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Center for Global Studies is expected proclamation of the State of Kurdistan after two years


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Center for Global Studies is expected proclamation of the State of Kurdistan after two years

THURSDAY, APRIL 15 / APRIL 2014 13:25   

Twilight News / says the International Center for Development Studies, based in London, in a report that the Kurdistan Region to secede from Iraq in two years, indicating that the interests and goals of Iran, Turkey and the West, and America will not stand in the way without it, they returned economic pressures exerted by Baghdad against Arbil ordered accelerated detachable .

kurdistan3e%20copy.jpgThe report predicts that followed the "Twilight News", that the next couple of years have witnessed the separation of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq and the announcement about the Kurdish state.

The report pointed out that the circumstances surrounding the province of Kurdistan and its inability to withstand the financial pressures of Baghdad in the non-payment of the budget and allow the export of oil will pay its powers to declare the state and Kurdish separatism.

The report indicates that the export of oil from the region will be the first features of Kurdish State in particular, pointing to the numerous references issued by the Turkish government shows a lack of opposition to the establishment of that state.

He explains that Turkey and Erdogan's government sees the Kurdistan Region as a strategic ally and increase the volume of bilateral trade to more than 10 billion dollars and the presence of nearly 1600 Turkish company in the region and prepare for the export of oil Kurdish to Turkey and from there to the world, but explicit references to the satisfaction of Turkey for the Declaration of a Kurdish state in the north Iraq.

According to the report, Iran also would not mind a Kurdish state because Tehran is fully aware that it reduces the share of OPEC, especially in Iraq and that it plans to return strongly to the global oil market after the lifting of sanctions.

According to the same report, Syria does not seem able today to show any respect to the opinion of the Kurdish issue, especially since Syria's Kurds have become part of the bloody conflict.

The report of the International Center for Development Studies, the United States and Europe do not Tmaanaan of their part of the Declaration of Kurdish State for the existence of most of its oil in the Kurdistan region, pointing to a clear interest features of the contracts with the region and the desire to overcome the obstacle of differences between Baghdad and Erbil, which hinder access of exports to global markets .

The report of the International Center for Development Studies to Baghdad bear part of the responsibility for any decision Kurdish secession because the omission of Baghdad on the repayment of the region's share of the budget and set at 17% and opposition to the export of oil from the region did not stay for the cord is another option, but the search for solutions to their crisis.

The report shows that the announcement will enable the Kurdish State of the Kurds from the sale of quantities of oil stored and exported to the world market and reap the revenue to calculate their state emerging.

But the report draws to the presence of dilemmas that do not relate to surrounding countries, but what will earn Kurdistan from oil revenues in the event of separation from Baghdad, adding that the budget of the region amounting to 17% of Iraq's budget would allow the region to 25.517 billion dollars, while in the case of the separation of the territory and sell 400 thousand barrels per day The revenues will be according to the current price of a barrel of oil for nearly 15 billion dollars annually, a difference of less than $ 10 billion.

He adds that the export capacity of the region and the infrastructure of the oil you need more time, so question of the separation of the Kurdistan Region in the current circumstances is unlikely.

According to the report of the Kurdistan Region needs to export around 280 thousand barrels per day to compensate for other deficiencies in the budget and pay the salaries of its staff without returning to Baghdad, noting that the timing of the announcement is linked to the region as a great deal of oil and the ability of the giant companies in the region to export.

The report of the International Center for Development Studies The Kurdistan Region of Iraq will be able in 2017 to export 700 thousand barrels of oil per day, it returned a crucial stage in the history of Iraq and the Kurdistan alike.

And corrects report that the announcement is linked to the ability of Kurdish State successive governments in Baghdad to accommodate the expansion of the oil and flexibility in dealing with the region, which determines oil prices, a large part of her features.

 

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