I agree completely with everything you said. I am a newbie, but in the last few days I have started to post the same thing several times and each time have held off making the post until I got more familiar with the "tone" of the members. I wrote my son in law a long email saying the same thing two days ago. Simply, U.S. has too much to lose to not get good RV and Obama, with his low approval rating, will go on TV and take responsibility for "paying for the Iraq war" -- too many things happening all at once that support your analysis -- thanks for the post, we should know by March 1.