an offering of Salaf contracts for wheat on Iran Mercantile Exchange last month. It is now continuing with the sale of Murabaha contracts.

Government Trading Corporation of Iran offered 32 million wheat Salaf contracts last month, raising 26.5 trillion rials ($745.2 million) from the sale.

Salaf is an Islamic financial instrument with similarities to futures contracts used to forward sell an underlying commodity with a predetermined interest for the period.

Contrary to the Murabaha bonds sold on Monday, the wheat Salaf contracts will mature in six months and earn a 20% annual interest for their buyers.

"This is the largest sale of agriculture-based financial securities in Iran's history," Hossein Khezly, the chief executive of Agricultural Bank Brokerage, told Boursepress about the Salaf offering.

Keshavarzi Bank's brokerage has carried out the offerings for both bond offerings.

> Record Wheat Production

This is just a start for the GTC's wheat Salaf contracts. The company promised to sell all the non-subsidized wheat it buys every year on the IME using Salaf, Mehr News Agency reported.

That would mean 3 million tons of wheat each year. With Salaf contracts, GTC no longer needs to put up tenders for selling the wheat and can sell them on the IME instead.

GTC is a government-owned company specializing in the purchase, import and distribution of essential foodstuff. The government enforces its market controls using GTC. The company is also in charge of keeping a three-month supply of wheat, rice, cooking oil and meat as the country's strategic reserve of essential goods.

A record high of 14 million tons of wheat have been domestically produced this year, more than 11.76 million tons of which, worth over $4 billion, have been purchased by the government from local farmers at guaranteed prices, Managing Director of Government Trading Corporation of Iran Ali Qanbari said late last month.

Every year, the government buys wheat from local farmers at guaranteed prices to build up its strategic reserves and control prices in the domestic market.

Minister of Agriculture Mahmoud Hojjati says amid the increase in wheat production and reserves– sufficient to meet domestic demand for two years–the government is planning to export wheat flour to the neighboring countries of Iraq and Afghanistan.

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Deputy governor of the central bank, Akbar Komijani who was also present at the meeting, briefed the IMF chief on the central bank’s plans to introduce the long-awaited single currency rate. Pointing to the CBI’s efforts to shift funding for most imports from the official (subsidized) forex rates toward the market rate, he echoed Tayyebnia’s recent remarks that the currency rates will be unified before the fiscal year is out in March 2017.

 

i like briefings means a date had to be given or and indication there of! 

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Bombardier says unfazed by late start in Iran

Fri Oct 14, 2016 4:9PM
  1. Home
  2. Iran
  3. Economy
Bombardier’s CEO Alain Bellemare says his company is not concerned about winning its share of new orders in the Iranian market even though it has been late on chasing opportunities in Iran.
Bombardier’s CEO Alain Bellemare says his company is not concerned about winning its share of new orders in the Iranian market even though it has been late on chasing opportunities in Iran. 

Canada’s flag-carrier airline Bombardier says it has no concerns to find a foothold in Iran’s aviation market even though it has been late on chasing opportunities in Iran.  

Bombardier’s CEO Alain Bellemare said he expects his company to be able to catch up with its rivals following Canada’s lifting of sanctions against Iran.

Bellemare added that Bombardier currently has teams on the ground in Iran, stressing that the company was not concerned about winning its share of new orders in the Iranian market.

The Montreal-based plane and train maker sees opportunities to sell regional rail services along with regional jets and CSeries planes as Iranian companies look to modernize, reported Canada’s Toronto Star newspaper in an article on its website.

Iran has signed an agreement with the French plane-maker Airbus to purchase over 100 planes.   

The country has also signed another agreement with the American aviation giant Boeing to buy some 80 passenger jets worth $25 billion at price lists.

The tentative deals have already hit a speed bump because major global banks are refusing to handle transactions with Iran for fear of running afoul of US sanctions on the country.

One major roadblock was lifted last month when the US government granted Airbus and Boeing permission to sell aircraft to the Islamic Republic.

Apart from Boeing and Airbus, Iran has also already started talks with Canada’s Bombardier, Brazil’s Embraer and Japan’s Mitsubishi over plane supply agreements.

Iran’s current civil aviation fleet consists of 248 aircraft with an average age of 20 years, of which 100 are grounded. Iranian officials have announced that the country needs as many as 500 jets to rejuvenate its aviation fleet. 

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2 hours ago, pokerplayer said:

 

While I would like the $2.00 scenario my gut feeling says .20-.39 USD with the rate happening by months end.

jmho,

pp

I just can't see them come low and open up to the world, I beIieve they will want real rate real worth as per law which could be 1 rial equals 4 grams of silver which puts it at about 2.00+ or they can simply remove 4 zeros which they will be close to same. They are not going to be satisfied with iraq being more and kuwait having their rate after years of sanctions. They will ant to be on centre stage! If your right I am also happy but it will only increase speculation. We win either way amd hopfully we are both right about this month!

Edited by screwball
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5 hours ago, screwball said:

What do you think rate will be? 

 I think that Iraq will come out at 1-1 (as per articles that have said that ) and will start to float . I believe that we will see this start to happen in the coming weeks towards end off year . And I do feel that we will see this happen this year 2016.

Im not sure about Iran. I can see their motivation and progress ......and I agree they won't want to be left behind. Im hoping that they can start off strong and float to their potential rate. I know that I won't be touching it until it reaches at least 1-1. And even then I'll re-evaluate the situation .What would be the point in cashing out before that.  This is why I've also invested in the VND.  I don't have high hopes for it to pay off as well as the dinar/rial. So that one I won't hold on to for the long haul. That will be my "mad money".

Remember folks be smart about cashing out. You're not going to get a second chance to do this again. The potential for growth is unbelievable. You don't want to be sorry that you cashed out too soon when you could of doubled your investment.

 

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7 hours ago, screwball said:

I think the other way, iran does what they want although they are playing the game!

Something tells me from articles that I've read in the past that there is an agreement and understanding among them that Iraq will lead the way.  They are trading partners and their rate will affect each other..... So .....it leads me to believe that they will be on par ....or at least start on par to the rate being similar for their benefit .Once it starts to float on the international markets  that'll be a different  story.Thats when we come in and start deciding at what rate to cash out on.Each is aware of what the other is doing. We'll just have to wait and see.  We're the ones in the dark right now.  But not for long....I hope.

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